FanPost

26-27-60


No, it's not what some of you are thinking.  Get your mind out of the gutter. 

I have stumbled onto a formula for rating QB prospects that I had not heard of before reading a fanpost from one of our good friends over at Hogs Heaven, which was in turn highlighted by Mocking Dan of SB's Mocking the Draft.  The formula represents the prospects Wonderlic Score (26 is minimum passing score), number of games started and his career completion percentage.

It's a pretty compelling arguement.  I will highlight some of the findings after the jump.

 

 Since 1998, these are some of the NFL quarterbacks who aced all three parts of the Rule of 26-27-60: Peyton Manning, Phillip Rivers, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub, Kyle Orton, Kevin Kolb, Matt Ryan, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matt Stafford.

<!--tablemaker-->

Name Wonderlic Starts Completion Percentage
Peyton Manning 28 45 63
Philip Rivers 30 49 64
Drew Brees 28 36 61
Tony Romo 37 35 62
Matt Schaub 31 36 67
Eli Manning 39 38 61
Kyle Orton 26 37 60
Kevin Kolb 28 47 62
Matt Ryan 32 28 60
Ryan Fitzpatrick 48 28 60

<!--/tablemaker-->

Meanwhile, among the once highly-touted prospects who failed at least one part of the formula: Ryan Leaf, Joey Harrington, Michael Vick, Akili Smith, Tim Couch, Daunte Culpepper, David Carr, Vince Young and JaMarcus Russell.

<!--tablemaker-->

Player Wonderlic Starts Completion Percentage
Ryan Leaf 27 24 53
Joey Harrington 32 26 55
Michael Vick 20 21 56
Akili Smith 26 11 58
Tim Couch 22 27 67
Daunte Culpepper 18 43 64
David Carr 24 26 62
Vince Young 16 32 61
JaMarcus Russell 24 29 61

<!--/tablemaker-->

There are a few notable exceptions to the rule but only by slight margins. Two-time Super Bowl champ Ben Roethlisberger scored a 25 on the Wonderlic, just one point short of the standard of 26. Jay Cutler -- a mixed-bag thus far in the NFL -- scored exactly a 26 on his Wonderlic and had the starts, but completed 57 percent of his passes at Vanderbilt. Joe Flacco, who's been to the playoffs in each of his first two seasons, fell short in the starts category.

Player Wonderlic Starts Completion Percentage
Jay Cutler 26 43 57
Ben Roethlisberger 25 38 65
Joe Flacco 27 22 64

<!--/tablemaker-->

How about the quarterback class of 2010? Top pick Sam Bradford aces the rule easily, but the other three high-profile rookie QBs -- the Browns' Colt McCoy, the Broncos' Tim Tebow and the Panthers' Jimmy Clausen -- all fall short on the Wonderlic, although not by much.

<!--tablemaker-->

Player Wonderlic Starts Completion Percentage
Sam Bradford 36 31 67
Colt McCoy 25 53 70
Tim Tebow 22 42 67
Jimmy Clausen 23 35 63

<!--/tablemaker-->

It stands to reason why the Rule of 26-27-60 makes the most sense as a quick guide to NFL quarterbacking success, too.


Class of 2011 Pre-Wonderlic:

Jake Locker, 6'2" - 228 lbs -

Starts 26+

Completion % 53.8 (Fails)

Colin Kaepernick, 6'4" - 225 lbs -

Starts 26+

Completion % 58.2 (Fails)

Ricky Stanzi, 6'4" - 230 lbs

Starts 26+

Completion % 59.8

Christian Ponder - 6'2.5" - 222lbs PASSED

Starts 26+

Completion % 61.8

Cam Newton - 6'6" - 250 lbs

Starts 14 (Fails)

Completion % 65.4

Greg McElroy (ALA) - 6'2 - 222lbs  PASSED

Starts 26+

Completion % 66.3

Andy Dalton (TCU) - 6'2" - 213 lbs PASSED

Starts 26+

Completion % 61.7

Ryan Mallett - 6'6" - 238 lbs.

Starts 37

Completion % 57.8 (Fails)

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/john_lopez/07/08/qb.rule/index.html#ixzz1CGaC5yKu

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a <em>community</em>, that view is no less important.

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