2012 Draft Player Rankings: Top 10 UPDATE 1.0
With the Super Bowl less than a week away, scouts have now had a chance to evaluate more players through the East/West Shrine Bowl as well as the Senior Bowl. So, we will get our first update of the off-season. I’ll do another update after the scouting combine, and then again a few days before the draft. You can see my earlier edition here, but for convenience I’ve included the previous rankings below. Again, after scouring the internet for various draft rankings, I decided to average all of these rankings into a cumulative player ranking to see what kind of consensus (if any) there was about the top 10 player rankings. Check them out after the jump.
The ranking in parenthesis is the previous ranking of the player from last update (where applicable). In the case of NFL.com, they no longer have one ranking listed, so I specified which analyst ranking I’m using. It’s worth mentioning that Mike Mayock has only released his positional rankings as of this latest update, and since I don’t have the ESPN Insider, I don’t have Mel Kiper’s latest rankings. Once Mayock has his full rankings, his will make the 10th spot. Also, every player on the chart, makes the top 10 in at least one of the websites I consulted. Lastly, I used “player rankings” only, rather than “mock drafts”, because I’m interested in how each website ranks the players (by whatever metric they use), not in who they think each team will draft.
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Average
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CBS
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ESPN
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NFL.com
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NFL.com
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Walter
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Draftcount
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Drafttek
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Profootball
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Draft
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Andrew Luck, QB
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1.2 (1)
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#1
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#3
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Matt Kalil, T
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2.4 (2)
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#2
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#2
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#2
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#2
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#2
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#2
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#2
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#3
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#5
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Robert Griffin III, QB
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4.2 (4.9)
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#3
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#3 (#6)
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#4
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#3
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#3
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#5 (#6)
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#6 (#5)
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#4
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#7
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Trent Richardson, RB
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4.4 (4.6)
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#5 (#7)
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#4
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#5
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#5
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#6 (#5)
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#4 (#3
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#4
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#6
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#1
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Justin Blackmon, WR
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5 (5.3)
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#6
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#8 (#9)
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#3
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#4
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#4
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#6 (#5)
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#3 (#6)
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#5
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#6
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Morris Clairborne, CB
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5.2 (4.4)
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#4
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#6 (#3)
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#6
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#6
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#5 (#6)
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#3 (#4)
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#5 (#3)
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#2
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#10
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Riley Reiff, T
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8 (7.7)
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#8 (#5)
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#7
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#7
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#8
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#11 (#13)
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#8 (#7)
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#7 (#8)
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#14
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#2
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Quinton Coples, DE
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8.7 (8.9)
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#12
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#5
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#5
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#7
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#7 (#10)
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#9 (#8)
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#12 (#9)
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#17
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#4
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Jonathan Martin, T
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11.6 (11)
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#9 (#11)
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#11 (#10)
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#12
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#9
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#8 (#7)
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#12 (#9)
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#20 (#12)
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n/a
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#12
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David DeCastro, G
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11.9 (12)
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#11 (#9)
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#15
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#15
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#11
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#14 (#15)
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#7 (#13)
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#13 (#7)
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#9
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n/a
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Luke Kuechly, ILB
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13.1 (12.6)
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#16 (#18)
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#10 (#13)
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#14
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#13
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#10 (#9)
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#15 (#10)
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#9 (#15)
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#12
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#19
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Dre Kirkpatrick, CB
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14.4 (12.3)
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#10
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#9 (#8)
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#21
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#10
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#20 (#8)
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#14 (#24)
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#14
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#23
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#9
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Melvin Ingram DE
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16
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#19
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#17
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#17
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#12
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#19 (#20)
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#26
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#22
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#21
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#8
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Devon Still, DT
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16 (14)
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#7 (#8)
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#21
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#19
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#16
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#18 (#19)
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#16 (#11)
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#8 (#16)
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#18
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#21
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Courney Upshaw, OLB
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16.1
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#20
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#16
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#11
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#14
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#12 (#14)
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#18
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#10
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#10
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#34
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Mark Barron, S
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18.3 (22.7)
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#18 (#36)
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#14
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#32
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#26
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#33
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#10 (#18)
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#10
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#8
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#14
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Michael Brockers, DT
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20.1
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#13
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#12
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#23
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#43
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#9 (#26)
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#20
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#25
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n/a
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#16
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Zach Brown, OLB
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22.9
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#34
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n/a
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#10
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#25
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#23
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#21
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#17
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#31
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#22
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Fletcher Cox, DT/DE
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23.4
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#25
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n/a
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#36
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#18
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#38
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#30
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#16
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#7
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#17
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Ryan Tannehill, QB
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29
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#29
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#20
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#8
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#31
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#44
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#32
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#38
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#29
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#30
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Alshon Jeffrey, WR
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29.2
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#45
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#23
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#9
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#32
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#15 (#11)
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#19
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#63
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#24
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#33
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Conclusion
A lot has changed in slightly less than 2 weeks. Of course, I also changed up the rankings I used a bit by adding 4 new websites (the 2 NFL.com analysts, PFW and Draft Nasty) and dropping 2 others (Mel Kiper and generic NFL.com). In this new setup, Robert Griffith III jumps up to 3rd place overall after finishing 5th previously, while Morris Claiborne slips from 3rd overall to 6th. The bottom half of the overall top 10 remains unchanged, and the top 6 are all consensus top 10 picks. Also, a whole slew of new names enter the rankings, as many of the new websites have some interesting picks in each of their top 10s. Conversely, only one name slips out of everyone’s top 10 and is therefore no longer on the chart: WR Michael Floyd. At this still early stage, I would be ecstatic if we could draft one of these consensus top 10 picks: Kalil, Blackmon or Claiborne. The poll on the initial ranking had us taking Claiborne (50% of the votes) and then Blackmon (25% of the votes). I'm curious to see if anyone's opinion has changed.
note: I'm having issues with the formatting of the table. It looks fine in the editor, but gets cut off in the preview, sorry, there's just not enough width!
This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.
31 comments
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2 recs |
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Comments
Good write-up,
those are some pretty consensus rankings…however, I do seem to see a lot more people mocking Kalil to the Vikings than to the Rams. The NFL.com mock panel had 7/8 people doing so, the only aggregate being Mariucci. WF has them with Kalil, as well as ESPN.
To be honest, I don’t think he’ll be on the board. That’s why I picked Reiff if we don’t trade down. Mayock has him as the #1 OT and he’s looked pretty dang good.
"Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear, not absence of fear." -Mark Twain
Remember, these aren't mocks
These are raw player rankings, using a variety of metrics (individual to each site). This is not a ranking of who each team at the #1, #2, #3, etc spots will draft, it’s merely a ranking of the “Best Player Available”.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
So, Kalil...
He’s ranked as the #2 player overall. That doesn’t mean these websites think the Ram’s will draft him though.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
Oh no, I know.
I was just saying it was interesting to see the difference. Good job! :)
"Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear, not absence of fear." -Mark Twain
I voted Martin
So yes I’ve waffled. I like many corners after Claiborne and Kirkpatrick. I don’t like any OT’s after Kalil, Martin and Reiff.
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Honestly this whole thing will be tossed salad as soon as the combine hits.
Kalil puts 225 up 14 times while Martin does it 32 and they’ll flop places pretty quick. (Which in reality is kinda dumb)
The Vikes aren't in a remodeling or reconstruction they are in a burn the place down and start praying they don't mimic the Lions rebuilding process.
Whaaat?
Profootball Weekly has Claiborne going #2 to the Rams? Seems a little odd.
Hard to tell without the sarcasm font
But this is a power rankings summary, not a mock draft summary.
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Right
I tweaked a few words to hopefully make that clearer. Instead of “draft rankings”, it now reads “player rankings”. Sorry for any confusion…
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
No worries
Your work makes perfect sense. Especially for those of us who read your first edition.
If you don’t want to wait for Mayock, you can also use Wes Bunting’s big board over at National Football Post.
Oh and rec’d again! Nice work. Maybe try using smaller font for your chart….?
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
I tried that...
I can get it to look smaller (and to fit) in the editor, but there must be some kind of formatting issue, because the font suddenly gets larger and doesn’t fit in the preview/post. I’ll keep looking into it. My knowledge of HTML is limited…
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
Did you try the import from word option?
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Yep
That’s what I started with actually. I went with 8pt font in word, and then when I copy/pasted, it looked correct in the editor, but posted it as regular large font. I probably need to go into the HTML and adjust the font and size settings for each box of the table, but seeing as how there are 242 boxes in the table, it would take a very long to time to individually update each and every box to get the correct size. If I can find the time to do that, I will. In the meantime…draft nasty’s ranks will just have to be hidden for now.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
That makes much more sense
Reading comprehension ftw
by REVENGE4KLUWE on Feb 1, 2012 8:10 AM CST up reply actions
I voted Reiff because...
Most seem to agree the 3 biggest areas of need are LT, CB, and WR giving us the options of Reiff, Claiborne, and Blackmon with ranking averages of 8, 5.2, and 5 respectively. Given the scarcity of top LT talents found later in the draft (could Adams fall to early 2nd) and free agency compared to WR & CB, I think that it could be worth picking the 8th ranked prospect at 3 to fill a major need.
Some could argue going with BPA but I think without drastically improving the o-line, neither Griffin or Richardson would have much more success than our current players have had.
Also, I was a fan of Martin early on in the year but in the past month or so his stock has seemed to drastically fall on many boards. Earlier in the year he seemed to be a consensus top 5 pick. Anyone have inside info on why?
by BigSling on Jan 31, 2012 12:17 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
I voted RG3
If the Vikings cannot trade down and he is there then I believe they should take him. I do not know who would end up eventually being the starting QB. It could be that Ponder would win the job. Meanwhile RG3 would be developing and the Vikings would have pretty good insurance in case Ponder goes down.
I like Webb but I am not sure about his passing ability from within the pocket. I think he can get better but if he is not getting the reps then it will take longer.
It really is not an indictment on Ponder. It is taking the BPA at #3. They can turn around and trade RG3 to a team a few spots down too. It could be that during the negotiations that teams will be trying to low ball the Vikings because they feel the Vikings will not select RG3. So if the Vikings actually do select him the other teams will then be saying oh shiite. Now the Vikings are in a position of strength.
I am not saying I would turn around and trade him but if the offer was too good to pass up then I would do it.
San Diego took Eli Manning even though they knew he did not want to play there and that the Giants really coveted him. Next thing you know the Giants are on the phone and giving up a nice package to get their guy.
I am not sure if the Chargers and Giants had some type of agreement before the Chargers picked but I doubt it. I think the Giants were willing to call San Diego’s bluff. And they lost as far as draft picks are concerned. They got their QB and he has worked out well so I suppose it is all good.
Regardless, I find it hard to believe that the Giants would tell the Chargers to go ahead and draft Eli and then we will pick Rivers and then give you our 3rd round pick and our first and fifth the following year. I mean what GM would agree to that before the Chargers make a pick?
No, the Vikings should take RG3 right there at #3 and then let the bidding begin. It could go all the way to Seattle who will be picking 11th or 12th. If a player is there that the Vikings like (and there will be) then the Seahawks would have to give up their 2nd and a first in 2013 plus a 4th or something like that.
I am not a fan of Claiborne. He may end up being all that but I think he will come in just under 6 feet and close to 180 pounds at the combine. Blackmon is intriguing but I am hoping they get a free agent WR and then pick up another one later in the draft. That leaves Richardson, Reiff, and Coples. I might select Coples and then try and deal Robison to a 3-4 team.
I could actually see them taking Richardson too. They may not let AP play much to start the year and having Gerhart and Richardson is not a bad one two punch.
I am just trying to think outside the box. I really believe that the Vikings should get the best player available with that #3 pick if they cannot trade down regardless of the position. The player should be an asset that can then be traded for picks later if need be. Not taking the BPA because you feel you do not need him is risky and short sighted.
During the Senior Bowl practices, Shanahan was on with NFL Network while the North was practicing. They asked him about selecting a QB and he said that you always have to be looking for that elite QB. He said if you do not have a top 5 or 6 QB in the league then you always should be looking to add a QB. He said the worst case is that you can always trade someone. This is exactly right.
My question is do the Vikings have a top 5 or 6 QB in the NFL?
By the time the draft rolls around I probably will have Blackmon or Kalil in my final mock. It is just more interesting to me than doing a straight draft.
I see what you mean,
do you consider Griffin to be the BPA even if Kalil is there?
"Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear, not absence of fear." -Mark Twain
I get what you're saying...
I agree, that you should draft BPA, especially in the later rounds. If Kalil is gone, and we can find a trade partner to get out of the #3 spot, then you go with BPA. Where I disagree with you, is if BPA happens to be a QB or a RB. While we could draft RGIII or Trent Richardson, what are going to do with THREE good, young QBs? Sure we could draft one/two, but you can’t develop all of them, there’s no telling what you might get for any of them in trade. If one of them is good enough to garner a boat-load of trades, we’d likely keep him anyway, right? So, we’re not likely to get much for the remaining guy(s) in trade, especially if every other team agrees with us on who is the best QB of the bunch. So, it’s entirely likely that if we were to draft RGIII, one of Ponder/Web/RGIII would end up being an elite QB longterm, which means we won’t get much for the other two guys.
So, I would rather address a current need on the team, then overload our QB position, hoping to trade a lesser option down the line to fill a hole later. We should take the opportunity to draft a long-term answer at a huge position of need. In our case, pretty much any position other than QB or RB fits the bill. If we draft a CB, WR, OL, DT, LB, S we pretty much can’t go wrong in terms of addressing a major need with a high 1st round draft pick. Wouldn’t you rather have one of those positions addressed other than QB?
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
So you are saying that you would not take the BPA because of the position
That is cool. I would not limit it to any position. Just give me the BPA. Too many QBs have been traded for a nice package because teams always are looking for QBs as Shanahan stated. Look at Seattle giving up a 3rd and swapping picks in the 2nd round with the Chargers just to get Whitehurst who had not played a snap. Team covet QBs. They need them and they need more than one.
I am not sure that the Vikings have two good QBs at all. I do not know how anyone can make that claim. They have two that look like they might have what it takes but what if they do not. Then the Vikings are back to square one.
Ponder would fetch more than Whitehurst that is for sure. He would fetch just as much as Kolb fetched IMHO. RG3 may fetch a good haul too.
As for Richardson, I would not be upset if they took him. Having three backs is a necessity. He easily can be that 3rd down back as he is already really good at picking up the blitzes and catching the ball. I just do not understand how fans can assume that AP is going to come back and be like his old self are very optimistic to say the least. Richardson is compared to AP by some scouts.
I think that you are limiting your options because you assume and hope that the two QBs end up being good and that AP comes back healthy and Toby for that matter.
What if Andrew Luck is there at #3? Would you take him at #3? Some scouts are thinking that RG3 may be the better prospect. By the time the draft rolls around RG3 is going to be highly thought of amongst scouts.
Anyway, I am trying to think outside the box and not limit my options.
BPA or BPA-at-Need
The Vikings have been going with BPA and needs have fallen to second or third consideration. The result is a team of a few superstars and mediocrity everywhere else. 3-13.
I think that they need to look first at desperate needs (LT, G, CB, DT, S, WR) and take the top ranked player within the needs-list.
With all the WRs in FA, going for a top-ranked draft WR may not be smart.
Ah, ah,
We come from the land of the ice and snow,
From the midnight sun where the hot springs blow.
The hammer of the gods will drive our ships to new lands,
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
SKOL!
Here's NFP's big board
01 Andrew Luck QB 6-4 235 Stanford 9.0
02 Morris Claiborne CB 6-0 185 Louisiana State 8.5 J
03 Trent Richardson RB 5-11 224 Alabama 8.5
04 David DeCastro OG 6-5 310 Stanford 8.5
05 Michael Brockers DT 6-6 306 Louisiana State 8.0 D J
06 Matt Kalil OT 6-7 295 Southern California 8.0 B J
07 Robert Griffin III QB 6-2 220 Baylor 7.5 J
08 Riley Reiff OT 6-6 300 Iowa 7.5 D J
09 Quinton Coples DE 6-6 285 North Carolina 7.5 C U
10 Justin Blackmon WR 6-1 215 Oklahoma State 7.5 C
11 Cordy Glenn OG 6-5 348 Georgia 7.5
12 Kendall Wright WR 5-10 190 Baylor 7.5
13 Orson Charles TE 6-3 241 Georgia 7.5
14 Mark Barron SS 6-2 218 Alabama 7.0 T
15 Dont’a Hightower ILB 6-4 260 Alabama 7.0 J X
16 Luke Kuechly ILB 6-3 237 Boston College 7.0 J
17 Peter Konz C 6-5 315 Wisconsin 7.0 J
18 David Wilson RB 5-10 205 Virginia Tech 7.0 J
19 Dre Kirkpatrick CB 6-3 192 Alabama 7.0 J
20 Nick Perry OLB 6-3 250 Southern California 7.0 J
21 Michael Floyd WR 6-3 224 Notre Dame 7.0 C
22 Devon Still DT 6-5 310 Penn State 7.0 C
23 Mike Adams OT 6-8 320 Ohio State 7.0 C
24 Janoris Jenkins CB 5-10 182 North Alabama 7.0 C
25 Coby Fleener TE 6-6 244 Stanford 7.0
26 Brandon Thompson DT 6-2 310 Clemson 7.0
27 Melvin Ingram DE 6-2 276 South Carolina 7.0
28 Courtney Upshaw OLB 6-2 265 Alabama 7.0
29 Kelechi Osemele OG 6-6 347 Iowa State 6.9 X C
30 Stephon Gilmore CB 6-1 193 South Carolina 6.9 J
31 Fletcher Cox DE 6-4 295 Mississippi State 6.9 D
32 Amini Silatolu OG 6-3 324 Midwestern State 6.9 D
33 Brandon Washington OG 6-4 320 Miami 6.9 D
34 Ryan Tannehill QB 6-4 222 Texas A&M 6.9 D
35 Lavonte David OLB 6-1 225 Nebraska 6.9 B
36 Brandon Boykin CB 5-10 183 Georgia 6.9
37 Lamar Miller RB 5-11 212 Miami 6.9
38 Jared Crick DE 6-6 285 Nebraska 6.8 X
39 Zach Brown OLB 6-2 230 North Carolina 6.8 U
40 Alshon Jeffery WR 6-4 229 South Carolina 6.8 S J
41 Ben Jones C 6-3 316 Georgia 6.8 P
42 Dwayne Allen TE 6-4 255 Clemson 6.8 J
43 Mohamed Sanu WR 6-2 215 Rutgers 6.8 D J
44 Dontari Poe DT 6-5 350 Memphis 6.8 D
45 Markelle Martin FS 6-1 198 Oklahoma State 6.8 D
46 Brandon Brooks OG 6-5 343 Miami (Ohio) 6.8 D
47 Andre Branch DE 6-5 260 Clemson 6.8 D
48 Jamell Fleming CB 5-11 191 Oklahoma 6.8 C
49 Andrew Datko OT 6-6 321 Florida State 6.8
50 Casey Hayward CB 5-11 188 Vanderbilt 6.8
51 Josh Norman CB 6-0 190 Coastal Carolina 6.8
52 Doug Martin RB 5-9 215 Boise State 6.8
53 Alameda Ta’amu DT 6-3 337 Washington 6.8
54 Travis Lewis OLB 6-2 227 Oklahoma 6.8
55 George Iloka SS 6-3 216 Boise State 6.8
56 Alfonzo Dennard CB 5-10 205 Nebraska 6.7 D
57 Jarius Wright WR 5-10 180 Arkansas 6.7
58 Ronnell Lewis OLB 6-2 244 Oklahoma 6.6 T C
59 Jerel Worthy DT 6-3 310 Michigan State 6.6 J
60 Bruce Irvin OLB 6-3 245 West Virginia 6.6 D P
61 Jonathan Martin OT 6-6 304 Stanford 6.6 D B J
62 Vontaze Burfict ILB 6-3 250 Arizona State 6.6 C J
63 Trumaine Johnson CB 6-2 204 Montana 6.6 C
64 Senio Kelemete OG 6-4 301 Washington 6.6
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Wow
Claiborne and DeCastro are HIGH on this list. I’m surprised to see RGIII and Blackmon so low on this one.
Ponder. Peterson. Percy. Purple Perfection.
Look at how low Jonathan Martin is...that's the shocker to me
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Martin at 61?!
I’m no draft prospect guru but wow. Are there some character or injury issues floating around that I missed?
No doubt
I like NFP, I really do, but c’mon, Orsen Charles at 13 and Martin at 61? NFP’s ranking index puts a major emphasis on size and toughness. It will be interesting to see how Martin weighs in at the combine. If he is under 6’5" and under 300lbs, I will understand the drop off, but I still question how far he fell.
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
* should have read under 6'6"
I doubt he is under 6’5."
"At this point, what we got to lose, right? So we might as well throw caution to the wind and hit people in the face."
--Vikings DE Jared Allen
Bunting has interesting rankings
I asked him if he had his rankings from last year available in order to see how he did but he said they do not keep them at the nationalfootballpost.com site. That is disappointing.
He is one of the only scouts who had Ponder high on his board last year. I asked him about it and here is what he said …
http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/front_office_ask_wes.html
Do you have your rankings from previous year’s available? I like to review your rankings to see how you did. I am interested in your opinion on Christian Ponder vs Robert Griffin III? I think the Vikings really need to think long and hard about selecting RG3 themselves. Claiborne, Kalil, and Blackmon are obviously very nice. But they many never have another shot at a top tier QB for many years (hopefully)? RG3 has a much higher ceiling than Ponder who the jury is still out on. I like Ponder but I am afraid that he is going to be hurt quite often in his career. It gets hurt every year. This is not good and is not something you can hang your hat on. He is a risk. – MarkSP18 on Jan 19
I am sorry, but we need to load in new content every year. I’m sorry but we don’t, it’s out of my hands. However, I like RG3 far more than Ponder. RG3 looks more natrual in the pocket, can create better with his leg, better touch vertcially and more upside overall.
If the one scout who liked Ponder likes RG3 far more then that says a lot to me.
I wish he would have his previous year’s rankings. I mean they all miss on players so it is not like you are looking to tell him he made a mistake. It is more about what he said about a player and if it was true or not.
This just goes to show that these rankings aren't etched in stone.
In reality after Luck, there’s not a big discrepancy between 2 through 10. After 10 to 12 it starts to tail off. I don’t see the point in drafting another quarterback, because we can’t protect what we already have. In this draft the Vikings need to come away with Kahlil or Reiff. Add a receiver, and find out what the Vikings have.
have you watched videos of Claiborne?
if so please send me a link where he looks like the #3 pick. I spent some time watching youtube highlights of him and I was not all that impressed. As much as I agree with your logic about WR via free agency I’m just not convinced that Claiborne is the lock down corner we need. I think we trade down if Kalil is off the board. If no trades are allowed I would prefer to Blackmon > Claiborne as I think Blackmon is very safe pick and gives us a strong, sure handed athletic receiver for years to come – a definite asset and need. But again if you have a link showing Claiborne in better light please share. Claiborne wasn’t even the best DB at LSU. He had one above average college year and he wasn’t covering opposing teams #1 WR. He is ranked high by most scouts so I am sure I am not seeing things clearly but I don’t like the idea of taking LSU second best CB at #3 and banking on him to be the lock down corner of the future…this is pick the Vikings CANNOT miss on.

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