More From Pro Football Focus On The Vikings' Pass Protection
A couple of days ago, we took a look at some numbers from the folks at Pro Football Focus that talked about where the Vikings were allowing pressure to come from on plays where their quarterback was pressured. . .specifically, how much of the blame fell on the offensive line, how much on the skill position players that were asked to block, and how much on the quarterbacks themselves.
Well, as part of their look at pass protection in the NFL in 2010, Pro Football Focus threw a couple more categories in the mix. They looked at what percentage of pressures from opposing defenses wound up turning into sacks, and how many blockers teams had a tendency to leave in on each play. Those three categories together combined to give PFF their 2010 Team Pass Protection Rankings.
In what's going to come as a surprise to many. . .and I know it surprised the hell out of me. . .the Minnesota Vikings are in the top half of the league in these rankings, clocking in at thirteenth overall (actually, they're tied for eleventh with the New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins, but PFF puts them at thirteen. . .I'm sure they have their reasons). They're even the second-best team in the NFC North in this category, according to Pro Football Focus. . .and the top team in the division isn't who you probably think it is.
In the three big categories that Pro Football Focus looked at, there was a bit of variance. In "Pressure per Play," the Vikings ranked thirteenth out of the thirty-two NFL teams.They finished twenty-third in "Sack Percentage of Pressure Rank," which means when the quarterbacks were pressured, it turned into a sack more often than it should have. Lastly, in the category of "Average Blockers Per Play," the Vikings tied for thirteenth. I'm not sure how much weight to put into that last one, since there really can't be that much variance. The Vikings used 5.52 blockers per pass play, by PFF's calculations. . .the Detroit Lions used the fewest at 5.31, and the Oakland Raiders used the most at 5.88.What's interesting to me is the commentary on the subject from PFF:
They might not be able to run block all that well, but there are plenty of worse units in pass protection than the Vikings’ offensive line. The real stories coming from the other guys. Along with his struggles in catching the ball, Adrian Peterson’s pass blocking skills leave you wanting – only one halfback finished with a worse rating in pass protection. At the other end of the spectrum, only one tight end finished with a higher rating than Jim Kleinsasser. The quarterbacks didn’t make anyone look better than they were.
So they seem to be putting a lot of the blame on the quarterbacks and the skill position guys, save for Kleinsasser (who we all know is a freaking beast). This bodes well for young Christian Ponder, in my opinion, if the Vikings can keep up their level of O-line performance. Sure, Ponder is going to have times where he holds on to the ball too long early in his development, but having run a pro-style offense in college and with a defensive mind like Leslie Frazier as the head coach, he shouldn't have that much difficulty learning how to pick up blitzes and things of that nature, and since his body isn't physically breaking down like Brett Favre's was last season, the Vikings' passing offense stands a very good chance of markedly improving this year, contrary to popular belief.
However, this leads me to my big question, and the big question that so many other people have about this offensive line. . .why in the hell can't this group run block worth a damn? You have a pair of 350-pound tackles on the outside, a future Hall of Famer at one guard spot, a mauler at the other guard spot, a guy like Klenisasser that basically acts like a third tackle when he's out there. . .is John Sullivan that overmatched most of the time, or has the scheme the past couple of years just been that terrible when it comes to run blocking? I mean, it makes Adrian Peterson's performance the past couple of years seem that much more amazing, doesn't it? Hopefully the addition of Jeff Davidson, the architect of some pretty powerful rushing offenses with the Carolina Panthers, can serve to remedy this.
Oh, and as far as the NFC North, since I mentioned it, the best pass-protecting team in the division in 2010 was. . .the Detroit Lions? Yes, the Detroit Lions (thanks largely to Shaun Hill, according to PFFs commentary) ranked fourth in the entire NFL in PFF's pass protection rankings. The Packers finished sixteenth, while the Bears were given the second-worst mark in the league, finishing at thirty-first out of thirty-two NFL teams.
22 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
I see what i want to see
It’s very easy to blame the O-line when you watch Favre on his back, but i think it is more telling that the receivers weren’t getting open or running accurate routes. Well, hopefully w/ a young QB who can keep defenses honest (what Musgrave wants) AP and a short passing game, the Vikings can stand to take a major leap forward this year
when asked by Dan Patrick if his name alluded to not making quick decisions in the pocket, Ponder calmly replied "As crazy as it sounds, my mom's maiden name is actually Superbowlwinner. All one word"
Have to agree
I said it most of last season, and I’ll say it again. . .Sidney Rice’s absence was the thing that set all the other dominoes in motion. If he gets his surgery earlier in 2010 and is ready for the season, I firmly believe the Vikings would have looked more like the 2009 Vikings than. . .well, what they looked like last season.
SBNation Minnesota - For the greatest sports fans in the world.
The Daily Norseman - The greatest Vikings' site on the Internet!
by Christopher Gates on Jun 12, 2011 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions
And Sidney’s presence would have held the roof up too.
A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on - Winston Churchill
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Jun 12, 2011 12:59 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Well, I'm not sure I'd go that far
But more Sidney Rice during the first half of last year = less Bernard Berrian during the first half of last year.
That’s a net gain regardless of how you slice it.
SBNation Minnesota - For the greatest sports fans in the world.
The Daily Norseman - The greatest Vikings' site on the Internet!
by Christopher Gates on Jun 12, 2011 1:53 PM CDT up reply actions
The 6-10 record speaks for itself and the line had a lot to do with it no matter what these stats say
Since the Vikings will have a more mobile QB, then it stands to reason that the sack rate will go down. But the results are what are most important. We can place blame on receivers and backs all we want. But sometimes we just have to realize that a WR or RB are not going to be good blockers. We only hope they can get in the way long enough.
The offensive line is paid to block. Unfortunately these stats do not show what happened on 3rd downs. I believe the Vikings third down efficiency on offense was not very good last year. So when the line blocks well is just as important.
The problem with the Vikings line is not the scheme. It is the age of the players on the left side and Herrera. We can only reasonably HOPE that they regain some form from previous years. I just do not see it going very well and I see the downward spiral from these players continuing. It is inevitable for football players who reach their age and have played that many years.
All I know is the offense stunk last year and the line was one of the main reasons. I do know that they did not run block that well too. Sure AP gained a lot of yards but he should be close to 2,000 yards each and every year with his talent.
So between pass blocking and run blocking and the age and recent injuries, this line is not heading in the right direction.
I can only HOPE!
what is missing is...
i think there is something missing in this analysis. i’d say what is missing is the amount of time the qb took from the snap until he actually threw the ball. it seemed to me that favre was tossing the ball pretty darn quickly, pretty darn frequently. that might have been a function of the play calling or favre just knowing the beat down was going to arrive any millisecond.
in either case, i think that the defenses blitzed him a fair amount (the vikes ranked 12th in the league in that catagory). and, favre was not very nimble and we didn’t exactly have many deep threat receivers on the team. also, i think that teams know that the way to get favre to throw ints is to get some pressure on him.
i was surprised that they didn’t call more screen pass plays or designed roll outs to avoid such quick pressure. screen plays get the ball into a playmakers hands in a hurry where he could be in open space and not have to bust threw the line. when they did run them, they seemed to work fine. and designed roll outs at least get the qb out of the pocket and cut the field in half, they buy the qb some time and let him get crafty. that hardly happened, but when it did, it seemed to work.
i get the point about the lack of playmaker ability of the receivers, but i think the problem was the result of combined forces…playcalling, quick trigger, lack of qb mobility and general overall o-line suck factor. i think the pff rankings would be different if they had the ability to calculate “time to pass release” and factored that into their pass protection equations. the vikings had one of the lowest qb rankings and passing yards in the league. i find it hard to believe that the lame pass protection that i witnessed didn’t have something to do with it.
Another thought
I’m wondering if a lot of the problem was Chillie’s blocking scheme. I’ve read that our linemen were better built for power blocking but that Childress insisted on a Denver-style zone blocking scheme which generally uses lighter, quicker linemen. Could that have been a factor?
i love the stats here
but for a kiss method keep it simple stupid . to grade oline what is your teams average yard to gain on third down . you know why because its a real stat , not an algarythm straight out of a num3ers episode .
the ranking was specifically for pass protection. they isolated pass plays, then analyzed a few key stats related to pass protection. i don’t think your kiss method (avg gain on 3rd) relates enough to the topic.
by danny lloyd on Jun 13, 2011 12:07 AM CDT up reply actions
not yards gained on third down.
its what you have for third down not how much u gained on thrid down duhhhh… fottball 101 if your always 3 rd and 1 2 or 3 your line is doing its job if its 3rd a 7plus your line is not doing its job … do u understand english?
by skol viking on Jun 13, 2011 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions
my mis-read. it still doesn't really equate to the pass protection analysis, though.
the article has to do with pass protection….on passing plays, no matter what down.
Receivers a major contributor to poor passing play performance
A lot of the comments above covered the important ground but I want to emphasis something. Favre was really, really good at unloading the ball with lightning speed, and if he had to hold onto it for longer than was wise, it was because he was waiting for receivers to get open. Favre didn’t need much of an opening either, to zing the ball out to a receiver, the man took my breath away (and not in a good way) on a regular basis with some of the needles he threaded. But he could do it. That’s what he did.
The Vikings’ receivers brought a lot of issues to the passing game last year. It was more than just being slow-ish or route running. It was holding on to the ball once Favre got it to them. I’d really like to see what PFF could come up with on receivers who dropped balls (or just failed to catch the ball that hits them on the shoulder pads) and see where the Viking wide outs ranked last year.
We had a whole lot of ‘BLAME FAVRE’ going on last year, but I think at least as much of any blame to the “skill” positions (as if being a linemen doesn’t require skill) goes to the receivers.
Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!
How was pass protection with Moss?
I wish I could watch the Randy Moss games and see what impact he had on how long Favre held the ball. I know his presence helped Percy and AP, but I’d like to revisit and watch the OL play, as well as how it affected coverage on our other receivers.
Interesting question
Now that we’re digging into the nuts and bolts of WHAT FREAKING WENT WRONG last year, that would be interesting to see.
My question goes more to how the stat is generated, though. If a pass is deemed ‘hurried’ or turns out incomplete, or the QB is dinged for holding the ball too long, the cause is supposed to be the QB.
But the QB has to work with whatever tools he has, and in this case, last year, the Vikings receivers were not very good. Often the ball reached them but they couldn’t hold onto it.
One of the plays that’s burned within my mind’s eye is Percy Harvin on the goal line, Favre nails him IN THE HANDS, Percy not only can’t hold onto it. but pops the ball straight up into the air where it’s intercepted and returned 20 yards. Officially, Favre’s fault. Of course. I think my freaking eyes are starting to bleed again just thinking about it.
Anyway, if the receivers can’t get open, or botch things, they don’t get the blame for the screwed up pass play and it’s worse than merely unfair; if you don’t identify all the causes of the problem, you can’t fix it.
Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!
meh...
i’m not going to look too deep into this, strictly b/c this looks completely flawed right off the bat…
Indy is #1 — ok, i guess i can get on board with that.
but wait, Seatlle is #2…?? how does that work out?? sure, they rank 1st in Pressure Per Play, but then they rank 30th and 24th in the other criteria. using common sense, i don’t see how you can argue they rank 2nd overall in pass protection, especially considering Detroit is #4 when they rank 7th, 6th and 1st. and all this is under the assumption that the criteria is even valid to begin with…a lot of it just seems arbitrary to me.
nothing against PFF, i understand they put a lot of work into this, but i couldn’t get on board with other ‘advanced’ stats they do, and i can’t get on board with this either. what matters is production in the clutch when it counts and being able to win games. example: Big Ben isn’t the best QB in the league, but everyone knows he gets the job done when it counts — three SB appearances in six years (and two wins) tells me all i need to know. and Pittsburgh ranks dead last in PFF’s pass protection rankings?? really?? i don’t get it…
Because Roethlisberger succeeds despite such poor protection.
And, having the best defence in the NFL reduces the impact of that poor protection to a great degree. Roethlisberger throws deep more often than most QBs, with a lower completion % than most while still having a very high YPA [8.2 – third in the NFL]. Dinking and dunking makes your stats and O Line look better, but don’t accomplish as much.
I am a Lion’s fan and there is a lot of debate among us regarding the relative strength of our O Line and overall pass blocking efficiency. I have some of the same misgivings about their stats and ratings as you do, even though I find the results of their research very interesting.
"Filling a need doesn’t necessarily mean you’re getting a good player," said Schwartz. "It doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re getting a player that best fits; it doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re getting a player that’s better than what you have already."
by NorthLeft12 on Jun 13, 2011 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions
seems like projecting O-line efficiency is worthless, then...
…if success is truly determined by a team’s QB and defense.
again…meh.
Roethlisberger reminds me of Culpepper
In his prime of course. Hard to bring down, often extended a play by 4 or 5 seconds making the first defender miss. Obviously Big Ben has had a much more successful career but they both could look ugly one week and turn around and put up 4 TD’s the next.
But as far as the subject at hand, I would put our O-line at Average compared to the rest of the NFL. Unfortunately average with age doesn’t increase to top tier, so something has to be done to get them back to that level. The Center seems to me to be the biggest decline because after Birk left so went our YPC. Sullivan is still young and can still improve but if its not showing soon, i think it should be the most important position of upgrade. The quarterback might be the captain, but the center is the steer. He points us in what direction we need to go. I feel like our Center production was more like an anchor. Injuries and no real dominance was evident.

by 






















