FanPost

Odd Vikings Win Analysis! Ow My Brain!

I saw this posted on Reddit and thought it was entertaining if nothing else. How odd is this (Link):

I was thinking about the way that schedules are constructed, with each team playing its own division, an AFC division, and NFC division, and then the remaining two teams in its conference that placed the same in their divisions. I was wondering why the nfl specified that last bit for the remaining two games; then I realized that with that bit, each team plays 4 teams that finished 1st in their division the previous year, 4 teams that finished 2nd, 4 that finished 3rd, and 4 that finished 4th, regardless of how you finish, because those two games make up for the fact that you don't play yourself in your division.

So, you can break each team's season into quarters based on how it fared against 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place teams. The funny thing about that, when applied to the Vikings? Well, so far:

You're 1-0 against 1st place teams (49ers)

You're 3-0 against 2nd place teams (Lions, Titans, & Cardinals)

You're 1-1 against 3rd place teams (Jaguars & Seahawks)

You're 0-3 against 4th place teams (Bucs, Colts, & Redskins)

Now, that's pretty weird; the better a team did in 2011, the more likely the Vikings are to beat them. But, if we assume your percentages hold up within each tier, you'll sweep the Packers, Texans, and Lions, split the games with the Bears, and lose to the Rams, for a final record of 10-6, which probably makes the playoffs (you'd hold the tiebreaker against everyone in the NFC North, by being 2-0 against Packers and Lions, and having a better division record than the Bears).

It's a silly assumption to make. But then, a lot of people would have said before this season that the Vikings winning more than 4 games would be silly.

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a <em>community</em>, that view is no less important.

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