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The Sullivan Controversy



Some weeks ago, in the midst of a conversation about our needs on the offensive line, I promised that I would grade out Sullivan for a complete game. I haven't had a chance to do so until this week. I watched every offensive play at least twice, focusing on what was happening in the interior of the line. I'll put the details after the break, but in quick summary: Sullivan was fine against Detroit. I think that's par for the course for him, but come below the fold with me and see if you agree.

Star-divide

First, methodology. I'm not a huge stat guy or a big consumer of the various scouting services out there, so I don't know what people normally do to evaluate linemen, and I made up my own process. As someone who as a senior played varsity starting right guard for his (horrid) high school football team, well, while sharing time with the up-and-coming sophomore, I feel my expert opinion should be enough for you, but I'll break it down anyway.

I used a five unit scoring process as follows:

-2 -- Missed assignment, which led directly to a minus play

-1 -- Missed assignment

0 -- Executed assignment

+1 -- Exceeded assignment

+2 -- Exceeded assignment, which led directly to a plus play

Using this scale, my score for Sullivan today was: +1. The vast majority of plays were zeros, with him doing what is expected of him. This week I didn't score him with any +2 or -2 plays. I've got him with six -1 plays and seven +1 plays.

I didn't start taking detailed notes until the second quarter, at which point my score was -2 for two missed plays. Here's how the rest of the game went:

Minus Plays

-- 1st & 10, 10:36 Second Quarter: Sullivan's man pushed him back to collapse the pocket. Result of the play was a Ponder scramble for the first down.

-- 2nd & 10, 10:38 Fourth: Sullivan gave ground to his man, escorting him into the backfield with the two of them keeping Johnson from getting out in front of the play as a lead blocker. Result of the play was a significant gain anyway, I think 8 yards for Gerhart.

-- 2nd & 10, 2:51 Fourth: Sullivan's man forced Webb to scramble out of the pocket resulting in an incompletion. (I graded this play both a plus and a minus, see below)

-- Final drive: two poor shotgun snaps, both handled nicely by Webb

Plus Plays

-- 1st & 10, 12:12 Second: Sullivan blocked at the point and got to the second level. Result was Gerhart run to the left for 8 yards.

-- 1st & 10, 1:05 Second: Sealed the point on a Gerhart 14 yard run.

-- 1st & 10, 8:02 Third: Sullivan got to second level for a block on a short gain for Gerhart.

-- 2nd & 10, 2:51 Fourth: (Same play as above) Sullivan's man forced the scramble, but he kept with it to block him twice to keep Webb up and held the initial block for as long as can be expected.

-- 4th & 1, 2:11 Fourth: Sullivan got push at a point that resulted in a Gerhart first down conversion.

-- 3rd & 2, 1:11 Fourth: Sullivan blocked two guys, first at the point and then at the second level as Booker converted the first.

-- 4th & 6, 0:26 Fourth: Sullivan blocked no one at first as Detroit was contained and he was the free man, but got the key block on the back side as Webb scrambled to get to the 2.

Bottom Line

Sullivan wasn't great today, and he wasn't perfect. But he was decent, solid, and acceptable. He failed mildly on a few plays, but exceeded expectations mildly on one more than he failed on. He didn't look like an All Pro, but he absolutely held his own against a decent defensive line and showed that at least in this game, he isn't the problem for this offensive line.

I continue to think that upgrades as LT, RG and RT are higher priorities than an upgrade at center, where Sullivan continues to be unspectacular but adequate.

Poll
Do the Vikings need a replacement at center this off season?
Yes, Sully doesn't get it done
33 votes
No, who could question an Irishman?
58 votes

91 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

Comment 38 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I absoulutly agree he's half decent

but I saw a lot more push up the middle when Berger was in and I think he should be starting.

"Winning isn't everything but losing is nothing" - Ace Bricka coach of the Galaxy Aces

by FFXVIKE on Dec 11, 2011 5:13 PM CST reply actions  

Sullivan has been ok...

If he wasn’t on a like that consisted of Charlie Johnson, Anthony Herrera, and Phil Loadholt, he’d look much better. I think we have to worry about LT, RT, and RG before we even discuss addressing C. He may bot be a pro bowler, but he’s young and only getting better. Right now I would say he’s at least average and probably an above-average C in this league.

by mak07 on Dec 11, 2011 5:15 PM CST reply actions  

sounds about right

He’s not terrible, but he’s certainly not an elite Center. Thankfully he’s young and still has room to improve and grow into a great center. I worry about his size giving him a lower ceiling though. Matt Birk he may never be.

SKOL Vikings!

by CCNorsemen on Dec 11, 2011 8:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Birk is setting a pretty high bar

He’s a great center. Sullivan may never be that, but that doesn’t make him a liability.

by amiller92 on Dec 11, 2011 9:50 PM CST up reply actions  

I've been saying he's alright.

He’s no road grader, but he is the least of our problems on the offensive line.

If we can't laugh at ourselves, Packer fans will call us crybabies and we will be forced to kick their tooth in. I really don't want to go to jail (again).

by Alittlemore_cowbell on Dec 11, 2011 5:16 PM CST reply actions  

Yep

We have much bigger holes to fill.

by Purpledork on Dec 11, 2011 5:19 PM CST up reply actions  

He's serviceable

which I will take two ways. One, Center’s not a position you really want to be ‘serviceable’ at. Two, we have so many holes to fill on that line, ‘serviceable’ will do for now. I will be furious if we were to, say, draft a C within the top three rounds, unless there’s someone unbelievably good out there I haven’t heard about yet.

261 Daily Norseman readers and counting say I am a genius... the masses have spoke!

...and those who voted 'moron' were secretly Packer trolls.

Daily Norseman

by KJSegall on Dec 11, 2011 5:35 PM CST reply actions  

One, Center’s not a position you really want to be ‘serviceable’ at.

What position is?

by Birdman84 on Dec 13, 2011 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

He is the most impoved player on the O-line

Which isn’t saying much, but he has done ok for himself. Now I am all for him and Fusco battling it out for the Center spot next year. I believe that Fusco is going to be special at the Center position for us for a long time but he first must prove that he can beat Sully with the loser being a solid backup.

by nmvikesfan on Dec 11, 2011 5:42 PM CST reply actions  

what makes you think

Fusco will be special? And if your right, don’t we need him more at RG?

by amiller92 on Dec 11, 2011 5:50 PM CST via iPhone app up reply actions  

Hmm

2010 Gene Upshaw Award

by Adam Sorum on Dec 11, 2011 6:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Just saying...

He looked good during the senior bowl and pre-season. I like Sullivan but think Fusco deserves a shot. I think you are right though that the shot should be as a guard.

by Adam Sorum on Dec 12, 2011 2:43 PM CST up reply actions  

If we do get a LT in the coming draft...

It will be interesting to see who wins out in the competition for the 3 interior line positions between Charlie Johnson, Fusco, Hutchinson, Sullivan, Love and Herrara.

by Adam Sorum on Dec 12, 2011 2:47 PM CST up reply actions  

And a RT would be nice since Loadholt is a revolving door when pass blocking.

by Adam Sorum on Dec 12, 2011 2:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Everything I have seen from him

His improvement and the way he has dominated, his play in preseason, and his play at RG this year. He has the physical tools and athleticism, his style fits our blocking schemes. He is a natural, started playing football as a junior in H.S., and did not take hitting the weights serious until last year. He has way more upside than we are seeing right now. He knows how to make the initial block and then get to the second level. I really think we found a diamond in the rough and I like the way the coaches are developing him. He may be Herrera’s replacement next year but i think he would be dominant at center for a long time for us.

by nmvikesfan on Dec 13, 2011 9:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Sully's biggest problem:

He wasn’t ready to replace Birk…
Here we are 3yrs later, and he’s starting to produce.
The Vikings FO has shown that the player must absolutely suck-ass before they release them, so I imagine Sullivan will be the starting Center in 2012’.

FA will decide how the Vikings draft.
If they can get a couple DB’s and a WR in the FA, then the Vikings will be able to afford spending multiple draft-picks on the Oline this year….
Otherwise I expect them to draft LT first, and then BPA after that.

by chaosg on Dec 11, 2011 8:51 PM CST reply actions  

Birk's an elite center

And you’re surprised that the guy who replaces him isn’t?

And did you mean to imply that he should be released because even though he’s not “absolutely suck-ass?”

by amiller92 on Dec 11, 2011 9:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not at all surprised.

They released an “Elite Center” even though their replacement wasn’t nearly ready….
What I’m surprised at is why the FO thought that Sullivan was ready to replace M. Birk !
Sullivan has started producing this year, but he’s far from solid..

Suck ass…terms of frustration I guess.
I don’t exactly think Sullivan needs to be benched or released… I’m not an Oline coach, so i really don’t know who or what the problem is, but i wouldn’t be all that surprised if the Vikings Oline looked very similar in 2012’.
In the last 5yrs the FO has thought they could get by with mediocre players, so I don’t imagine much will change next year.

by chaosg on Dec 11, 2011 10:59 PM CST up reply actions  

They didn't release Birk

He was a free agent who went elsewhere for more money.

I would be really surprised if the first or second round pick this year isn’t a LT.

by amiller92 on Dec 11, 2011 11:15 PM CST reply actions  

The way I remember it :

Birk was willing and wanting to stay, (he has a business here, and I think his family is here too)
But the Vikings low-balled him, and Birk really didn’t like Chilly so he decided to part ways.

At the time, Birk was one of those lineman that you don’t let walk away….It’s not like Birk was breaking the bank, he just wanted to feel a little more appreciated.
Allowing Birk to walk was a very foolish move by the Vikings FO…imo!

I agree the Vikes will draft a LT early, but other than that I don’t think the Oline will look much different in 2012.

by chaosg on Dec 12, 2011 2:48 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Yeah

There was definite bad blood involved.

And I agree, he was a good enough player that they should have found a way to keep in. Of course, I might have walked away from Chilly too ;)

by amiller92 on Dec 12, 2011 3:11 PM CST up reply actions  

You know where I stand on this.

Sullivan is a liability. I’ve seen Berger at center, and even with his limited experience with the playbook and his teammates, he was better at center than Sullivan. Heck! I’d give Fusco a shot now just to see what he’s capable of doing.

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 10:58 AM CST reply actions  

Pro Football Focus

Says Sullivan’s earned a pro bowl spot. That’s way too much praise for my taste, but I just don’t see the guy making a ton of mistakes.

by amiller92 on Dec 12, 2011 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

Oops.

Meant to reply (See “I’m sending Pro Football Focus the medical bill…” comment below.

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 3:22 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm sending Pro Football Focus the medical bill for this one...

…because that statement made me fall out of my chair. I’ve been unimpressed by a number of things that PFF has said in the past, but this one takes the cake IMO.

5. Minnesota Vikings

Rank: Pass Blocking = 17th, Run Blocking = 2nd, Penalties = 10th

Another team that has taken huge strides forward this year and it all starts at the center spot, with an injury free John Sullivan showing the player he can be (and timing it quite nicely in a contract year). He’s not just made a case for the Pro Bowl, but earned a spot there in our eyes. No real stars, though the play of Joe Berger in relief has been a pleasant surprise, while they’ve done well to overcome the inevitable problems of playing Charlie Johnson at left tackle.

Furthermore, I can’t see how PFF can think that this year’s line is playing at a higher standard that last year’s line. I like their statement about Berger but just can’t square the rest of it with what I’ve seen with my own eyes. Maybe “every game, every player, every play” is too broad of a mandate for them.

Anyway, I’ll grant you that PFF is a good source to defend your point of view on Sullivan. Can’t argue that. I just think they are wrong.

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 3:21 PM CST reply actions  

Also screwed this comment up too.

Meant to put quote box around the entire PFF quote. I’ll try again here.

Rank: Pass Blocking = 17th, Run Blocking = 2nd, Penalties = 10th


Another team that has taken huge strides forward this year and it all starts at the center spot, with an injury free John Sullivan showing the player he can be (and timing it quite nicely in a contract year). He’s not just made a case for the Pro Bowl, but earned a spot there in our eyes. No real stars, though the play of Joe Berger in relief has been a pleasant surprise, while they’ve done well to overcome the inevitable problems of playing Charlie Johnson at left tackle.

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 3:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Perhaps you do need that doctor's appointment

You’re struggling ;)

Yeah, I don’t get it either. I do think the line run blocks pretty well, but I don’t know about #2. I think #17 is too high for pass protection, which is pretty bad. I don’t watch a ton of non-Vikings football, but I have a hard time believing that there are that many teams below us.

by amiller92 on Dec 12, 2011 3:52 PM CST up reply actions  

No kidding.

I’ve got a concussion for sure. Might have to stay away from Daily Norseman until I get medical clearance. High risk blogging site especially as I think I’m due for an aneurysm with all of the Webb talk in the other posts. :-)

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 4:39 PM CST up reply actions  

What does a Center do?

Centers only get attention if they’re really outstanding, or if they’re screwing up.

My understanding is that a Center is responsible for;

Pass blocking
Road grading

But more, he’s supposed to be the ‘captain of the offensive line’. He’s supposed to coordinate the efforts of the O-line, direct them, make sure everyone’s hitting their assignments. He’s supposed the the O-line’s leader.

Maybe I’m expecting too much. Mick Tinglehoff used to do it, and Matty Birk used to do it. Both of those guys were outstanding at their position.

Sully isn’t. Can he hike the ball? Yes. Can he provide good protection? Ask Ponder. Can he road grade? Ask Adrian Peterson.

I don’t care what PFF or anyone else says. I know what I see. I see Viking QBs getting the crap kicked out of them on a regular basis since Sully took over as starting Center, and I see Adrian Peterson slamming into the backs of this O-linemen on at least half his running attempts.

Where’s the damned flamethrower?!?!

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Dec 12, 2011 3:41 PM CST reply actions  

He calls the plays

But it sure sounds like you’re saying that Sully is responsible for the failures of his linemates, but that can’t be right. Especially as most of those problems are getting physically beat rather than misunderstanding assignments.

He’s not Tinglehoff. He’s not Birk. But he isn’t Charlie Johnson either.

by amiller92 on Dec 12, 2011 3:55 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm saying that he's part of the problem

Not the solution.

Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!

by DCPurple on Dec 12, 2011 3:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Okay

But I didn’t see that yesterday. Nor have I really seen it at all since hearing so many around here complain about him

by amiller92 on Dec 12, 2011 4:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Faint praise just got fainter
Can he hike the ball? Yes.

Unless the QB is in the shotgun position.

"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin

by kcskol on Dec 12, 2011 4:42 PM CST up reply actions  

I can’t blame Sullivan for Loadholt and Johnson being completely unable to handle speed rushers. That’s a skill issue, not an assignment one.

by Birdman84 on Dec 13, 2011 11:18 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm thinking as

with most the dam holes we need to fill you shore up what is around Sully and you would prolly see some good things.

@}-----You've been Touched-----{@

by Velvetouch on Dec 13, 2011 12:46 AM CST reply actions  

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