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Can we really afford to go it alone with Tarvaris Jackson?


One thing's for sure, this has been a hot topic for debate around the DN.  From what I can gather through reading various numerous FanPosts, it's pretty evenly divided between those who believe that TJack has earned one more crack at leading this team, and those who believe that TJack should be sent packing. 

I will admit it; a few years ago while I wandered around lost in cyber space and visited some less tasteful viking's message boards, I was a TJack supporter.  And I was among the minority.  I used to be just like you medicineball and you lifelongvike, and even you KC612; I thought that the kid had potential.  I saw those "flashes" of potential, that I believed justified trading away draft picks to move up into the second round to draft him out of Div I-AA Alabama State. 

I had the opportunity to watch TJack live as he led a furious comeback in the final minutes of the season finale in Denver back in 2007.  The game was filled with mistakes.  Chester Taylor fumbles out of the endzone on the game's first drive.  Adrian Peterson sat the bench because he was late to a team meeting, or because he missed the team bus, I forget.  Troy Williamson dropped two wide open passes, one that would have resulted in  a touchdown and the other a first down on 3rd and 15.  Ryan Cook was called for a holding penalty in the endzone which resulted in a safety. 

Despite all these setbacks, something miraculous happened (I hope I don't affend anyone using that word to describe the events of a football game) in the game's final minutes: Tarvaris Jackson took the game over.  He literally took matters into his own hands and scrambled for one first down after another.  He found a wide open Bobby Wade.  He converted not one, but two 2 point conversions to send the game into OT.  I was stoked.  Then he did the unthinkable: took a sack on his own 10 yard line and fumbled.  The ball was recovered by a denver player and as the snow began to fall, so did our hopes of making the playoffs that season.   

2008 was going to be the year that proved that Childress was indeed a QB guru.  He named TJack the opening day starter and unleashed him on the hated Green Bay Packers in the season opener on MNF.  And there for the whole world to see, TJack proceeded to throw 19 incomplete passes and an interception in the games final two minutes, which sealed the victory for GB.  Then in week 2 with a dominating performance from our defense which had us up 15-0 on the offensive juggernaut known as the Colts, the TJack-led offense continued to stall while only producing 5 field goals.  Petyon Manning found his rhythm and led his colts passed our beloved purple.  The result?  Childress pulled his pet project in favor of journeyman Gus Frerotte

The 2008 season had its ups and downs, but it ended when an inexperienced, over-whelmed TJack was named the starter once again and proceeded to have a sub-par performance in the playoffs.  It lead many so-called "experts" call the Vikings, "a QB away" from being a super bowl contender.   

2009 felt like a fairy tale.  The QB we had long been searching for was finally in place with #4.  I heard and read many viking fans say that this was the most balanced team they have ever seen in viking's history.  I agree.  I will go out on a limb and say the 2009 Vikings were the best Vikings team that I ever saw (note:  I was born in 1979).  Unfortunately, the best Vikings team was not good enough to overcome 5 turnovers and lousy officiating on the road to bring home our first Super Bowl. 

So where is all this going you ask?  After the jump I am going to provide some information that I think will prove my point:  Our chances of winning the super bowl in the 2010-11 season drop dramatically if TJack is our starting QB.     

Star-divide

I dug up some information on each of the Super Bowl winning teams going back to 1971.  And here it is:

YEAR

Winning Team

QB

Super Bowl MVP (only QB's listed)

Other info

1971

Colts

Johnny Unitas

QB In HOF

1972

Dallas

Roger Staubach

R. Staubach

QB In HOF

1973

Miami

Griese/Morrall

QB In HOF

1974

Miami

Griese

QB In HOF

1975

Pittsburg

Bradshaw

QB In HOF

1976

Pittsburg

Bradshaw

QB In HOF

1977

Oakland

Stabler

Led AFC in passer rating. 3rd fastest QB to 100 wins

1978

Dallas

Staubach

QB in HOF

1979

Pittsburgh

Bradshaw

Bradshaw

QB in HOF

1980

Pittsburgh

Bradshaw

Bradshaw

QB in HOF

1981

Oakland

Jim Plunkett

Plunkett

Only retired QB to win 2 SB's and not be in HOF

1982

San Francisco

Montana

Montana

QB in HOF

1983

Washington

Theismann

Top rated passer in NFC

1984

LA Raiders

Jim Plunkett

See above

1985

San Francisco

Montana

Montana

QB in HOF

1986

Chicago

Jim McMahon

League's best defense

1987

NYG

Simms

Simms

Greatest SB performance ever by a QB

1988

Washington

Doug Williams

Doug Williams

League's best offense

1989

San Francisco

Montana

QB in HOF

1990

San Francisco

Montana

Montana

QB in HOF

1991

NYG

Sims/Hostetler

2nd rated D (yds)

1st rated D (pts)

1992

Washington

Mark Rypien

Mark Rypien

League's best offense

1993

Dallas

Troy Aikman

Troy Aikman

QB in HOF

1994

Dallas

Troy Aikman

QB in HOF

1995

San Francisco

Steve Young

Young

QB in HOF

1996

Dallas

Troy Aikman

QB in HOF

1997

Green Bay

Brett Favre

QB Future HOF

1998

Denver

Elway

QB in HOF

1999

Denver

Elway

Elway

QB in HOF

2000

Rams

Kurt Warner

Kurt Warner

League's best offense

2001

Ravens

Trent Dilfer

League's best defense

2002

New England

Bledsoe/Tom Brady

Brady

QB Future HOF

2003

Tampa Bay

Brad Johnson

League's best defense

2004

New England

Tom Brady

QB Future HOF

2005

New England

Tom Brady

QB Future HOF

2006

Pittsburgh

Ben Roethlisberger

only 1 QB with 2 rings not in HOF

2007

Colts

Peyton Manning

Peyton Manning

Future HOF

2008

NYG

Eli Manning

Eli Manning

2009

Pittsburgh

Big Ben

League's best defense

see '06

2010

Saints

Drew Brees

Drew Brees

League's best offense

Convinced?  Not convinced?

Only 3 times in modern super bowl history has a team lost it's starting QB mid-season and kept going with out losing a step.  With TJacks questionable injury history, this does not look good.

In 20 of the above listed Super Bowls, the winning team had a HOF QB playing for them.  If we add future HOF locks like Brady, P. Manning and Favre, that number swells to 25.  Since TJack will never be in the HOF, again it doesn't look good. 

In the 7 super bowls that the starting QB isn't a HOFer, future HOFer or wasn't chosen as the game's MVP, the QB either was the league's leader in passer rating or he played on the league's best offense or had the league's best defense 6 out of the 7 times (1991 NYG only exception, however they had the league's 2nd ranked Defense in yards and the #1 Defense in points allowed.  Also worth noting that this NYG team was a chip shot FG away from being beaten by a Bills team with a HOF QB-Kelly).  The only thing TJack might have going for him here is a chance to play with the league's best defense, but with injuries to key players, I'd say that's a long shot. 

There has only been 3 times since 1971 that a team won with an average QB; and all three times he had the best defense in the league to protect him.  It just doesn't look good without a proven QB guys.  And TJack is far from proven.   

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

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My goal is not to bash TJACK

My only point is that this team is pretty balanced. And with a solid, proven, consistent QB, I think we can go far and hopefully get back to the Super Bowl. That’s all I want. That’s all I’m asking for. Let us have a QB that can help our chances and not hurt our chances.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 17, 2010 4:42 PM CST reply actions  

No Worries....................

Favre will be back for the 2010 season, 100% Guaranteed!

by REVENGE4FAVRE on Feb 17, 2010 4:47 PM CST reply actions  

You need to update your spreadsheet

You forgot to post “Future Hall of Famer” or “Future HOF” beside Drew Brees.

by Grumps on Feb 17, 2010 5:02 PM CST reply actions  

I was trying to be as objective as possible

But yeah I probably could have labeled Warner and Brees as future Hall of Famers. And who knows, Big Ben has already won 2 rings…he and Plunkett might one day get in.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 17, 2010 5:37 PM CST up reply actions  

And Kurt Warner

But solid analysis. Informative post.

"We're used to Favre-a-palooza now. We're engulfed in Favre-a-palooza. It's not even Favre-a-palooza anymore. He's family now."

--Vikings TE Visanthe Shiancoe, on Brett Favre

by Ted Glover on Feb 17, 2010 6:54 PM CST up reply actions  

The TJ experiment

When TJ was given the starting job for the 2nd time in 2008, he had already started 16 NFL games. It could have been 20 NFL starts had he been able to stay healthy and even more than that had he completed a few passes in the 2008 opener.

Brad Childress staked a lot of his reputation on Tarvaris Jackson, so it should be universally meaningful to Vikings fans that he benched The Precious any combination of good reasons, including, but not limited to, these:
- TJ hadn’t demonstrated in practice that he could use the entire playbook well enough.
- Even after 2-3 years…
- TJ proved that he couldn’t stay healthy by starting only 16 of 20 games (12/16 in 2007).
- TJ choked vs. Denver and GB (and was terrible other times like the ’07 opener vs. ATL).
- That spells no real improvement from one year to the next.

Like NMV, I was also cheering for TJ in 2007 (and that had required forgiving his 2 terrible starts in 2006); however I had soured on Childress and TJ before 2007 season was over.

Nobody on Earth wanted Tarvaris Jackson to succeed more than Brad Childress, and, oddly enough, many of the TJ fans are Childress fans, so even though I don’t like Childress’s decisions very often, we should all trust him to start or bench or release TJ because if Childress would actually bench or cut TJ, then it probably should have been done long ago.

by KC Viking on Feb 17, 2010 6:13 PM CST reply actions  

in shorter terms

complete failure

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 17, 2010 10:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe

Not as bad as some (Ryan Leaf), though.

by KC Viking on Feb 18, 2010 11:40 AM CST up reply actions  

(Jamarcus russell?) aswell

but anyway i did have high hopes for the kid. maybe by some divine miracle he can get together

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 18, 2010 12:48 PM CST up reply actions  

What are our options?

Ok if Brett comes back no problem. Maybe Mcnabb but the chances for that need to be known by draft time. Unless Brett lets us know by the draft. Yeah good luck with that. We can’t pick a top QB in the draft & we don’t have time to develop one. This team is a contender now. Tjack has shown improvement, is it enough? He knows our system. He can make play with his legs. I hope Brett comes back but what real options do we have. Without Brett or Mcnabb I believe Tjack is our best option. Sage backing him up if he is out for a game or two. We have a solid team on both sides of the ball. If he can get off to a decent start a little confidence can go a long way.

by iowaron on Feb 17, 2010 6:16 PM CST reply actions  

League's best defense next year

Add Sean Weatherspoon, a good cornerback, and get everyone healthy, re-sign Kennedy, Sapp, etc… and we will get it done.

by medicineball on Feb 17, 2010 7:40 PM CST reply actions  

But how realistic is it to think this? The pass defense struggled even with Winfield and Griffin healthy. Griffin will likely take time to get his legs back under him and who knows how Winfield will come back after his foot injury (which can often being devestating for older Cb’s). Sapp and Allen would really have to step it up in order for you guys to be the best defense in the league and how realistic is it to think that Sapp can be a good #2 and Allen can be a good #3? It could happen, but I witnessed injuries devestate our Cb’s this past season, and having younger guys having to come fill in can be really difficult.

Sapp and Allen will be helped out a ton by that dominat pass rush you guys have but who knows whether or not that’ll be enough. Your safties also were pretty questionable this year, and to improve the pass defense both Johnson and Williams (or possibly Sanford) will have to step up.

I personally think your defense will be a lot like your defense this past year. Dominant at times, and then shaky against the pass at times. This is the main reason I don’t think you guys wanna go into next year with Jackson at Qb. There were times this year that you guys got into shootouts with some teams and do you really think Jackson will be able to keep up with teams like Favre could. Of course Favre could very well come back, and I personally think he is going too.

by packallday555 on Feb 17, 2010 10:13 PM CST up reply actions  

jeez ypu spend you spen more time analyzing our team the you yours

wait do you live in minnesota?

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 17, 2010 10:36 PM CST up reply actions  

jeez ypu spend you spen more time analyzing our team the you yours wait do you live in minnesota?

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 17, 2010 10:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Haha no trust me, I do not! I probably spend more time thinking about football then many others!

Yes I do.

by packallday555 on Feb 17, 2010 11:27 PM CST up reply actions  

really?

football is on my mind 24/7

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 18, 2010 9:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Uh, weird response.

He wasn’t calling you out. He said he “probably” does more “than many others.” I don’t have any problem with that. packallday555 is good people.

Skol Vikings!
Woot Woot!

by Manimal on Feb 18, 2010 1:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I didnt think that he was

i was just replying that i feel the same way. i agree with you that he is good people

"And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you!"

by Vikant on Feb 19, 2010 8:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Different opinion

First, I believe Asher Allen has the potential to become a Pro Bowl player in the NFL. Benny Sapp is quite good, too.

Second, I am overall much more optimistic about our secondary and pass defense than you are. At key times in key games in 2009, the Vikings shut down the passing games of the Steelers (500+ passing yards against the Packers), the Saints, the Cowboys, etc. In 2010, we will have all or almost all of our starters returning, and our defensive coordinator and almost all of his assistants returning. There are a lot of loose ends to tie up, but this group of guys has the talent to be the #1 defense. We can add talent in the draft, too.

Can the Vikings be the #1 overall defense next year, in yardage allowed, points allowed, or both? Yes. The main goal is to win the Super Bowl, however. Whatever it takes to do that.

by medicineball on Feb 18, 2010 9:43 AM CST up reply actions  

Optimistic in the face of all those injuries?

You must be using some of that crack Grime keeps talking about. Really now,
Phat Pat returns. Probably Bret. If we sign Chester and get our 8 draft picks how could you not be optimistic. Lets go draft some football players.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 10:46 AM CST up reply actions  

First, I believe Asher Allen has the potential to become a Pro Bowl player in the NFL. Benny Sapp is quite good, too.

That’s a pretty bold statement. Allen struggled in his playing time, especially with penalties. That’s not to say he couldn’t turn out to be a really good Cb but to expect him to improve that much in just one offseason might be unrealistic. Sapp was better last yar but I don’t know if he was quite good.

I don’t disagree that you guys don’t have the talent to be the #1 defense in the league. The only thing is you had the talent to be #1 in 2008 and this past year, and you weren’t. In fact the defense was probably better in 2008 then it was this past year. So when you take that into account, plus Griffin’s (who is your best cover corner) injury and the uncertainty of how effective Winfield will be coming back off his foot injury I just don’t think your defense will be #1, or really dominant. Just an opinion though.

by packallday555 on Feb 18, 2010 1:30 PM CST up reply actions  

that statement, along with your belief in TJack...

I’ll say it again, I’d really like you to be right!

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 11:24 AM CST up reply actions  

What make's a great defense great?

Great pass rush? Good tacklers? A good scheme? A defense that can create turnovers? A defense that is good in the red zone? Good pass coverage? A defense that dominates on 3rd down? Having your coach video tape the other team’s offensive signals? That one was a joke.

But seriously. All of those things can make a defense great. But one of the most underrated elements to a great defense is a consistent, time-consuming, ball controlling, mistake minimizing offense. That’s right, the team’s offense is often their best defense.

I made the point to a friend of mine back in ‘03 that the reason the Bucs finally won the super bowl was because of their offense. Now that’s a bit of an overstatement, but bear with me. That defense had been in place prior to the ‘02-’03 season. What was different is that they went out and brought in guys like Brad Johnson (not the sexiest QB, but if all you need is a game manager, he’s your guy, plus he can could make plays when needed), Keenan McCardell, and Michael Pittman. They had gone 10-6, 9-7 with the leagues best D the 2 years before. In 02-03 that new and improved O gave them the kickstart they needed.

Point is, even if we have the best D in the league in 2010, we still need our offense to score more than 21 points per game. Its a QB driven league now the way the rules are set up. Whoever our QB is in 2010, he’s going to have to make some plays, regardless of how well our Defense plays.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 4:00 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't think anyone doubts we need a good QB to be a contender

the question is where and how do we get them?

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 4:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Then why have you and I worked so hard to prove that TJ isnt a good QB? ;-)

But it is a difficult question to answer. The Vikings organization hasnt been able to find that answer, long term anyway, in over 30 years.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 4:30 PM CST up reply actions  

We could if TJ would be a QB like Dilfer or Green

But he’s not, if he could hold on to the ball make short passes and control the game I would be fine with him. Problem is he does make mistakes, and at time a lot of them. Throwing at shoe laces, not dealing with pressure well either in the pocket or on the field. An above average (not great) QB could go far with this team, even all the way to the SB if we got lucky. But I don’t think TJ is even an above average QB I’m afraid that he’s actually a below average QB and that we just can’t live with.
As for people who can take his job: Favre, McNabb, Pennington(if he’s healthy), Vick, Delhome (with reservations), LeFevour would be peole that I think we could get and I think would be a marked improvement over TJ.

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 8:58 AM CST reply actions  

On that Broncos game

Your extended discussion of the 2007 Broncos game was interesting. OK, most people probably don’t care. But assuming that anyone is still reading this, here is my opinion on it. First, I did not watch the game, although I wanted to skip out on the family reunion to watch it. I have seen replays of the key plays, however.

Jackson hit Troy Williamson deep. It was a perfect pass. It hit him on the facemask or chest and bounced off. If he had caught the ball, it would have been a touchdown. If the rest of the game had gone the same way, the Vikings would have won in regulation. Yet Williamson did drop the easy touchdown.

On the overtime sack, on the replay you can see that Matt Birk fails to make a block against a defender. Additionally, a second defender comes in on a blitz. Both hit Jackson simultaneously. With a double hit like that, it’s not surprising that the young quarterback fumbled. Of course he should have thrown the ball away, etc….

We’ve talked about Jackson’s mistakes mostly coming while under pressure. In my opinion, he showed improvement in this area in 2009.

Finally, on the playoff loss, many great all-time quarterbacks lost their first playoff game, and then went on to championship-winning careers. If you’re going to bash Jackson for playoff performance, you really have to wait until his second playoff game, which hasn’t happened yet.

by medicineball on Feb 18, 2010 9:37 AM CST reply actions  

This is all true MB

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 9:38 AM CST up reply actions  

I mentioned the perfect pass that TJack threw to a wide open TWill

I also mentioned the 3rd and 15 pass that TWill dropped. I was loving that 4th quarter comeback. I was loving TJack at the time. But the whole game reflects his body of work: He flashes potential, but mostly is inconsistent and can’t handle pressure.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 9:50 AM CST up reply actions  

You know MB...
If you’re going to bash Jackson for playoff performance, you really have to wait until his second playoff game, which hasn’t happened yet.

My fear is, I might have to wait a long, long time for that to happen.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 4:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Scary, scary thought.

But so true. That may take a long time, especially with the way Peterson and the O-line were playing this year.

Skol Vikings!
Woot Woot!

by Manimal on Feb 19, 2010 2:43 PM CST up reply actions  

That's been a point I've been trying to make

’08 our run game was dominant because our OLine was firing on all cylinders. This overcompensated for our troubles at QB. Plus the NFC was much weaker in ’08, so 10-6 was enough to win the NFC north. In ’09 it took 12-4 to win; and barely clinched a bye.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 22, 2010 12:03 PM CST up reply actions  

OTHER SIDE OF THE EQUATION
Favre, McNabb, Pennington(if he’s healthy), Vick, Delhome (with reservations),

. GRIME, You forgot Campbell,Troy Smith ,Kolb, Clemens, and a host of other FAs and RFAs out there today.

I am as interested as everyone in finding a Qb that is a future Hall of Famer. I also want a Super Bowl win for the Vikings AS BAD AS ANYTHING. How does a team do that? You have listed 24 super bowl winning Qbs in the last 40 years. If three QBs a year are taken in the first round that is 120 QBS. 24 have been SB winners. And not all of those have been 1st rounders.
There is no magic formula or strategy for obtaining one of these Gems. Some are luck such as Warner from the arena league. Some are studs such as Elway. Some happen to fit the perfect system like Montana. All are winners and have something special. Some like Brad Johnson showed their talent early and were let go due to injuries or salary disputes. Some like McNabb and Marino are Hall of Famers but never won a Superbowl.

So what is your point. No one knows whether TJ is like these guys.

Brad Johnson 10 years 3 different teams= Superbowl
Jim Plunket 12 years 3 different teams= Superbowl
Joe Theisman 8 years 1 team = Superbowl
Doug Williams 7 years 2 different teams= Superbowl
Dan Marino 17 years 1 Team = No Superbowl
Donavan McNabb 11 years 1 Team = No Superbowl

My questions never center around how to make what we have work. That is the job of the coaching staff. My question centers around how the Front Office should go about getting a HOF QB. Do we make a Ricky Williams trade and give up an entire draft + to get a Highly rated QB? Do we train TJ a little longer? Do we keep grabbing Old Guys like Moon, Cunningham, Farve, McNabb, Pennington, Ect?

Here is the Point of my Counter argument.

I am going to provide some information that I think will prove my point: Our chances of winning the super bowl in the 2010-11 season drop dramatically if TJack is our starting QB.

The reason these QBs are in the HOF is because they won superbowls. If TJ goes on to win two or three SBs he will probably be in the hall of fame. Your argument is backwards.

The question is how do we get a QB of the Future. Either draft and train, Trade up for a high pick, or train what you have. No one but the front office knows which way they want to go. I say you try your best to get the best damn QB you can. But if you don’t want to wait for a young QB to mature then you will have to keep paying old Qbs to come in and try to learn your system.

Finally, I again want to reiterate. I don’t know whether TJ is the answer. I do know that the coaching staff does know. Thats why they yanked him before and that is why they brought in Brett. If they still know he isn’t the guy then lets get a different one. If they know he WILL be the guy don’t let him go. For the umpteenth time. We will know the answer after March 5, 2010. Lets not sweat the small stuff till then.

Skol everyone. Great Debate.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 9:49 AM CST reply actions  

The reason these QBs are in the HOF is because they won superbowls. If TJ goes on to win two or three SBs he will probably be in the hall of fame. Your argument is backwards.

Really? Wow. So Johnny Unitas is in the HOF because he won Super Bowls and not because he is regarded as one of the best QB’s to ever play the game? What about Joe Montana? Or John Elway?

TJack will NEVER be mistaken for a Hall of Famer. C’mon. Even our own Cris Carter is being held out of the Hall and he is one of the best players EVER at his position.

Finally, I again want to reiterate. I don’t know whether TJ is the answer. I do know that the coaching staff does know. Thats why they yanked him before and that is why they brought in Brett. If they still know he isn’t the guy then lets get a different one. If they know he WILL be the guy don’t let him go. For the umpteenth time. We will know the answer after March 5, 2010. Lets not sweat the small stuff till then.

I think you answered your own question. The staff does know. That’s why they have brought in QB after QB to take over for TJack. And there’s nothing wrong for fans to discuss the obvious, we have issues at QB. Mostly right now because we don’t have an answer from Brett. But even when we get our answer, we still have questions about long-term solutions for our QB issues. I’m not sweating it, but I also don’t think it’s small stuff. The whole point of this FanPost is to prove that in order to win a Super Bowl, you have to have pretty darn good QB.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 9:59 AM CST up reply actions  

BTW NMVike. Great work. Nice post

Detailed posts are hard to accomplish. Love the spreadsheet.
 I didn’t mean that some of the QBs presently in the Hall of Fame wouldn’t have gotten there without a Superbowl win. I think Jim Kelly, Marino, and Fran Tarkenton are in along with numerous others. I’m simply meant that winning a superbowl is one of the criteria people use in deciding if someone is a Hall of Famer. Comparing these long term successful QBs to TJs skimpy 4 year record is just not valid at this point IMHO. But I totally respect your opinion of TJ.
He has had the opportunity to be successful. Whether he has another one is yet to be seen.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 10:27 AM CST up reply actions  

Thanks. My neck was jacked up and my eyes are still red from looking at the computer for so long

I hope you guys know that IF TJack is our QB next year, I’ll still root for him and will most definately root for the Vikes. I like the kid. He’s got some ability. But after seeing our offense version 2009 with Brett, it’s going to be hard to settle for anything less. And I know it happens. The fans in Miami, Denver, SF are still reeling from their better days. But I just don’t think that TJack can get us to the mountain top. And I’m sure that’s all any of us on the DN wants.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 11:21 AM CST up reply actions  

It's a debate and it wouldn't even be here if the Vikes were playing

But they aren’t and we have to talk about them much like a crack addict will sell his teeth to get more crack. The difference is crack is for sissies being a Vikings fan is way tougher to quit! This is, TJ does have brilliance in him I think we can all agree on that. In a simpler system he might really shine, however, Childress’s system is not that simple. Also, looking at QB’s that have actually made his system work, Gus, Farve it seems like the system is designed for a different type of QB than what TJ brings to the table. Some of those QB’s were terrible in teams and did great in others because they went to systems that better show cased their particular talents. That in itself could be a reason why people like Gannon and Johnson were so successful with other teams, and if TJ does turn into a great QB then that plus a hundred other things (QB coach, O Line etc) could be factors.

One last thing… Montana’s not a stud? TAKE IT BACK!

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 10:07 AM CST up reply actions  

First off I think Montana was the best EVER. By stud I meant that #1 overall can't fail QB in the draft.

To NMVike. To say that TJ was not ready then and to say that TJ is not ready now are two different statements. The first does not mean the last. To paraphrase Peyton: " it takes 1,000 throws before a QB understands the NFL". TJ has only had 500 and now a year of sitting behind a great one. Maybe he isn’t ready. Maybe he is.
This is my last post on this subject ( unless I get the crack itch) so I won’t bore you with my wait another 15 day speech. If he isn’t ready I’m ready to move on also.

To Grime: I do not disagree with your statement about TJ maybe not fitting the system. But I know he came from a small school and our playbook is thick. If he isn’t ready I’m ready to move on also.

Now , Grime, that bit about me and the rest of DN Nation being a crack whore or football junkie, or a blogging parasite now thats a little beneath the belt. LOL

Again Skol to all Vike Fans. Always a pleasure to discuss our team.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 10:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Hrm...

I’ve started to realize with the crack pipes and gerbils my posts are starting to get a bit weird. So, I’ve decided to stop all that nonsense and get seriously serious about this. TJ is not the worst option we have. We could play a monkey wearing a bell hop suit. Just kidding he is better than some QB’s, and he knows the system. I’m just greedy and don’t want lose the hope I have for next year.

Now these are the things I will no longer talk about for the nest 15 days: pickles, midgets (wee people to the easily offended), badmitten, pink dinosaurs, marshamallows, Rush Limbaugh and polk a dotted taffy. No if at the end of those 15 days Childress makes TJ the starting QB I’ll drive up to Minnesota with a pellet gun full of frozen toothpaste and let him have it. After he’s uncouncious I’ll look for his pot of gold.

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 1:59 PM CST up reply actions  

you have talent my friend!

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 2:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes he does.
We could play a monkey wearing a bell hop suit.

That line says it all in only ten little words.
ILMAO

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 19, 2010 10:51 AM CST up reply actions  

This may come as a surprise...
You forgot Campbell,Troy Smith ,Kolb, Clemens, and a host of other FAs and RFAs out there today.

But I’ll take TJack over Troy Smith, Kellen Clemens and maybe even Jason Campbell.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 18, 2010 11:46 AM CST up reply actions  

Yep, you surprised me.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 1:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Shows you what I think of Smith, Clemens and Campbell! ;-)

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 19, 2010 10:04 AM CST up reply actions  

In all reality I don't think TJ is teh worst QB in the league

I do think he’s not a good fit for Chilly’s complex play book and pocket passing style.

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 19, 2010 11:27 AM CST up reply actions  

I agree with that. Well sort of. When he was our starter, he was the worst starter in the league

I tried making that point on another thread, but it was shot down. I think TJack would be better off in a NE or DEN or even TENN style offense.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 19, 2010 11:35 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm shooting for GB

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 19, 2010 11:37 AM CST up reply actions  

He'd be perfect fit there

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 19, 2010 11:39 AM CST up reply actions  

Haha no he wouldn’t, stop it!!!

by packallday555 on Feb 20, 2010 2:44 PM CST up reply actions  

GRIME, You forgot Campbell,Troy Smith ,Kolb, Clemens, and a host of other FAs and RFAs out there today.

Campbell is too much like Rosenfels, to me…. after what he’s been through, I’m kinda leery about him.

Do you really think that Kolb isn’t going to be re-signed?

Not sure about Smith and Clemens, but a lot of those guys won’t be leaving their teams.

But if you don’t want to wait for a young QB to mature then you will have to keep paying old Qbs to come in and try to learn your system.

I don’t think there’s much alternative to that. Great 1st string QBs don’t grow on trees, and getting a team to part with one is rightfully like pulling teeth (as I mix metaphors like nobody’s business :)) ).

I do want to repeat my position on T-Jack, though… we just don’t know about him. The Vikings coaching staff and FO does, they’ve watched him in practices and evaluated him. But we’ve had precious little to go by. I trust their evaluation of talent, whichever way they go on him.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 18, 2010 11:48 AM CST up reply actions  

You mean there isn't an alternative you want to live with.

We can evaluate the best of the draft and go get a QB this year. I bet KC would love to load up on picks from us in this draft. I just don’t want to give up the draft picks necessary to accomplish this. Or we could tank one year and get a top 5 pick. That one is not acceptable to me. Heck, I’m with you DC. I trust their evaluation of talent. Whichever way they go is fine with me.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 1:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Yep it's better than what I got..

Problem is I keep on thinking to myself that I’m smarter than Chilly.

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 18, 2010 2:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Well you probably are. Its the rest of us that are not.

Winning is not everything but it sure feels like it sometimes

by lifelongvike on Feb 18, 2010 3:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Built to Win

In the 2009 season NFC Champ game, the Vikings beat themselves more thoroughly than the opposition. That’s nothing new, the Vikings have a long legacy of that. But what is new is that this time, they did it with a raft of injuries to key players, with many players that were playing hurt and/or with minor injuries. They did it despite the officiating and the opposition’s tactics on Favre. They had an insane number of turn-overs. Despite all those things against them, they still had almost 25% of the NFC’s Pro Bowl nominees, And they almost won anyway.

I’m not bringing that up to get into a rehash (which is why I worded it to avoid calling the the trolls over in keyword searches). I ran through it because it supports the point that the Vikings are ready to go the Big Dance this coming year. Despite all those issues, they’re still the best team in the NFL to not go all the way last year.

That’s what Chilly and the FO has accomplished. in 3 years. Remarkable job, really.

So I don’t want to see them screw that up. I don’t want to see a lot of personnel changes, I don’t want to see them lose any starters unless those starters are replaced by bone fide better players. We have a winning group, let’s not gut it the way Mark seems to feel is necessary.

What the Vikings need is to shore up some weaknesses and improve the depth. O-line, and Secondary, and ensure there’s a good leader to toss the keys of the offense to.

What they don’t need is a re-build. They don’t need to trade away significantly contributing players, or sell the future in draft picks.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 19, 2010 7:01 AM CST up reply actions  

I didn't see any mention of the Rosencopter

Based on the performances Sage and TJ put on in the preseason last year I would be much happier with Sage under center than TJ.

by heavysett on Feb 19, 2010 5:02 AM CST reply actions  

Which game did you watch?

I watched Rosenfels in the pre-season and he stunk on ice. I mean, sucked. Really, really bad. So bad that there was no complaint when T-Jack won the competition between them.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 19, 2010 7:03 AM CST up reply actions  

I thought Sage looked good against Indy

He didn’t play against KC which was a game that both TJack and JDB looked good. Once #4 rolled in, Sage didn’t get any more chances with the starters.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 19, 2010 10:07 AM CST up reply actions  

I liked what I saw in Rosenfels

He made his reads and threw to the open man, His footwork looked polished. When he decided to throw the ball, he had a quick release. After the ball was thrown it had nice speed and nice accuracy. I could only say these things about TJ tongue in cheek.

by heavysett on Feb 19, 2010 7:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Neither is Producing Thrills

Against Indy, Sage was 10 out of 13 for 91 yards, and 0 TDs, and T-Jack crapped out.
Against KC, T-Jack was 12 out of 15 for 202 yards, and 2 TDs, nothing for Sage.
Against Houston, it was the Favre show, Sage and T-Jack did about the same.
Against Dallas, Favre didn’t play, Sage and T-Jack and Booty all stunk. Vikings lost.

I can see where they decided that T-Jack won the “shoot-out”, but he wasn’t very consistent and he really only had that one stellar performance in the pre-season. On the other hand, Sage wasn’t very productive at any point.

Personally, I expect Sage’s footwork and reads to be good. That’s what you’re supposed to get with a solid vet, which Sage is. What I hoped for, on the other hand, was something better. Maybe we’ll get that, I don’t see where they can have gone a year under Favre without having picked up something, even if it was just by watching him.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 22, 2010 8:32 AM CST up reply actions  

Against Indy, Sage was 10 out of 13 for 91 yards, and 0 TDs, and T-Jack crapped out.
Against KC, T-Jack was 12 out of 15 for 202 yards, and 2 TDs, nothing for Sage.
Against Houston, it was the Favre show, Sage and T-Jack did about the same.
Against Dallas, Favre didn’t play, Sage and T-Jack and Booty all stunk. Vikings lost.

So what your telling me is the “Qb competition” (if you want to call it that) between those two was pretty much a joke :)?

I saw some articles suggesting Sage was struggling to learn the playbook but that’s probably expected as Houston didn’t run the West Coast Offense.

by packallday555 on Feb 22, 2010 11:20 AM CST up reply actions  

I’m saying that Sage didn’t impress the Vikings’ coaching staff and T-Jack, although inconsistent, did a better job and that’s why he won the competition. That’s all.

I liked Sage a lot, prior to his coming to the Vikings. My issue with him is that since then, I haven’t seen anything to like. But then, with Favre’s hanging in through most of the games all season long, neither T-Jack nor Sage got much playing time after the pre-season so we don’t have much to go on.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 23, 2010 7:21 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm going to make an assumption and hope not to make an ass of myself

Once Favre was signed, it didn’t really matter who our #2 was. Childress tried to bring in Sage since ‘08 so obviously he saw something in him that he already liked. My assumption is this: since it was TJack’s final season before becoming a RFA, Childress appointed TJack #2, hoping that he’d get some mop-up time to take one more look at him. Childress knew what he had in Sage, but wanted to see if TJack was making progress. My gut tells me if the Silver Fox never came to town, Sage would have been our starter for ’09 sooner or rather than later.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 22, 2010 11:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Pretty strategic thinking!

You could be right, it’s a pretty good idea.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 23, 2010 7:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Gosh, thanks DC! :-)

It’s also quite possible that Sage was still a little rusty with the new system and all. TJack had a three year head start on him.
You can imagine that Favre was getting ALL the reps once he got there; that way he could get in sync with his receivers ASAP. That really took away any shot for Sage to get going and show his stuff.

"We have a right to be proud, for in our veins flows the blood of many brave races who fought as the lion fights for lordship. Here, in the whirlpool of European races, the Ugric tribe bore down from Iceland the fighting spirit which Thor and Odin gave them, which their Berserkers displayed to such fell intent on the seaboards of Europe, ay, and of Asia and Africa too, till the peoples thought that the werewolves themselves had come."
-from Bram Stoker's Dracula

by NMVike on Feb 23, 2010 10:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Sage

Well, he’s had a whole year to study and practice now, so I’d expect him to come out swinging in the pre-season. Can’t wait to see if that’s the case, we really would be well-served if he’s ready to step up.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 24, 2010 8:24 AM CST up reply actions  

Let’s keep in mind as well that Jackson was playing against mostly backups, and a team running the 3-4 defense for just the second time. Just saying :).

by packallday555 on Feb 22, 2010 11:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Fair Enough

Since T-Jack was a back-up too, and it was mostly 2nd and 3rd stringers that he was playing with. Just saying :)

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Feb 23, 2010 7:22 AM CST up reply actions  

T-Jack

I believe, T-Jack has the physical ability to be great, but at the moment he lacks the mentality to be great.

T-Jack is insecure on playing. He needs confidence.
****He needs to work on Reading Defenses/Blitz (They take time)

Understanding the playbook better… (I believe his playbook was limited)

Both above are more mental… They are teachable, but nothing a coach can really just show you how to learn. Everyone would probably pick up on this their own way.

As for phsyical ability, he has to work on quicker releases and accuracy. The guy has potential, but the real question is, are we just having this guy on our team at the wrong time? Look at A. Rodgers, he sat behind Favre for several years, and by the time his contract was up proved he was a legit QB his 2nd year starting. We have the talent for now, so I don’t know about putting all my money into a T-Jack stock.. If he had another year to sit behind a veteran and learn some more and get better garbage time.. I believe he could be great within the future.

by Deek on Feb 23, 2010 4:19 PM CST reply actions  

I think Rodgers was a better QB to start with than TJ

But that’s just a well informed opinion. :)

It's a lot easier to love the Vikings when they win...

by Grime on Feb 26, 2010 11:06 AM CST up reply actions  

The question is...

How many of those HOF QB’s were considered locks for the HOF when they won those Super Bowls? I think you are proving this backwards, as history has shown that HOF voting weighs HEAVILY on Super Bowl success.

Is TJack the answer? Maybe. We won’t know until we try. But the argument you have presented here is flawed and doesn’t prove anything one or the other.

by Cobra312004 on Feb 23, 2010 4:24 PM CST reply actions  

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