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How Could Flex Scheduling Potentially Affect the Minnesota Vikings?

Anthony Carter. . .not THE Anthony Carter, I assume, but who knows. . .brought up something worth pondering in one of the FanPosts yesterday, and that's whether or not the NFL's "flex scheduling" rules will affect the Minnesota Vikings in some way, shape, or form as we move down the stretch.  It's getting to that time of year, and the Vikings are becoming a bit of a hot ticket, so it might be worth examining if any of the Beloved Purple's games could end up getting placed into a prime-time slot.

For those unfamiliar with the rules of the flex scheduling, here's a rundown, and we'll look more specifically at the Vikings after the jump.

-Begins Sunday of Week 11
-In effect during Weeks 11-17
-Only Sunday afternoon games are subject to being moved into the Sunday night window.
-The game that has been tentatively scheduled for Sunday night during flex weeks will be listed at 8:15 p.m. ET.
-The majority of games on Sundays will be listed at 1:00 p.m. ET during flex weeks except for games played in Pacific or Mountain Time zones which will be listed at 4:05 or 4:15 p.m. ET.
-No impact on Thursday, Saturday or Monday night games.
-The NFL will decide (after consultation with CBS, FOX, NBC) and announce as early as possible the game being played at 8:15 p.m. ET. The announcement will come no later than 12 days prior to the game. The NFL may also announce games moving to 4:05 p.m. ET and 4:15 p.m. ET.
-Week 17 start time changes could be decided on 6 days notice to ensure a game with playoff implications.
-The NBC Sunday night time slot in "flex" weeks will list the game that has been tentatively scheduled for Sunday night.
-Fans and ticket holders must be aware that NFL games in flex weeks are subject to change 12 days in advance (6 days in Week 17) and should plan accordingly.
-NFL schedules all games.
-Teams will be informed as soon as they are no longer under consideration or eligible for a move to Sunday night.

Star-divide

Now, the one thing that hurts the Vikings when it comes to flex scheduling is that they only have one game this season against a team from the NFC East. . .and official studies casual observations by people that have even an iota of common sense have shown that games involving one or more teams from the NFC East are ten to fifteen times more likely to end up on NBC's Sunday Night Football than games that don't involve any NFC East teams.  (Hey, if you think I'm making that up, go back and look at the SNF schedule since it moved to NBC.  The imbalance is freaking outrageous.)

So, how many of the Vikings' last seven games have a chance to get flexed into a prime-time slot?  Let's take a look at this week by week. . .both the Vikings' scheduled opponent for that week, and the game that NBC has tentatively scheduled for the Sunday night slot.

Week 11
Vikings schedule
: vs. Seattle
Current SNF game:  Philadelphia at Chicago

There's no way that Seattle at Minnesota is intriguing enough for the NFL's schedule makers to move to Sunday night.  The Seahawks have been pretty bad this year. . .they'll be 4-5 at best coming into the Metrodome (more than likely 3-6) and aren't looking at a whole lot of post-season prospects, so I don't give this game much of a chance of being flexed.  I don't know if Philly/Chicago will stay in that spot, though. . .there's a pretty juicy looking matchup with Indianapolis traveling to Baltimore that would look good in that spot.  However, NBC has a game that fulfills their NFC East criteria, so I don't see the current game being moved from its slot.

Week 12
Vikings schedule
: vs. Chicago
Current SNF game:  Pittsburgh at Baltimore

Sufficient to say. . .I think NBC has exactly the game they want for Week 12.  The Bears, despite not being that good in 2008, were somehow scheduled for five prime-time appearances this season, based largely on their acquisition of Jeff George v2.0 to be their starting QB.  How many NFL and network executives do you suppose are kicking their own asses over that brilliant idea right now?  (I, personally, hope that somebody has been fired for their ignorance.)  So, I think that the NFL would like to forget that fiasco, and I think the only way the Bears are going to get flexed into prime time is if they somehow go against a team from the Lingerie Football League.

Week 13
Vikings schedule
:  at Arizona
Current SNF game:  New England at Miami

This could provide NBC with an intriguing option.  The Cardinals, if they can turn it around, should be in position to take the NFC West title again, and after all, they are the defending NFC champions.  There's the angle of Warner vs. Favre to look at as well.  The only other game that appears to be a candidate to be moved would be Philadelphia at Atlanta.  NBC could very well keep the game they currently have, but the Dolphins haven't had a lot of success this year against teams not named the New York Jets, and are fading a bit quickly in the AFC.  But I think this game definitely has some flex potential.

Week 14
Vikings schedule
:  vs. Cincinnati
Current SNF game:  Philadelphia at New York Giants

NBC currently has a game that features not one, but TWO NFC East teams scheduled for this week, so we can probably take that game away from NBC when we pry it from their cold, dead hands.  But Bengals/Vikings, based on the way things look right now, might be the best game of Week 14.  We have the Saints/Falcons rematch, but they've already had one prime-time game, and there's a game between the Chargers and Cowboys that could potentially have some post-season implications for both teams, but again. . .I'd be surprised if the current game gets moved from Week 14 at all.

Week 15
Vikings schedule
:  at Carolina
Current SNF game:  Minnesota at Carolina

The Vikings are already scheduled for Sunday night in Week 15. . .but is there a chance they could get flexed out?  The Panthers haven't been very good, and if Jake Delhomme keeps performing like. . .well, like Jake Delhomme. . .there's a very good chance that they'll already be looking to 2010 by the time this game comes around.  There are two other solid possibilities for flex scheduling this week, those being Packers at Steelers and Chargers at Bengals.  If Carolina's season continues to keep trending south, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Vikings get bumped to an afternoon slot in favor of one of those two games.

Week 16
Vikings schedule
:  at Chicago (Monday night)
Current SNF game:  Dallas at Washington

Monday night games can't be affected by flex scheduling, so there is no chance that the Vikings will conclude their season sweep of the Bears at any time but Monday night.  Will Dallas and Washington remain on Sunday night that week?  There is a matchup between the Ravens and Steelers out there, although that would make a second SNF matchup for those two teams, as well as the Broncos traveling to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles.  It will be interesting to see whether this game gets changed.

Week 17
Vikings schedule
:  vs. New York Giants
Current SNF game:  None

The Week 17 SNF matchup won't be decided until after the Week 16 games have concluded. . .presumably by Sunday night, since the Monday nighter that week should have no post-season implications (except, possibly, for home field advantage through the NFC playoffs for the Vikings).  This game could potentially have implications for a first-round bye, among other things, so there's a chance that Giants/Vikings could be the Sunday night game of choice.  From the look of the schedule right now, the only other game that appears to have the remote possibility of intrigue is Green Bay at Arizona. . .the rest of the Week 17 matchups look like real stinkers, for the most part.

So, the Vikings do have a bit of flex possibility for the last seven games of 2009.  Hopefully the league will see that the Vikings should be in prime-time more frequently. . .certainly more than their division rivals deserve to be. . .and adjust the schedule accordingly.

EDIT:  DangerDale has pointed out a thread over at The 506 that says both CBS and FOX get to protect five games from flex scheduling.  According to that list, the protected games are as follows:

FOX:  Washington/Dallas (Week 11), Chicago/Minnesota (Week 12), Dallas/New York Giants (Week 13), Green Bay/Chicago (Week 14), Green Bay/Pittsburgh (Week 15)
CBS:  New York Jets/New England (Week 11), Tennessee/Indianapolis (Week 13), San Diego/Dallas (Week 14), Cincinnati/San Diego (Week 15), Baltimore/Pittsburgh (Week 16)

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments  |  Add comment |

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Great explanation

Thanks for clearing it up.

One question…. If the flex scheduling starts week 12, why do they even bother putting games in the Sunday night slot to start with? Doesn’t that only set up the possibility of people getting upset by being bumped out?

by PurpleJesus on Nov 8, 2009 7:39 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Ratings (?)

Gonzo,

I think your analysis is spot on.

The only question I have is ratings. Does a game with playoff implications guarantee more ratings that the Vikings (Favre)?

The HIGHEST cable TV ratings came in the 1st Vikings/GB game, last weeks Vikings/GB game was also strong in the ratings. I have not followed the ratings for other Vikings games. Was this ONLY because of the Favre/GB story line?

Inquiring minds want to know.

Regards,

I don't suffer from insanity...I relish every moment of it!

by the Dragon on Nov 8, 2009 9:53 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Vikings@Panthers won't get bumped

Favre in Purple on Sunday night will only increase NBC’s ratings…IMO

Giants@Vikings on Prime-time, would be a great way to finish the reg-season. The only problem with it is, the Vikes would have back to back to back Prime time games. People might get sick of us…lol

by chaosg on Nov 8, 2009 10:02 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

let somebody else play nights

screw night games……i want mine on sunday afternoons

by chillysucks on Nov 8, 2009 10:28 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree

I hate waiting for Monday night. . .I hate waiting for Sunday night. . .hell, even last week waiting until the 3:15 games wasn’t terribly enjoyable.

Vikings football is meant for noon on Sundays. Always has been.

But. . .it’s still a possibility.

The Daily Norseman - The greatest Vikings' site on the Internet!

by Gonzo on Nov 8, 2009 10:32 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

A little confused by the rules

Now, I know they said Sunday afternoon games, so I’ve always interpreted that as the late afternoon games only could be flexed. Now, if they go by Eastern time, that would include the early games which I thought were left alone? If so, looking at the printout of our schedule, the only game that could be flexed would be the Arizona game. Is this correct or is the NFL including all games as flexible since they start technically in the afternoon in the Eastern T.Z.?

"That is the craziest sonofabitch I ever saw, how many more like him do you think are up there?"

by VikesFaninNM on Nov 8, 2009 10:54 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

It's my understanding

That the only games that are immune from being flexed are Thursday night, Saturday night, and Monday night games. Every other matchup on the schedule is fair game.

That’s my interpretation, anyway. . .I could very well be wrong.

The Daily Norseman - The greatest Vikings' site on the Internet!

by Gonzo on Nov 8, 2009 11:14 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, the rules coming from a league that wants to punish players for taking a supplement that had a banned substance that wasn’t labeled and weren’t told about, anything is possible.

"That is the craziest sonofabitch I ever saw, how many more like him do you think are up there?"

by VikesFaninNM on Nov 8, 2009 11:27 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe this has been covered later in the thread

and I have not read that far yet, but here is the official NFL explanation link for the flex schedule definition.

http://www.nfl.com/schedules/tv/flexible

"Skol pa fiskande"

by NobleSavage on Nov 8, 2009 11:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm going to the game in Arizona...

and because my girl needs to be back home Monday morning, we scheduled a flight for Sunday night… so..I’m hoping they do not switch that game or I could be screwed…

by San Diego Viking on Nov 10, 2009 1:54 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

correct

Any game played on Sunday can be flexed to the night game and or be changed from noon to 3:15 or vice versa to give the stations a good game at each time slot. They will not change games on Thurs, Fri, Sat, or Monday due to already being prime time games and the effects on planning them.

by Nefarien on Nov 8, 2009 11:18 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Something important to consider

is that flex scheduling is in place to replace a potential bad game with a good game, not to replace a good game with a better game.

Fox and CBS also get to protect 5 games from flex scheduling. The list is posted here:
http://the506.com/yabb/YaBB.pl?num=1255641309

by DangerDale on Nov 8, 2009 11:34 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Flex Scheduling and "Abbott & Costello

I know that this may sound similar to comparing “Apples & Orange”!

Flex Scheduling, reminds me of that classic, “Who’s On First” routine done by Abbott and Costello….

Flex Scheduling, has game on Thursday night on the NFL Network, there are some on Friday Night, as well as Saturday. Flex Scheduling, also reminds me of my twenty-seven years of service in the U.S. Army. We had a common term, when there were changes in the SOP (Standard Operation Procedures), “Written in Stone, Subject to Change!”

Back to Abbott & Costello. “Who” is on 1st, “What” is at 2nd," I Don’t Know" is at 3rd. The Pitcher is “Today”, the Catcher is “Tomorrow”. The Left Fielder is “Why”, the Center Fielder is “Because”, and the Shortstop is “I don’t give a Dame!”

Only player not mentioned is the Right Fielder, which some say is “Naturally!”

Everyone we meet in life give us happiness, some by their arrival, others by their departure!

by Parnelli on Nov 9, 2009 11:18 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Wow, didn't realize it was so complicated

If weeks 11-17 are flexible, just leave them open until 12 days prior, then fill the Sunday night game with the best matchup available, save the Monday or Thursday nighter. The whole damn season should be flexible. I am tired of bullsh*t matchups every Sunday. The only game that should be set in stone is the first week’s primetime games. Go with a rematch of the superbowl for Monday night, and put the two runner’s up from the championship games on Sunday night. The rest of the season flex it!

"We Szekelys have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-Bram Stoker

by NMVike on Nov 10, 2009 11:20 AM CST reply actions   0 recs


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