Greater 2012 Need: Offensive Line or Defensive Secondary?
The consensus here at DN seems to be that OMGWENEEDASTARTINGLEFTTACKLE. I’ve been on that bandwagon before, and after watching Charlie Johnson stink it up game after game after game, I think it’s a pretty glaring need. But, I was looking over team stats and rankings for the offense and defense up to this point in the season, and I discovered some surprising statistics. For as bad as our offensive line has seemed, our offense is currently ranked 18th in yards per game with 327.5, 19th overall in points per game with 21, and 20th overall in plays from scrimmage with 878. We’re obviously not in the top half of the league in any of those measurables, but we’re far from the worst in the league. Our running game is better than our passing game, and to break up the components of our offense, it looks like this:
Running Game
Yards Per Game: 142.7 (4th)
Average Yards Per Rush: 5.2 (1st)
Rushing TDs: 15 (5th)
Fumbles: 5 (10th)
Passing Game
Yards Per Game: 184.4 (28th)
Average Yards Per Pass: 6.4 (28th)
Sacks Allowed: 45 (29th)
Completion %: 56.2 (26th)
Passing TDs: 18 (16th)
Interceptions: 14 (17th)
Now it can be argued that Adrian Peterson makes our running game what it is, but you have to give some credit to the offensive line in opening up holes for both Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart to run through. We have a lot of room to improve in our passing game, and there are a variety of things to blame: rookie QB, injuries/lack of talent at the WR position, pass protection at the O-Line. We’ve discussed these deficiencies ad nausea here at DN. Regardless of the main reason(s), we need to improve in the passing game if we want our offense to be in the top half of the league next year. I am not going to argue with anyone that addressing our offensive line and wide receivers heading into next year is a big need for our team.
So, what about our defense? Is there anything surprising there? Well, our defense is ranked 28th overall in yards allowed per game, giving up 366.1, and dead last in points allowed per game, allowing 29 points per game. After ranking 8th last year in yards and 15th in points, and 6th and 23rd in 2009 respectively, I’d call that a regression. We’ve gotten used to having a solid defense in Minnesota going all the way back to Mike Tomlin’s tenure starting in 2006. Like I did with the offense, let’s look at the components of the defense a little more closely.
Rushing Defense
Yards Per Game: 105.6 (10th)
Average Yards per Play: 3.8 (6th)
Touchdowns Allowed: 10 (13th)
Forced Fumbles: 4 (24th)
Rushing Attempts per game: 27.9 (18th)
Passing Defense
Yards Per Game: 260.4 (30th)
Yards Per Play: 8.3 (32nd)
Touchdowns Allowed: 31 (32nd)
Interceptions: 6 (32nd)
Passer Rating Against: 110.8 (32nd)
Passing Attempts per game: 33.7 (16th)
As you can plainly see, our rushing defense is decent, placing in the top ten of the league in yards, but still respectable in the other categories. We fail to force turnovers in our rushing defense, but the good sign is, our rush defense is still decent even though teams are running on us with a fair amount of regularity (27 times per game). Our passing defense however, is either dead last in the league or close to it in every measureable statistic. And it’s not even that teams are throwing on us a ton. Our pass defense is just that bad.
So, if we made no changes to the roster heading into next year, and we assume that Chris Cook gets over his legal troubles without any jail time and/or suspensions and is back with the team, then this is what our starting lineup would look like in the secondary:
CB: Antoine Winfield (35, has only played all 16 games in 2 of the past 5 seasons)
CB: Chris Cook/Cedric Griffin (24/29)
S: Husain Abdullah (26)
S: Jamarca Sanford (26)
It’s tough to grade those 5 guys as a group, because only 2 of them have been starting recently: Sanford and Griffin. And those 2 guys haven’t even played all 14 games thus far either. But, do we think this group of guys would dramatically improve the passing defense statistics if they were our starters again next season? Winfield is getting old, and injuries have nagged him the past few years. We simply can’t rely on him as an every week starter at CB anymore. Cedric Griffen looks done, leaving us with Chris Cook as the only viable option at CB. Cook has shown promise, but is he ready to step it up as a full-time starter at corner? With the exception of a few backups in Benny Sapp and Brandon Burton, that’s really all we have. Heading into the 2011 season the general consensus was that Abdullah and Sanford were the weak links in the secondary, and that an upgrade at the safety position was definitely a need. I don’t think that has changed one bit after watching both guys play this season. Compounding that is now a glaring need at CB.
So, that brings us back to the original question. Which is a bigger need for the Vikings heading into 2012, the offensive line (specifically Left Tackle) or the defensive secondary (specifically Cornerback)? I would argue that, looking at the team stats, our passing defense is by far the worst aspect of our team. We rank dead last in passing defense. Sure, we’re starting guys off the street in our secondary due to injuries, but the fact remains, we’re THE WORST IN THE NFL. We’re in the position we’re in, because we had average starters and no quality backups. While our passing offense isn’t great either, at least it’s not dead last (and we've dealt with a few injuries there too). While getting an elite left tackle to secure our offensive line for the next decade is certainly a high priority, what about shoring up our dead last in the NFL passing defense? Isn’t THAT a more pressing need? Now, whether or not an NFL prospect at the CB or S position is available when we draft in the top 6 is entirely beside the point. This post isn’t meant to be a discussion about what position we need to spend a 1st round draft pick on. It’s merely a discussion of what is the biggest need of our team. How we address that need is for another post. I think my views are pretty apparent here, but what do you think?
This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.
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Well you managed to make me think twice about it, which is impressive since I’m a huge believer that great teams have great OLines.
That said, need is only one of the factors that needs to be considered with a high draft pick.
So you cross reference the blue chip players (Luck and Kalil) with the positions of need. If there’s a match you win. If not, see if anyone wants to overpay for the pick to fill one of their needs. If no one wants to give us a bunch of picks (because we have plenty of holes to fill and I’d move down a few spots if it gives us another 2nd round pick and another 1st rounder next year and whatever else we could get). Then you take best player available that falls into any of these positions: OL, CB, S, WR, LB, DT
Which leaves us pretty open to most of the BPAs since the only spots we don’t need help is: QB, RB, C, DE, K
Agreed, but it doesn't answer my question
Which is a bigger need though? Just from a purely objective standpoint, not from a “who should we draft first” standpoint?
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
That's easy
Especially now that its come out Frazier wanted Cook cut. Secondary is a bigger need than the O-line.
That said.. I’d rather we take Kalil with that first pick than Claiborne. We can try and get some secondary help in the FA alot easier than O-line help.
by REVENGE4KLUWE on Dec 21, 2011 2:57 PM CST up reply actions
If we're in the top 5 and Kalil is taken by someone else
we should trade down or take either the best WR or CB. But if Kalil is available, take him. He is considered a can’t miss LT prospect and OL is a pretty safe bet in the 1st round. Joe Thomas, Jake Long are both top 5 picks who are both franchise LTs. CB is considered much easier to come by than a franchise LT. So if we are talking value, OL outweighs CB by a large margin, all other things equal.
J.P. Bedor, Editor in Chief of Odin's Eye
www.eye-of-odin.blogspot.com
I'm not talking value...
I’m just asking, simply, what is the greatest need of our team? How we address that need (draft or FA), isn’t important to the question.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
I think the defensive secondary is a greater need but that being said the right decision is still go with offensive line in round 1.
While there are a few decent LT prospects that might be able to be had in the later round, they have more limited skillsets and their level of talent is typically very different from those in the first round especially at the top like Kalil. Those later round prospect usually are projected to have more extended development periods and cannot come in and start right away, and maybe never develop into a starter.
There are plenty of corners that are projected to be available at the top of round 2 that I think fit the defense better than Claiborne. Guys that are almost just as talented. I think the DB class is by far deeper than the lineman.
Agreed.
Right, I wasn’t discussing our draft options in the post, but I agree with you that our biggest, objective need is our secondary. Whether we can get the right value to fill that need wherever we draft, remains to be seen.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
LT LT LT LT, did i mention LT? LT!!!
If we can get Kalil then great, no-one would complain. The argument arises if Kalil isn’t available. If so, my vote is trade down and pick up Martin.
Trades could be popular in this draft, especially if Griffen III gets a lot of buzz. Look for Washington / Cleveland / Miami / Jacksonville to be interested in a QB. If we could move down 3-4 spots andgrab Martin and an extra 2nd rounder then I would be very happy.
We could then address both CB / S and WR at the top of the 2nd.
Bottom line, we have to protect Ponder first and foremost.
by Scottish Viking on Dec 21, 2011 6:51 AM CST via mobile reply actions
I understand what you're saying...
Our DB’s have been terrible. But they’ve been hurt too, so there’s a chance they improve.
Also, we don’t want to “David Carr” our franchise QB. He will not survive another year or 2 behind that joke of a line. I’m glad we got Sully locked up, but other than him and Hutch’s declining play, we’re terrible. And we show no signs of improving. We only had one injury all year, and we were better without Herrera. We Need to go LT early and probably RG in the 3rd.
There’s no chance Ced Grif improves. He’s gone, done… stick a fork in him!
Cook if not in prison could be a future starter though, he did well against some of the leagues better receivers early in the season.
Winfield might return but he’s no long term answer.
We need a completely new secondary, no doubt about that.
by WIPurplePride on Dec 21, 2011 9:38 AM CST up reply actions
Ced Griff has been terrible...
And I really think he’ll be cut after this season. But I would be in favor of trying him at Safety for a season. I really would not be upset if we entered next season with Cook/Winfield at CB with Sapp in the nickel and Burton/Allen backing them up and Ced Griff and Mistral Raymond at S with Abdullah and Sanford backing them up. I would def hope for another 4th round CB to compete for a spot as well. But I really think this would be acceptable if we improved our O-Line, our receivers, and shored up or offense for now. Next off-season, hopefully we’ll be able to focus on D because our O is in tact.
If we do land Kalil or Martin
Then we kick Charlie Jonhnson inside to RG. so an Offensive Line of this certainly looks decent:
Loadholt – Johnson – Sullivan – Hutchinson – Kalil / Martin
I really hope Loadholt is able to take the next step and perhaps having someone solid inside him will help this to happen.
As for the secondary, If Cook does come back then our secondary might be back to a serviceable level. Having Cook, Winfield and either Allen / Burton / Griffen in the nickel would certainly be an improvement on what we have there at the moment.
I would like to see a fairly high Safety / CB pick in the draft and an aggresive FA push to get another CB and / or a Safety.
by Scottish Viking on Dec 21, 2011 10:04 AM CST up reply actions
Well I voted that our secondary is a bigger need than our line currently
However it is much easier to get DB’s than it is to get linemen in the long run. Also I’m a big fan of BPA so I would go Luck, Kalil, Claiborne, Blackmon as my first round choice, and in that order. All of this can change of course depending on combines, pro days blah blah blah.
Pick up Kalil and hope for a couple DB’s in free agency.
The Vikes aren't in a remodeling or reconstruction they are in a burn the place down and start praying they don't mimic the Lions rebuilding process.
I like this approach
I agree with you 98%. BPA is the best draft strategy, but if for some reason it’s a QB or RB that is the BPA when we draft in the first round, I say we pass that up for the next BPA. And if there’s a huge drop-off in talent then we look at trading down.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
I would only not pick up BPA if what we had currently was better than what was one the board
and the talent was still young. If he’s over 26 I would be interested in picking up the guy in the draft and after he proves himself trading the older player. right now I would keep AD because I don’t think there is a better back in the draft. I would however pick up Luck as I don’t think Ponder has proven he’s better than Luck to me.
The Vikes aren't in a remodeling or reconstruction they are in a burn the place down and start praying they don't mimic the Lions rebuilding process.
O line first
I voted O line first. All though like many here I agree the secondary is worse.
The fact we drafted a QB and Webb as a back up sais youth. In my opinion if you are going to go with little experiance at QB you have to give them a O line that functions like a mean machine. I really think that at this juncture tossing coaches and saying this and that guys play calling is the problem is knee jerky. The reason I say this is because we are still seeing the effects of the old era of ignoring the future and a win now approach. The residue of that is not gone yet. Many here either have over looked it or just ignored it but LF and company nver said in the begining of the year that it was rebuild time. I would like to believe that somewhere Ziggy and the FO and upper coaches sit down and say or said.."the truth is we wont do much this year..so this year we’re going to introduce the things we would like to do and see exactly where we are at with the skill positions we have. A rather evaluation season. I could be nuts on that but to me it would be honest and a decent approach. PR wise with the stadium issue do you say it openly to fans..probubly not because again your still finding out what you have not only in players but also coaching staff. I would liken it to sort of wringing out a wet towel, squeezing the last reminants of the Chilly regime and saying at seasons end, "ok this is what we did this is what we have that will fit and here is what is worth re tooling and what is not. Then you take the time from seasons end to draft day and design your first year rebuild draft.
Alot of coaches and managers look at those on the team and sit back and see who is going to adjust and accept the new school and who is not. IE; Chilly to Cullpepper, Chilly said its my way you do physical thearapy here or…and Pepper said I’ll do it here. thus Chilly saw he had a QB that didnt want to play the new regime. Many here, not saying its a bad thing are saying the obvious but not sure some really get what the obvious means.
The Vikes need a rebuild with that comes more than just drafting correctly so forth. Its an overall team identity. There are sections or units of offense and defense that have for sure at least 2 players in it that have to go some area’s 3. Bring Kalil in and his presence
changes things but no way does that solidify the O line and its now good. Bring in Blackmon and no way now is the WR threat let alone recieving corps re done. In my opin the entire secondary needs to be replaced. I think if your defense is going to be an aggresive scheme you keep Winfield next year to set a mood. Im way off track of the post but I guess Im trying to cover alot of things about coachs play calling so forth. Its not im super smart (like I have to clear that up) but I said they would go 5-11 I find it hard to believe the coaches saw more than that. I think this year has been the new coaching staff squeezing and wringing out the towel to see how deep the build has to be. With that LOL yah I think you build the O line first then the secondary. That is why I see 3-4 years of some rough realities. Sorry to get off track :)
@}-----You've been Touched-----{@
OLine
definitely both OT positions, we need either Kalil or Reiff (or Martin, but i like the other two more). Loadholt is playing just as poorly as (if not worse than) Charlie Johnson, who can kick inside to OG — which Loadholt cannot do. it would be nice to know what we have in DeMarcus Love at RT — here’s hoping we can get a glimpse at that these final two games. other than that, i think Fusco will have starter potential at OG and Berger’s flexibility will make him a great backup at C/OG.
as for DB, if Cook is back, plus Winfield, plus (FA?? rookie?? BBurton??), plus Sherels at dime, the CB position isn’t as bad as some may suspect (but yes, it’s still concerning). i’m of the opinion that Safety needs to be addressed before CB in the draft. personally, i like TJ McDonald, i’m hoping he’ll declare.
"Th_r_'s n_ h_p_ f_r _ssh_l_ f_ckw_ts."
Can I buy a vowel...?? +1, Kluwe.
forgot to say...
…Sapp has earned at least a look for next season, as well. probably not to start, but has proven his worth to at least be considered as a backup.
"Th_r_'s n_ h_p_ f_r _ssh_l_ f_ckw_ts."
Can I buy a vowel...?? +1, Kluwe.
I think these stats are misleading and do not tell the whole story
For example, Ponder was 5 of 14 for 40 yards and 1 TD up until the 7:25 mark in the 4th quarter. He then went 9 of 17 for 80 yards and 1 TD and 1 INT.
You would have to look at every game to see when we managed to throw for those yards.
As for the defense, most teams know they can pass at will on us thereby making the run defense look better. I mean why bother running when you can throw it easily?
The fact is that there are NOT many offensive linemen available in free agency this upcoming off season (or any off season usually). Teams do not let offensive linemen hit free agency that often if at all.
But there are plenty of serviceable corners and safeties this year. I think it is pretty simple what the team should attempt. They should throw big bucks at a corner and safety. I would probably go for two safeties but maybe they think one of the young guys can manage next year if they have one top safety. Then they can attack the offensive line via the draft.
When you look at past drafts and see where the corners were taken you will see that there were many taken in the later part of round 1 and in round 2. I think they can get one in round 2 or later if they do not get one in free agency.
The free agency period will be critical to the success of the team going forward and to the direction of the draft.
I still could see them going with Cook, Winfield, Griffen, Allen, Sherels, & Burton next year. If they are all healthy then it may not be so bad. Maybe Sapp replaces Griffen? I think if the guys are healthy and Cook is back then it may not be so bad.
They could decide to upgrade the safety position and linebacker position in free agency.
But the offensive line needs attention first and foremost. I think that is the way to go this year. It will help Ponder and AP.
I'd be worried about our CB
If CBs were indeed: Cook, Winfield, Griffin, Allen, Sherels and Burton…I would be worried. Griffin is done. Then what happens if Winfield is injured again (it’s pretty likely he won’t make it through another 16-game season injury-free). Then we’re stuck with Allen, Sherels or Burton lining up opposite Cook. And who’s to say Cook stays out of trouble? It’s not like this latest episode is his first run-in with legal issues (remember the gun thing his rookie year?).
That lineup of CB does nothing to inspire confidence, and it’s exactly what we had this year, and look what happened? I say a better defense can help take the pressure off Ponder as well. When we’re giving up 29 points a game, that puts a ton of pressure on Ponder to keep up. If our defense buckles down, then we can put the ball in Adrian Peterson’s hands and it takes the pressure off Ponder to win the game for us.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
I think you have to look at the whole picture and not just the draft
The offensive line is just as bad as the secondary. And there are MORE secondary players that will be available in free agency. I have to debate everything that constitutes an off season and this includes free agency.
Corners that will be available are Cortland Finnegan, Brent Grimes, Tracy Porter, Brandon Carr, Terrell Thomas, & Richard Marshall to name a few.
Safeties that will be available are LaRon Landry, Tyvon Branch, Michael Griffen, Thomas DeCoud, Charles Godfrey, Dashon Goldson, & Courtney Greene to name a few.
If they cannot even sign one of these players then we will be in bad shape.
As far as Winfield getting hurt, well, I agree.
But the same can be said about the offensive line if Hutchinson gets hurt or Herrera gets hurt yet again.
I do not believe in your approach. It will be yet another off season of NOT addressing the offensive line early in the draft. Considering the fact that the team gave AP a 100 mil contract, I think it is in their best interests to get the most out of that investment.
I think the biggest need on the team is offensive line AND secondary. How they get that done is going to be the question.
Equal needs
I could buy that. I think my point in all of this, is that offensive line is actually not more of a need than secondary for the team, and if anything the secondary is in worse shape. How we address those needs is a totally different question. I agree that we should hit up FA to address the secondary, and save our 1st rounder to address OL. But, we can still do that AND say that our secondary is our biggest, most pressing need, because…well…it is. We’re dead last in the NFL in passing defense.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
I would like to see Minnifield as our second pick if we could manage it
Or another strong DB. I understand the need for a solid NT but I think secondary is a pretty solid need and this kid will be another winfield in time.
The Vikes aren't in a remodeling or reconstruction they are in a burn the place down and start praying they don't mimic the Lions rebuilding process.
wouldnt complain with that pick after an OT in the first
I would be equally happy with a WR of similar value.
by Scottish Viking on Dec 21, 2011 12:12 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Minnifield would be a great pickup
but i fear we’d have to trade back up into the 1st rd to get him (that’s assuming we can’t swing a trade for our Top 5 pick with one of the teams w/ two 1st rdrs…)
i still think S is more important, though, assuming Cook is back with the team (which, at this point, is more and more likely).
"Th_r_'s n_ h_p_ f_r _ssh_l_ f_ckw_ts."
Can I buy a vowel...?? +1, Kluwe.
Good points. However
Considering we have been losing in these games as well make the opposing team able to do either run or pass. Imagine how bad the secondary would look if we were actually winning and the other teams had to pass to catch up.
I know we’d probably get more sacks if this was the case but our secondary almost looks like they are playing prevent all the time with how wide open receivers have looked. I think running the Tampa two a bigger need might be to get a MLB that can drop into coverage. This may be a part of the reason the secondary has looked so bad.
In closing I think secondary/ MLB is a bigger need but LT should be addressed before that in the draft. I agree it sounds like we could pick up secondary help in FA as well.
by VikesFanInTulsa on Dec 21, 2011 2:08 PM CST up reply actions
It was inevitable...
I should have expected all the comments to discuss who we should draft, where and when. That wasn’t necessarily what the post was about, but it is the next step in the discussion. I was merely interested in hearing about what people perceived as the biggest need of the team. It was not a question of “who do we draft first”. Some of you got the question, and agreed with me that secondary is our biggest need.
Our secondary is our weakest unit. It is our biggest need. How we address that need is a totally different question. I agree with pretty much everyone here that says draft a LT in the 1st round. A franchise LT is hard to come by, and they rarely become available in free agency, so the best place to get one is early in the draft. It’s also a need of our team. It may not be the biggest need of our team, but it’s close.
Since defensive backs are easier to come by, especially in free agency, we’d be better served to fill that gaping need by spending big in the off-season on our secondary, and drafting some mid-round talent to develop. That’s how I’d approach it anyway
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
The best defense is a good offense.
We’ve got to go offensive line. It’s in bad shape. Major pieces of it are old and therefore getting worse. And if the O-line gets better, it’ll take pressure off of our defense.
"Man invented language to satisfy his deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin
Just read a mock draft some dill hole put up having us take Coples.
Like we need another DE… The idiot didn’t even have safety as one of our needs…
The Vikes aren't in a remodeling or reconstruction they are in a burn the place down and start praying they don't mimic the Lions rebuilding process.
Stupid...
Anyone trying to put up a mock draft should at the very least, research the needs of the ENTIRE team, and for every NFL team first. He clearly didn’t even look at anything Vikings related, and must not have watched any games.
A lot of non-fans will probably pay attention to fantasy football and see that Ponder has put up some decent, startable numbers and assume our passing game will be just fine. They know we have Adrian Peterson and that our run game is solid, and then likely assume our O-Line is fine because of that. They look at our defense, and assume our passing D sucks because of injury, and then see that we have a no-name guy in Brian Robison starting opposite Jared Allen. Knee-jerk reaction is, “they need a superstar to lineup opposite Jared Allen and then they’d be unstoppable.” If only it were that simple. Dumb, just dumb.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
i actually see Griffin pushing Robison for a starting apot in 2012
by Scottish Viking on Dec 21, 2011 12:20 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Or moving to LB.
I wouldn’t mind seeing him play a little safety in the preseason next year. That could be scary.
by VikesFanInTulsa on Dec 21, 2011 2:11 PM CST up reply actions
To answer the question...
I believe the biggest needs are, in order: CB, S, LT, WR, MLB, DT. It seems that most agree with the plan of either drafting Kalil or if not available, trading down to get Martin/Reiff. Then getting OL and D-backs, and other holes, the rest of the draft. Like most of you said out there, the secondary should be addressed with free agency. At least 2 D-backs and hopefully 3. I think Winfield is really good in the slot, and there he will be in the game only 60% of the time???? Therefore preserving his body. This is also assuming Cook will be back, a huge assumption!! If they restructure a few contracts, or let a few guys go (Herrera, Ayodele, Shiancoe, maybe EJ), they will have some cash to spend in free agency.
by chriscarlson40 on Dec 21, 2011 12:25 PM CST reply actions
Would maybe switch S and LT
But otherwise, I agree with the order. And this seems to be the consensus way to rebuild our team.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
I'm cool with that..
Nice post by the way
by chriscarlson40 on Dec 21, 2011 1:05 PM CST up reply actions
I think you are missing one important part
you can’t rank an offensive line based on yards and so on, it has to be done on pressures, sacks, hits etc.. I mean, you had me think about it, but it is more important and a bigger need to protect of QBOTF as best as possible and if we end up going CB first, expect Ponder to be on the ground even more next year. But, very nice write up, its definitely an interesting perspective!
http://walterfootball.com/draft2012.php
Todays mock has us taking LT, CB, and S. I could live with that.
by VikesFanInTulsa on Dec 22, 2011 10:45 AM CST reply actions

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