Five Good Questions With Bolts From The Blue
With all the (justified, very important) talk about the stadium in this space over the past few days, it's easy to forget that the beginning of the Vikings' 2011 season is only four short days away. Minnesota's Week 1 opponent isn't exactly a familiar foe: the last time the Vikings and Chargers squared off was November of 2007. (You might remember that game--Adrian Peterson ran for an NFL record 296 yards and Antonio Cromartie had the longest touchdown in the history of the league.)
In order to help you get more familiar with Sunday's opponent, we're resuming our "Five Good Questions" segment with our SB Nation neighbors Bolts From The Blue. John Gennaro was kind enough to answer my questions about the Chargers and how he thinks Sunday's game will play out. Here's what we had to say:
Daily Norseman: Much has been made about San Diego finishing first in both total offense and total defense last season, yet they failed to make the playoffs. We all know about the nightmare that the Chargers had with special teams, but what else contributed to their disappointing season? How are the Chargers planning to change in 2011 to remedy those problems?
Bolts From The Blue: It really was a perfect storm of mistakes last season. The offense played well, except for all of the fumbles by the running backs. The defense played well, except they never seemed to get turnovers. Much of the offensive and defensive numbers came in the few games when the Chargers played to their potential and destroyed the Cardinals, Jaguars and Broncos. The special teams were atrocious.
The offense should be better because Mike Tolbert and Ryan Mathews, who were both essentially rookies last season, are another year older and more experienced. Marcus McNeill and Vincent Jackson will be here from Day 1, and that will stabilize a lot of things that were shaky last year. The defense is hoping that bringing in Greg Manusky to replace Ron Rivera, and signing Takeo Spikes and Bob Sanders, will help increase the amount of turnovers and big plays from the defense. Special Teams was a heavy focus in the Chargers' 2011 draft, as well as in determining who made the 53-man roster at the end of camp. The biggest change, however, came with the firing of Steve Crosby as Special Teams Coach and the hiring of Rich Bisaccia (largely regarded as one of the best ST coaches) away from Tampa Bay. There's plenty of confidence that he'll get that group up to speed quickly.
DN: Philip Rivers seems to put up huge numbers no matter who he's throwing to. He has Vincent Jackson back for an entire season this year, and all-world tight end Antonio Gates is always a threat when he's healthy. First of all, how is Gates' health these days? And after Gates and Jackson, who else do you see emerging as a go-to target for Rivers?
BFTB: I can't imagine Gates getting any healthier than 80% this season. He seems about as unhealthy as he was in 2009, which means a step slower and a tad softer than he was when he was on pace to break records in 2010. He'll still be the same TE that every fears, but he won't be the monster he was last year.
After Gates and Jackson, the go-to targets are Malcom Floyd (who has always been a favorite target for Rivers) and Patrick Crayton (who developed a great rapport with Philip before getting injured last year).
DN: Here's one for our readers that play fantasy football: what's the latest on the Ryan Mathews/Mike Tolbert situation at running back? It sounds like Mathews will get the start, but how do you see the carries being split? Will Tolbert get most of the carries near the goal line?
BFTB: In an ideal world, Mathews gets about 60% of the carries with Tolbert taking 35%. Jacob Hester is a great short-yardage back, but when it comes to carries near the goal line nobody has been more consistent or reliable than Tolbert. He'll most likely finish with less yards and less big plays than Mathews, but more TDs. Hester will get a few, and Mathews will too. Norv Turner, being an offensive guy, loves to occasionally help guys like Mathews pad their TD stats as long as they're doing well with the other responsibilities he's given them.
DN: The Chargers are a talented team with most of their key players returning from last year. They don't appear to have a lot of glaring holes. In fact, San Diego is one of the favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl for a lot of experts. But if you had to choose one area of concern after watching this team throughout this preseason, what would it be?
BFTB: The Linebackers on this team are a concern. Outside of Shaun Phillips, every other OLB is flawed in one way or another. Travis LaBoy and Antwan Barnes can't defend the run, Larry English can't stay healthy and Darryl Gamble is an undrafted free agent project that probably won't see the field. ILB isn't much better, with 34-year old Takeo Spikes and a whole bunch of question marks. Na'il Diggs was signed over the weekend as depth, despite never playing in a 3-4 before. Stephen Cooper is playing with a torn bicep and it shows. Donald Butler, who is pretty much a rookie after missing his entire rookie season with a torn ACL, is the starter and has issues with coverage. Jonas Mouton, the 2nd round pick this season, is a project and probably won't see much outside of goal line situations.
DN: Give us one player from the Chargers that doesn't get talked about much but will make a big impact on Sunday's game. And finally, give us your prediction for the season opener.
BFTB: Antonio Garay, if he starts, is the key to this game. He's missed the last few weeks of the preseason, but there's some debate as to if he was really injured or if the Chargers were just being extra careful with a guy who has a shaky injury history. Garay is the Chargers' nose tackle, and when he's on he can push an offensive line around with the best of them (proof here). Having him in there, and healthy, is the difference between Adrian Peterson having a mediocre day and Adrian Peterson finding out just how poor the Bolts' LBs and DBs are at tackling on his way to another historic day.
Seeing as how everyone is 0-0, I'm going to be optimistic. Las Vegas has the Chargers winning big, and I'll go along with that. I think McNabb turns the ball over at least once, Ryan Mathews has a big day on the ground and the Chargers look like a well-oiled machine for at least one week.
Thanks a ton to John for taking the time to answer our Chargers questions. My Q&A with Bolts From The Blue is available here.
58 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Nice job interesting read I'll have to go over there and read his reply post.
But he is wrong about one thing. They are definitely going to lose.
I'm like the Dali Lama of kicking ass
Hope you're right!
But then you probably shouldn’t read my prediction at the end of the reply post…
Proud contributor to Daily Norseman and SB Nation Minnesota. Tweeting here.
by Eric J. Thompson on Sep 7, 2011 4:22 PM CDT up reply actions
Yeah I read it.. I replied with my own much more educated opinion.. :)
I'm like the Dali Lama of kicking ass
Should be a good game!
Wouldn’t mind it if AP were to surpass his 2007 stats! I certainly remember THAT game! http://fs64sports.blogspot.com/2009/11/2007-adrian-peterson-runs-for-296-yards.html We need to keep the ball out of River’s hands, control the time of possession by pounding that rock, and we have a realistic chance to win. Nice interview.
I predict big things for the Chargers...
And I expect them to fail miserably again. Blame it on ST, blame it on early season inefficiency, blame it on the rain. The Chargers are the best team to not be able to…
The key to this game for the VIkings is as always the defensive front seven. They need to manage the run and get pressure on passing downs with the front four. Yeah, I am looking at you JA!
Got that rain song stuck in my head now
I completely agree with you. If our DLine isn’t getting pressure on 3rd and 5+yd situations then they will keep the chains moving all day long. Our DT’s have an especially tall task without Kwilliams playing this week. They are the key because they need to stay in their lanes on passing downs and not give Rivers an open field to look at.
Skol!
The Vikes really have nothing to lose hear unless they get destroyed. I think they can win this game and hope they take some risks and get creative with there play calling on both O and D.
-High Priest: Great Wall of Prophecy, reveal to us God's will that we may blindly obey.
-Priests: [chanting] Free us from thought and responsibility.
-High Priest: We shall read things off you.
-Priests: [chanting] Then do them.
-High Priest: Your words guide us.
-Priests: [chanting] We're dumb.
by Edgecrusher71 on Sep 8, 2011 9:42 AM CDT up reply actions
Should be a good game
McNabb is a decent QB, Redskins mismanaged his situation terribly. As a Charger fan AP is my main concern, especially since in preseason run D was our biggest issue. Our LT is coming back from injury and I am hoping RM24 can come in and get good yardage with your Defense’s focus on the pass. I still have nightmares about 2007. I’m not as convinced that Tolbert will steal too many redzone carries, but I do expect to see him on 3rd down as RM24 hasn’t shown himself to be good in pass pro yet, though he is a good receiver.
I don't see you guys running at all against us.
Yes K-Will is out and Pat Williams is gone, but Brian Robinson, Letroy Guion, and Remi Ayodele are younger, faster, and talented. And our LB’s are going to be their scary selves, we may have even found a gem in Erin Henderson. If you guys win, it’ll be from our weak DB’s blowing coverages.
The road to fulfillment in any line of endeavor is always marked by an initial breakthrough; however, that first taste of success needs to be replicated again and again in order for supremacy to be sustained. We are Vikings, and our breakthrough is now. We will get that first down, then get a touchdown. Then we'll kick your ass.
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Sep 7, 2011 6:14 PM CDT up reply actions
We run even when it's not effective, to keep defenses in base.
No four DBs can cover our receiving arsenal.
An autumn Sunday,
Perched in front of the big screen,
Beer in white knuckles.
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Sep 8, 2011 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions
Run A.P. right down their throats.
A solid balance of passing mixed in & we can control the game. I can see the Vikes squeaking out a 24-21 win on Longwell’s foot. I’ll bet every guy at ESPN except for Chris Carter picks the Chargers. We have nothing to lose & so the heat is on the Chargers. Our guys will be putting up a good effort you can be sure of that. We have some weapons of our own & you can be sure A.P. & Percy will get theirs too.
That’s about as baised a comment as I’ve ever read..
The road to fulfillment in any line of endeavor is always marked by an initial breakthrough; however, that first taste of success needs to be replicated again and again in order for supremacy to be sustained. We are Vikings, and our breakthrough is now. We will get that first down, then get a touchdown. Then we'll kick your ass.
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Sep 8, 2011 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Arsenal Smarsenal
It wasn’t good enough to overcome the teams other flaws. Otherwise you would have made the playoffs.
The point is that
you guys are gonna spend a decent amount of time in nickle/dime. I agree your front 4 and LB are solid against the run, but I don’t think its outlandish to expect moderate gains given that your focus will be elsewhere. Certainly our ability in the passing game will be the more decisive factor.
How ironic is it?
That the Vikings and the Chargers are playing in week 1, given the rumblings about being future cellmates. facepalm
I don’t think SD runs on our D. I do think we run on them, given the holes AD was seeing in preseason. But I do think they’ll be able to throw all day on our secondary, and I’m not convinced we have more than a check-down passing game right now.
It’ll be close. But I think we need a turnover or 2 to win.
Turnovers help(Greenway will cause 2)
And oh yeah, AP will make the SanDiegan’s forget whatever the hell Tomlinson ever did.
Skol!
Interesting stat
I have a new stat to follow this year and it’s from an article in the Wall St. Journal. The team that has the best Yards per Pass Attempt wins about 84% of the time. This is based on 50+ years of stats. Something to watch and based on this Ive gotta go with Phillip Rivers – unfortunately.
by Siegfried59 on Sep 7, 2011 6:57 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
I always have this "Weird Revelation Moment"
I can’t pin point it andthere are some exceptions to every rule. Seems to me no matter how good or how bad the2 teams are the Vikings seem to have some Voodoo on the Chargers. There is nothing realistic to back it but it is one team that we seem to overcome the odds against. Another is the Cards (exception being the surse of missing the playoff game), Saints WAS another. then the rule flipped on me but, somewhere iside I still feel it.
Seeming the Lions but no matter the outcome it isalways a boring game. I still think we might have the Lions #. Just run away from the big guy. Giants are another in the regular season but the tables even in the playoffs.
I don’t pretend to bea phychic as I think that is hogwash. itis just funny feelings I get when facing certain teams.
Just for laughs I would like to pick the winner game by gambased on “the feeling”
OK.It’s BS but it sure has those weird moments at times.
Think I’ll do a post but please don’t take it seriously. Not that you will. But a guy who was at deaths door and took some weird hits to the head may have something :-)
AKA : Revenge4Webb
The Chargers and Vikings have traded games 1-for-1 for like 50 years now.
An autumn Sunday,
Perched in front of the big screen,
Beer in white knuckles.
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Sep 8, 2011 12:43 PM CDT up reply actions
The Frazier Youth Movement........
I am looking forward to witnessing it first hand…… Super Bowl is still a possibility.
I like our team…. and teams win.
skol
Hate to be a PITA (pain in the ass)
Enjoyed the story (as usual)
BUT …… Can you renew the signature letter post? The only way this will get done is to gather signatures and hammer the point home to the legislature about the stadium deal creating jobs and revenue for the state of Minnesota again and again and again and again and again and again (until you know how Adrian Peterson feels in the fourth quarter)!!!
Underdogs
The Vikings are projected to lose big… most folks in the NFL, fans and teams, have pretty much written off the Vikings this year. Under the radar. Underdogs. And that’s when, traditionally, the Vikings are at their best. Good things can happen, especially if the Chargers come in thinking the game is already won.
But we still have a new QB, and a new playbook, and not a whole lot of time to settle in. We’re about to find out what Frazier is really made of. Is he able to bring the team to full readiness in time for the opener, or is he quietly foundering and playing catch-up?
Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!
Well the Hawkeyes are 1-0 on the year..
Let’s keep the trend going..and also I would be pretty excited to see McNutt in purple next year..
by PURPpplEATER on Sep 8, 2011 9:51 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Ugh,, I hate Iowa
Being PSU allumni, seems like they always find a way to get us lol! McNutt would def be a welcome addition here, he’s got SKILLS. Now I’m thinking about the whole McNabb to McNutt thing, sounds kinda funny haha.
They're 2-0, they just beat I....S.....oh, that game hasn't been played yet
McNutt in Purple Pants would be awesome.
Skol!
The experts don't expect crap from us this year.
it’s amazing we still have most of the people from 2009. Brett isn’t here or Sidney but that’s about it for the no shows although we may miss Ray Ray more than we once thought.
I'm like the Dali Lama of kicking ass
Actually, Alex Marvez a writer for fox sports thinks we are a darkhorse playoff contender.
and I have to agree. We were a few plays from being 10-6 in 2009 and a few plays from being 8-8 last year. We have too much talent to be discarded before the season begins. I think our D-line is strong enough to compensate for the departure of an average LDE anyway
Vikes Will Win
Vikes will win 17-14. It will be a tough game, but I think Longwell wins it towards the end.
SDs LBs can’t stop AD. We just need to control the clock. Keep Phillip off the field.
Secondary
With our weak secondary i don’t see how we hold the chargers to 14 points. i mean, if rivers shows up wearing his ass for a hat and just starts throwing us the ball maybe…but i think it will take over 20 points to beat the charges
The Vikings have been a pretty good secondary when Griffin and 'Toine are on the field at the same time
I also think we’ve upgraded the Safety position and our LBs seems to be moving really well in converage. I disagree with our secondary being “weak”; only compared to our DL and LBs.
Skol!
Absolutely
I really like Abdullah, another year of experience for him.
The road to fulfillment in any line of endeavor is always marked by an initial breakthrough; however, that first taste of success needs to be replicated again and again in order for supremacy to be sustained. We are Vikings, and our breakthrough is now. We will get that first down, then get a touchdown. Then we'll kick your ass.
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Sep 8, 2011 8:48 AM CDT up reply actions
Well he better have a huge game...
He’s on my FF after all..and so is AD..I’m expecting a lot of points this first week
by PURPpplEATER on Sep 8, 2011 9:48 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
True but i'll take alot of tackles too..ha..definitely wouldnt mind if he lead our team again
And he has displayed that he can lay the wood on people..keep hitting them hard and eventually the ball will come loose..and he’s made some pretty spectacular int’s..I’d have to look it up on a cp but I remember one catch specifically..I think it was against either the packers or cowboys..tipped ball and he made a fantastic diving catch
by PURPpplEATER on Sep 8, 2011 10:02 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
As a D-lineman I got K-Will putting up 6 WOOOOO!... wait oh yeah damn!
"I have come to believe that a great teacher is a great artist
and that there are as few as there are any other great artists.
Teaching might even be the greatest of the arts
since the medium is the human mind and spirit."
by Edgecrusher71 on Sep 8, 2011 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions
Chargers shouldn't be favored by 9
Vikes are on paper about a 7-9 or 8-8 team give or take (personally I think they’ll do better than that). It is too early in the season to assume any team is super-dominant. Chargers being favored by 9 implies that either the Vikings are extremely terrible or the Chargers are extremely dominant, neither of which I think you can say just yet.
Yeah we have a new offense but when you lean on Peterson it isn’t exactly rocket science to get something going.
Vegas is probably basing their odds on last years stats, which explains their prediction of the Chargers winning big.
The road to fulfillment in any line of endeavor is always marked by an initial breakthrough; however, that first taste of success needs to be replicated again and again in order for supremacy to be sustained. We are Vikings, and our breakthrough is now. We will get that first down, then get a touchdown. Then we'll kick your ass.
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Sep 8, 2011 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions
It's a HUGE spread for an NFL game.
In the NFL, you rarely see(maybe a couple times/week) a spread over 7 points. They’re basing that on how McNabb played last year and how the Vikings looked last year, not really taking into account all of the seriously awful luck and other influence like the coaching staff. Some may say “new HC, new OC, new DC, LB” it’s going to be a struggle because of that. I say “upgrade at each position”. But it simple to have a huge spread against the vikings like this because when people look at it, they think the Chargers would win by at least a TD. I would take the Vikings in a heartbeat with this line. It’s the first game of the season, I wouldn’t be expecting any blowouts.
Skol!
Maybe they factor in the Vikings historical failure in cold weather Superbowls????
Sportsbooks essentially act as a broker between you and another player who wants to bet on the other team and collects the small commission as compensation for brokering the deal and handling the transfer of funds between the two of you. This is important to understand, because it underscores the biggest misconception in sports wagering. The pointspread is not the handicapper’s predicted margin-of-victory, but it is in fact the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams.
A teams talent, injuries, last years stats, new coaches and systems is what makes possible bettors predict who will win. The spread is just an incentive for someone to take our bet.
I always get a kick out of it
when people get upset about where the line is at. Make some easy money then!
That said, yeah I probably would have expected a line around -6 or -7. Also, lines are based not only on what ‘should’ happen, but also on the masses are throwing their money.
Saan Diago..
Spanish for “a whale’s vagina”
by PURPpplEATER on Sep 8, 2011 9:46 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
that one never gets old....
chief’s fans use that joke a lot
First Post
First time in Daily Norsema, long time a die hard Viking Fan (1972) Born in Mexico, lived in France and now in Sunny Puerto Rico. My first prediction : the game will be won at the trenches, I have faith in our OL and we will outrun SD. Vikings 21 SD 17
Welcome aboard the Viking Longship
Bring your axe, mead, and anti-depressants!
by Jepp The Viking on Sep 8, 2011 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions
SKOL MexiVike
Welcome aboard!
Vikings Valhalla .com
by Admiral BigGun on Sep 8, 2011 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions
So cool to see all the Viking fans from all parts of the globe
Welcome aboard MV!
Proud contributor to Daily Norseman and SB Nation Minnesota. Tweeting here.
by Eric J. Thompson on Sep 9, 2011 3:04 PM CDT up reply actions
I see why the Chargers are favored, but this game could go either way.
Vikes on offense: San Diego’s pass rush will be in McNabb’s face all day. Shiancoe might get some good action, but the Vikings are going to have to put the load on AP. I think they’ll need short fields in order to put up a lot of points. Clock control doesn’t matter until they build a lead: ball control comes from turnovers, not from TOP (until the last 20 minutes). The Vikings could easily control the ball for 40 minutes and still lose badly, given how dynamic the SD offense is.
Chargers on offense: The new Vikings DL will have to play up significantly to get pressure up the middle. Jared Allen may be able to get around Marcus McNeill, but it won’t matter if he’s the only guy winning his battle; Hester will buy Rivers time to throw. I expect the Chargers won’t get a lot of YPC on the ground, but will do well converting short-yardage and will possibly start breaking runs if Rivers and the WR/TE squad can do some damage and get Minny thinking pass defense.
Prediction: If the Chargers turn it over, the game could go either way, with both teams probably scoring in the low 20s. If not, they’ll bomb all over the hapless Minnesota secondary and put up a huge margin before shifting to prevent in Q4. Either way, take the over. Chargers to win SU, no opinion on the spread.
An autumn Sunday,
Perched in front of the big screen,
Beer in white knuckles.
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Sep 8, 2011 12:51 PM CDT reply actions
Sounds like the Chargers linebackers are their weak point
So Rudolf, Shaincoe and maybe Harvin might be able to take advantage of it. I"m hoping to see some nice dump passes to keep the LB’s honest and maybe a nice middle screen. Always loved those plays.
I'm like the Dali Lama of kicking ass
shifting to prevent in Q4
A whole quarter of prevent defense? That’s how we’d catch up with our quick slants, screens and AD. No way that’d ever happen.
The road to fulfillment in any line of endeavor is always marked by an initial breakthrough; however, that first taste of success needs to be replicated again and again in order for supremacy to be sustained. We are Vikings, and our breakthrough is now. We will get that first down, then get a touchdown. Then we'll kick your ass.
by Alittlemore_cowbell on Sep 8, 2011 3:30 PM CDT up reply actions

by 

























