The second half of the Norse Code podcast, Episode 12 is up. If you want a break from the Josh Freeman talk, we (mostly) avoid that issue and instead recap the Steelers-Vikings game before breaking into our usual features, the number of the week and wild prognostications.
- Out of 252 coaches since 1940, Brian Daboll, the final offensive coordinator for Matt Cassel, was the most run-happy coach in NFL history (not just since 1999). To look at situation-adjusted run/loss balance, check out Football Perspective's take. Charlie Weis was more pass-happy than average. Brad Childress ranked as the 49th-most pass-happy coach and Musgrave ranked 169.
- Here's an explanation of how the Erhardt-Perkins offense has a superior terminology out of the prevalent offensive systems. It also explains the "route package" or "pass concept" strategies that I mentioned in the podcast. Each side of the line has a different route package and you can switch them out. The author argues that terminology is a big part of being able to run hurry-up offenses effectively.
- Here's another, shorter, breakdown on the difference in the offensive systems. Notably, the Erhardt-Perkins is described as a possession offense that is schematically disadvantaged in "come back" situations.
- And here's an excellent analysis of the offense, with a note that it can be combined with other offensive philosophies. It has the best historical perspective of all the links, if you're interested in that stuff. It also mentions that Vikings OL coach Jeff Davidson is a staunch Erhardt-Perkins disciple
- Musgrave himself considers his offensive philosophy as an EP-type offense.
- Here's Justis talking about "Close Game Theory" and how it can be useful for predicting future seasons (or avoiding most others' predictions)
- And the most recent edition of "Thank You for Not Coaching" is up from Bill Barnwell. He mentions the Steelers game, but reserves his ire for Mike Tomlin, not Leslie Frazier.
- Partway through the Bengals-Packers game, when they were winning (a game they would ultimately lose), there are a ton of people calling for Mike McCarthy's head on the official Packers blog. Perhaps spoiled by success, they've even started a petition!
- Back to Football Perspective for the Dungy Index. Relatedly, the Schottenheimer Index measures coaching performance in playoffs relative to expectations (as determined by Vegas). Even more to the point, the Manning Index (named after Peyton, not Eli) looks at "clutchness" in the playoffs vs. expectations. Although yes, Eli is first. Peyton is last. No comment.
- By the way, the Flacco Index exists, and it determines how much a quarterback was helped by his defense. His defense gave him a win expectation of 42 games of 64, and he won 44. Tom Brady and Peyton Manning are at the top of the list by a huge margin.
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