FanPost

Playoff hopes and desires

 

As we approach the remaining five games of the year, the playoff picture scenerio will come to the forefront of most NFL conversations and although quite a few Viking fans, myself included, counted our Savage Norsemen out, the fact remains that mathematically, they are still in by the thinest of margains.

 

Below is a chart with the remaining schedule of those teams still realistically in the wild card hunt, with the most desired result, without being too ridiculous and what the playoff picture would look like, minus Atlanta.

 

Teams

Current Record

Week 13

Week 14

Week 15

Week 16

Week 17

Final Record

MIN

4-7

vs BUF W

vs NYG W

vs CHI W

@ PHI W

@ DET W

9-7 #6 Seed

PHI

7-4

vs HOU L

@ DAL L

@ NYG W

vs MIN L

vs DAL L

8-8 Miss

NYG

7-4

vs WAS L

@ MIN L

vs PHI L

@ GB W

@ WAS W

9-7 Miss

WAS

5-6

@ NYG W

vs TB W

@ DAL L

@ JAC L

vs NYG L

7-9 Miss

CHI

8-3

@ DET L

vs NE L

@ MIN L

vs NYJ L

@ GB W

9-7 #2 Seed

GB

7-4

vs SF L

@ DET L

@ NE L

vs NYG L

vs CHI L

7-9 Miss

NO

8-3

@ CIN W

vs STL W

@ BAL L

@ ATL L

vs TB W

10-6 #5 Seed

TB

7-4

vs ATL L

@ WAS L

vs DET L

vs SEA W

@ NO L

8-8 Miss

STL

5-6

@ ARI W

@ NO L

vs KC L

vs SF W

@ SEA L

7-9 Miss

SEA

5-6

vs CAR W

@ SF L

vs ATL L

@ TB L

vs STL W

7-9 #4 Seed

 

 

As the chart indicates our playoff hopes lie upon several MAJOR factors. First off, the Vikings have to win out. No questions about it. If we stumble anywhere, the season is over.

Next, many of the teams ahead of us have to finish with a below .500 record for the remainder of the season. This might seem improbable when you first think about it but once you see the remaining schedule, it doesn't look so impossible. I'll break it down but the key teams that are in front of us.

 

Chicago:

Beating them for the division is next to impossible. We can tie them for head to head and division record, however they have a leg up on us with common opponents, so unless they lose the remainder of their games, they take the division ahead of us. So, most of the chart doesn't matter for them if they win their first game. We can only hope for them to beat Green Bay in the final game. They could throw the game if it meant keeping us out of the playoffs but as we have seen in the past, it is not easy to lose to a team and then turn around and beat them the next week, let alone a division rival.

 

Green Bay:

I don't think it is probable for the Packers to lose their remaining games. Bear in mind, this chart is simply the most desired result without being completely obscene. Green Bay needs to lose 4 of the next 5 though. It is completely possible given their remaining schedule strength. However, two more wins and the Vikings are pretty much eliminated.

 

Tampa Bay:

Tampa Bay can win two more games and we take the Wild card from them based on the Conference tie-breaker and if they lose to Washington, we have common games as well. Tampa Bay has looked good at points but at others they have looked pretty bad so losing 3 of the next 5, not out of the realm of possibility.

 

New Orleans:

Not a chance we beat them out. They need one win to keep us out. I simply put them on there because they are in the Wild Card race currently. Key to them is, they cannot beat Atlanta for the Division. Other than that, I don't care what they do.

 

Philadelphia and New York:

At least one of these teams can only win two more games. As long as Minnesota does what it needs to and one of these teams finishes 9-7, we get the spot.

 

Washington:

I can't see them putting together 5 good games to win out and keep ahead of us. Not going to happen, not with 3 division games remaining and the Russian roulette style of play they seem to have. They are staying at home in January.

 

Seattle and St. Louis:

They are just slugging it out for the West coast. No Wild cards here.

 

Now for one serious point I know that can cause alot of contention, Detroit. Quite a lot of this chart relies on the Lions putting together 3 HUGE wins but before you count that as impossible, consider these few things. Detroit was one bad call from beating Chicago earlier this season. They nearly beat Green Bay except for a missed pass interference call that ended their potential game winning drive. They hung around and nearly beat the Eagles earlier in the season. They also gave the Jets and Giants fits throughout their games. This team is not the Lions of past years. They can play some good football. They have a lot to prove even though they are eliminated from the playoff. They have a good base on which to build and have shown the ability to hang around. Also when it comes to division games, nothing is impossible. Dallas also needs to step up and win some big games but they seem to be a new team under Jason Garrett so they could easily win the games we need them to.

 

Let me say this to end this. I'm buying into this entirely. Personally, I counted the season over about 4 weeks ago with the loss the New England. We looked horrible and our coach was a buffoon, whose players were quitting on him. There is something different hopefully with Frasier though and if they have the chance to get to the playoffs with all this talent, as we originally intended, then I would like to see it happen. We are pretty much fighting for the #6 seed in the playoffs and would likely have a difficult road but if we get there and play the gameplan we should, we have the talent to match up and win. I put this together with my optimism tempered but still there. If the 2008 Cardinals taught me anything, never count an NFL team out.

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

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