My apologies for my personal lack of activity over the past couple of days, ladies and gentlemen. Let me attempt to rectify that.
Mark Craig from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune makes a pretty good point about teams that could potentially be looking to move up in the 2012 NFL Draft. He points out that, if a team wanted to move up in the draft this year that the Minnesota Vikings would be a much more attractive potential trade partner at #3 than the St. Louis Rams would be at #2.
With the way the draft has fallen, the Indianapolis Colts are likely going to dump Peyton Manning in the near future here and take Andrew Luck. That still leaves Baylor's Robert Griffin III available for teams that might want to move up. Now, the most likely team to grab a quarterback after that is the Cleveland Browns at #4. That's because everybody knows that the Vikings aren't taking a quarterback at #3. . .and more importantly, in this case, everybody knows that the Rams aren't taking a quarterback at #2.
With that being the case, it would be cheaper to move up to the #3 overall pick than it would be to move up to #2. How much cheaper? Well, if we go to the almighty chart. . .and I know not everybody loves the chart, but it gives us something tangible to measure this with. . .we can see what the difference would be. According to the chart, the #2 overall pick is worth 2,600 "points," while the #3 pick is worth 2,200 points.
So say you're the Washington Redskins, one of the teams that has been rumored to be interested in a quarterback like RGIII. Their first three picks are at #6, #39, and #70. Those three picks are worth 2,350 points (1,600 + 510 + 240). In order to move up to the #2 pick, they might have to throw in even more. . .in order to get to #3, they might be able to work out a deal even if they substitute a lower pick (a fourth or fifth-rounder) for that third-round selection.
Think about that. . .it's like if you're going down to the corner store for a Mountain Dew or something. Store A will sell you that Mountain Dew for $1.50. . .Store B will sell it to you for $1.25. More often than not, you're going to hit up Store B, aren't you?
If a team wants to get ahead of Cleveland for the chance to draft RGIII, then the Minnesota Vikings are a much better choice for them than the Rams would be. It will be interesting to see if that comes to fruition on draft day.