FanPost

FIRST ROUND QUARTERBACKS IN THE DRAFT- ONLY WAY TO GO

     I was always a believer that highly selected quarterbacks were a crap shoot.  The myth that NFL starting quarterbacks are just as likely to be from the 6 th round (Brady), 7th round (Cassell), or 8th round ( Hassellbeck) as the early rounds.  I decided test the premise by actually looking at the facts.  First a couple of assumptions.

  1. NFL  pays so much more money for QB's these days they are going to put more resources into analyzing them.
  2. NFL is so QB dependent today they will put more resources into analyzing them.   

     So I am going to look at the drafts for the last five years.  You can choose whatever starting date you want.  I simply chose the 2003 draft because it is more recent history.  My guess is that the same answers would occur no matter what year you started.

                             HERE ARE THE QB'S SELECTED IN THE FIRST AND SECOND ROUNDS OF THE DRAFTS

 

2003                                         ROUND 1                                 

                       Carson Palmer, Byron Leftwich, Kyle Boller, Rex Grossman----No Second Round Selections

2004                                         ROUND 1

                       Ely Manning, Phillip Rivers, Ben Rothlisberger, J.P. Lousman---- No Second Round Selections

2005                                         ROUND 1

                        Alex Smith, Aaron Rodgers Jason Campbell---- No Secound Round Selections

2006                                         ROUND 1

                        Vince Young, Matt Lienhart, Jay Cutler

                                                  ROUND  2

                         Kellen Clemson, Travaris Jackson

2007                                         ROUND  1

                         Jamarcus Russell, Brady Quinn

                                                   ROUND 2

                         Kevin Kolb, John Beck, Drew Stanton

2008                                          ROUND 1

                        Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco

                                                   ROUND 2

                        Bryan Brohm, Chadd Henne

2009                                          ROUND 1

                         Matt Stafford, Mark Sanchez,

                                                   ROUND 2

                         Pat White

 

So, what does this mean for the Vikings?  First do your research.  Listen to what the scouting services are really saying.  Your not likely to get a Franchise QB unless you use a first round pick. 

23 FIRST ROUND PICKS.  14 FRANCHISE QB'S  ( 60% SUCCESS) - 6 UNPROVEN, 3 BUSTS

7 SECOND ROUND PICKS  2 FRANCHISE QB'S   ( 28% SUCCESS)- 1 BUST- 4 UNPROVEN

Second, Please do not stretch and make a guy a first rounder because the press thinks he's great. ( Jamarcus).   Third, keep doing what your doing.  I thought you were off track in bringing in Farve.  You obviously know more as to what your football team needs than me.

 

As a final note I leave you with a web link to a quarterback draft list for the last 72  years

http://www.drafthistory.com/positions/qb.html

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

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