FanPost

2013 VIKING 7 ROUND MOCK DRAFT - BY THE NUMBERS!

2013 VIKING 7 ROUND MOCK DRAFT – BY THE NUMBERS!

I developed this mock draft utilizing three main data sources:

• NFL combine results, scores, and scout comments from NFL.com

• Positional rankings, scouting comments, and mock draft placement from walter.football.com

• Positional rankings, scouting comments, and mock draft placement from drafttek.com

• Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

The players in my mock draft and the rounds in which they are selected are based on mock data from the above listed resources. I attempted to realistically pick players in each round that will most likely be available within each respective round at the time in which the Vikings make their selection. My selections also include the players and positions I believe are of most need according to draft data. I selected good positional value/need in each round based on positional depth in this year’s draft (e.g., good depth at CB, DT, WR, etc.). Note, in each round I show my preferred selection first, along with two alternate picks per selection per round (except in round 7).

The result of analyzing the draft data allowed me to develop this mock draft that includes:

• The two first round picks having an NFL Draft Grade equivalent to "immediate starter" (grade level 85-95).

• 4 players selected having an NFL Draft Grade equivalent to "eventual starter" (grade level 70-84).

• 5 players selected having an NFL Draft Grade equivalent to "draftable player" (grade level 50-69).

• And 5 of the total 11 players picked are on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013.

See the NFL Draft Grade table at the end of the mock draft for further information regarding the NFL draft grade criteria and scoring legend.

We all know the first few rounds may have a flurry of trades that will re-shuffle every team’s board, but without a crystal ball to see into the future, my mock draft does not account for any potential trades.

With the table now set, please see my mock draft below. I hope it fosters some thought based on the data. Let me know what you think.

ROUND #1 – PICK #23 Preferred Selection: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

• 6’1", 214 lbs., 33 3/8" Arm Length, 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.57 sec.

• Combine Grade: 87.8

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #42 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Hopkins totaled 1,405 yards on 82 catches and 18 touchdowns in 2012. Presents good height and length for an outside receiver, also has some lower-body strength for explosion off the line of scrimmage and in his cuts. Solid route-runner used in the short, intermediate, and deep games, who has flexibility to avoid corners in zone and the quick feet to separate on hitches, comebacks, and other cuts. Hopkins does a nice job creating separation and deceiving defensive backs with head fakes and quick moves. He will threaten the top of defenses with NFL-quality straight-line speed. Possesses strong hands in traffic, not afraid of contact downfield and can separate at the last second with an arm extension. Agile enough to quickly avoid oncoming defenders after the catch yet remain balanced to head downfield for the big gain.

ROUND #1 – PICK #23 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Keenan Allen, WR, California

• 6'2" Height, 32 3/4" Arm Length, 206 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.71 sec.

• Combine Grade: 86.3

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #37 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Allen totaled 61 receptions for 737 yards and six touchdowns in 2012. He also averaged 14 yards per punt return, plus scored a touchdown. He missed the final three games with a knee injury.

Second Alternate: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee

• 6'4" Height, 33 1/4" Arm Length, 196 lbs., 9 3/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.44 sec.

• Combine Grade: 81.8

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #32 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Hunter totaled 73 receptions for 1,083 yards and nine touchdowns in 2012.

ROUND #1 – PICK #25

Preferred Selection: Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame

• 6'1" Height, 32 1/2" Arm Length, 241 LBS., 9 1/2" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.71 sec.

• Combine Grade: 87.5

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #23 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Te'o amassed 113 tackles, 5.5 tackles for a loss, 1.5 sacks, four passes broken up and seven interceptions in 2012. Te'o is a downhill player who recognizes plays and closes quickly. Provides pop as a tackler, capable of thumping the ball-carrier and wrapping up to secure the stop. Aware run-stopper between the tackles that finds the ball and can mirror backs to prevent cutbacks. Takes on linemen and fullbacks, can bounce or use his hands to rip off and make a stop. Hustles to recover from cut blocks, work through double teams at the second level. Shows enough movement skills to follow stretch plays to either sideline and cover running backs in the flat. Drops to the first-down marker, but is able to close on receivers and backs over the middle to prevent yards after the catch. Attacks gaps as a delayed blitzer, will try to work past the shoulder of linemen picking him up.

ROUND #1 – PICK #25 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

• 6'0" Height, 32" Arm Length, 246 lbs., 9 3/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.81 sec.

• Combine Grade: 84.0

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #34 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Minter totaled 130 tackles with 15 tackles for a loss, four sacks, five passes broken up, a forced fumble and an interception.

Second Alternate: Arthur Brown, ILB/OLB, Kansas State

• 6'0" Height, 32 1/2" Arm Length, 241 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.68 sec.

• Combine Grade: 90.3

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #36 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Brown had 100 tackles, seven tackles for a loss, two interceptions, four passes broken up and a sack in 2012.

ROUND #2 – PICK #52:

Preferred Selection: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio St.

• 6'3" Height, 33" Arm Length, 320 lbs., 9 1/2" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 5.31 sec.

• Combine Grade: 83.6

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #58 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Hankins totaled 55 tackles, four tackles for a loss and a sack in 2012. He does a nice job against the run, tracking the play with his eyes and using his body to force the issue. Hankins plays all over the line, often outside the tackle despite his build because of his rare agility. Extends to shrug off blocks and uses his hands to bully blockers, controlling the POA and setting the edge when playing outside. Has extremely strong hands to secure tackles and finish plays once he gets his hands on the ball-carrier. Comes off the ball hard and quick for his size, will win a gap and blow up plays in the backfield if linemen don’t get to the reach-block. Drives back NFL-caliber guards into the backfield and holds up doubles, does not give ground even against better players. Hankins works down the line to get to ball-carriers while engaged, and hustles downfield and to the sideline if needed. He’s a three-down player, on the field for a lot of snaps considering his bulk.

ROUND #2 – PICK #52 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Kawann Short, DT, Purdue (I would take Kawann Short before Hankins, but I think he will be gone before #52 pick)

• 6'3" Height, 34 3/4" Arm Length, 299 lbs., 9 3/4" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 5.08 sec.

• Combine Grade: 80.6

• Projected Draft Round: 1-2

• #40 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Short totaled 43 tackles, 15.5 tackles for a loss, seven sacks, four passes broken up, four blocked kicks and a forced fumble in 2012.

Second Alternate: Brandon Williams, DT, Missouri Southern St.

• 6'1" Height, 32 5/8" Arm Length, 335 lbs., 9 3/4" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.68 sec.

• Combine Grade: 73.1

• Projected Draft Round: 2-3

• #83 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Williams had 68 tackles, 16.5 tackles for a loss, 8.5 sacks and five forced fumbles in 2012.

ROUND #3 – PICK #83:

Preferred Selection: Tyrann Mathieu, CB, LSU

• 5'9" Height, 31 1/8" Arm Length, 186 lbs., 9 3/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.50 sec.

• Combine Grade: 73.0

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• #98 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• The 2011 Bednarik Award winner as the nation’s top defender, Mathieu totaled 76 tackles, 7.5 tackles for a loss, 1.5 sacks, six forced fumbles, two interceptions and nine passes broken up. He is a feisty turnover machine who lines up outside, in the slot and at safety when needed. Instinctual player with very good read-and-react ability always seems to work his way into position to make a play on the ball. Does whatever it takes to make a stop, fights through blocks using hands and quickness, goes low or high and doesn’t let up after initial contact. Brings enough force despite his size to get ball carriers off balance with a glancing blow. Constantly rips at the ball while making a tackle or when others have secured the stop. Fights for jump balls with taller receivers downfield. Regularly used as a blitzer due to his feel, quickness and tenacity. Mathieu also served as a punt returner in 2011, averaging 16 yards per return with two brought back for touchdowns. Very good vision can make the first man miss and cut back effectively against the grain. Will go outside if the space is there but also slalom through traffic up the field when necessary.

ROUND #3 – PICK #83 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut

• 5'11" Height, 32 1/8" Arm Length, 201 lbs.,10 1/2" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.47 sec.

• Combine Grade: 62.1

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• #72 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Gratz totaled 53 tackles with 11 passes broken up, three interceptions and a forced fumble in 2012.

Second Alternate: Leon McFadden, CB, San Diego State

• 5'10" Height, 32 3/8" Arm Length, 193 lbs., 9" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.54 sec.

• Combine Grade: 80.7

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• McFadden was a three-time All-Mountain West selection that totaled 61 tackles with 12 passes broken up and three interceptions in 2012.

ROUND #4 – PICK #102:

Preferred Selection: Dwayne Gratz, CB, Connecticut

• 5'11" Height, 32 1/8" Arm Length, 201 lbs.,10 1/2" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.47 sec.

• Combine Grade: 62.1

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• #72 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Gratz totaled 53 tackles with 11 passes broken up, three interceptions and a forced fumble in 2012. Gratz combines NFL height and overall strength. Stays low in his stance and when opening up in bail coverage. Good closing ability, quick to attack short passes to knock them away or make the tough tackle. Aggressive hitter, can put his helmet on the ball or cut down ball-carriers equally well near the line or in space. Used as a blitzer regularly and is fast to close off cutback lanes on run plays when uncovered. Quick hands and feet to consistently beat receiver blocks. Capable of making the interception with his hands or body on poor throws. He has fair ball skills to grab low or high passes.

ROUND #4 – PICK #102 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Tyrann Mathieu, CB, LSU

• 5'9" Height, 31 1/8" Arm Length, 186 lbs., 9 3/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.50 sec.

• Combine Grade: 73.0

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• #98 on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• The 2011 Bednarik Award winner as the nation’s top defender, Mathieu totaled 76 tackles, 7.5 tackles for a loss, 1.5 sacks, six forced fumbles, two interceptions and nine passes broken up.

Second Alternate: Leon McFadden, CB, San Diego State

• 5'10" Height, 32 3/8" Arm Length, 193 lbs., 9" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.54 sec.

• Combine Grade: 80.7

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• McFadden was a three-time All-Mountain West selection that totaled 61 tackles with 12 passes broken up and three interceptions in 2012.

ROUND #4 – PICK #120

Preferred Selection: Kenny Stills, WR, Oklahoma

• 6'0" Height, 30 1/2" Arm Length, 194 lbs., 9" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.38 sec.

• Combine Grade: 66.0

• Projected Draft Round: 3-4

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Stills totaled 82 receptions for 959 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2012. Good athlete. Good first step off of the line of scrimmage and has the speed to get behind cornerbacks and the quickness to create separation out of his breaks. Tracks the deep ball very well. Good hands. Flexible, and can make the adjustment to reel in off-target throws. Shows body control and the ability to catch the football at the high point.

ROUND #4 – PICK #120 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Aaron Mellette, WR, Elon

• 6'2" Height, 33 1/8" Arm Length, 217 lbs., 9 5/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.54 sec.

• Combine Grade: 61.0

• Projected Round: 3-5

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Mellette totaled 97 passes for 1,398 yards with 18 touchdowns in 2012.

Second Alternate: Marcus Davis, WR, Virginia Tech

• 6'3" Height, 32 3/4" Arm Length, 233 lbs.,10 1/4" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.56 sec.

• Combine Grade: 63.8

• Projected Draft Round: 4-6

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Davis totaled 51 receptions for 953 yards and five touchdowns in 2012.

ROUND #5 – PICK #155

Preferred Selection: Josh Evans, S, Florida

• 6'1" Height, 31 7/8" Arm Length, 207 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.58 sec.

• Combine Grade: 68.0

• Projected Draft Round: 3-5

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• In his senior year, Evans started in all 13 games, and led the team with 79 tackles, 4.5 of which were for loss. He also recorded 2.5 sacks, three interceptions, and three passes defended. Evans was one of the top safeties at the East-West Shrine game and consistently made his presence felt. He held his own at the Combine.

ROUND #5 – PICK #155 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Earl Wolff, S, N.C. State

• 5'11" Height, 31 1/2" Arm Length, 209 lbs., 9 1/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.44 sec.

• Combine Grade: 63.4

• Projected Draft Round: 4-6

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Wolff totaled 119 tackles with seven passes broken up, one forced fumble and two interceptions in 2012.

Second Alternate: Zeke Motta, S, Notre Dame

• 6'2" Height, 31 3/8" Arm Length, 213 lbs., 9 1/4" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.83 sec.

• Combine Grade: 71.2

• Projected Draft Round: 5-7

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Motta had 77 tackles with three passes broken up.

ROUND #6 – PICK #189

Preferred Selection: Earl Waterford, OG, James Madison

• 6'3" Height, 34" Arm Length, 300 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 5.06 sec.

• Combine Grade: 68.1

• Projected Draft Round: 4-6

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Athletically built interior player. Solid anchor in pass protection. Waterford plays with a wide base and has the feet to mirror his opponent. Packs a strong punch to knock back his man, but also takes a strong punch and holds his ground. Comes out of his stance quickly in the run game, uses strong hands and powerful extension to move opponents out of the hole and churns his feet to pancake defensive linemen when crashing down the line. Effective zone blocker because of his mobility and strength. Agile enough to move his feet to get the backside angle while engaged. Mobile behind the line of scrimmage and displays the straight-line speed to reach targets and fits onto blocks near the line and at the second level. Will hit multiple targets in the open field. Solid in his cut blocks, makes it hard for tackles to recover. Solid anchor on special teams units. Plays with a nasty streak; brings any fight back to his opponent, and then some. Also hustles downfield to help running backs get an extra yard and is willing to clean up piles.

ROUND #6 – PICK #189 ALTERNATE PICKS (IF FIRST PICK GOES OFF THE BOARD):

First Alternate: Hugh Thornton, OG, Illinois

• 6'3" Height, 34 1/8" Arm Length, 320 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 5.11 sec.

• Combine Grade: 67.9

• Projected Draft Round: 5-6

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Tenacious blocker once engaged either in the run game or pass pro. Thornton finishes blocks to the ground whenever necessary. He has good quickness from his stance, can fire out to greet defenders. Very good upper body strength to latch onto and stone targets. He possesses footwork to stay with defenders throughout the play. Quick feet and good straight-line speed also help him block down and reach second-level targets, also pulled for outside runs. Uses athleticism and length as an effective cut blocker in space to take out defenders.

Second Alternate: Blaize Foltz, OG, TCU

• 6'4" Height, 310LBS. Weight

• 40 yard dash time: 5.23.

• Grade: 55.5

• Projected Draft Round: 5-7

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Solidly built interior lineman, with tremendous strength in a phone-booth. Anchors quickly against bull rushes inside, gives little ground and can move his feet to stay on the block as the defender tries to get off to chase the play. Good awareness on twists and blitzes, stones ends or late-coming linebackers adeptly. When he stays low off the ball, he can drive his assignment out of the hole, or control them on the backside. Controls some opponents with his upper-body strength to move them out of the hole. Consistent in hitting his aiming point.

ROUND #7 – PICK #213

Preferred Selection: Quanterus Smith, DE, Western Kentucky

• 6'5" Height, 33 1/4" Arm Length, 250 lbs., 10 3/8" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.69 sec.

• Grade: 75.7

• Projected Draft Round: 5-7

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• The part-time starter in 2011 managed to earn second-team All-Sun Belt honors (11 tackles for loss, 7.5 sacks) in 2011 while also displaying great upside to NFL scouts due to his length and explosion off the edge as a pass rusher. He lined up as a starter full-time in 2012, showing a much improved all-around game. Unfortunately, the 2012 Sun Belt Defensive Player of the Year tore his ACL in November, ending his senior season after just ten games. How Smith checks out medically will have a huge effect on his stock, but a team that feels good about his knee might feel the Hilltopper's skill as a pass rusher is worth investing a Day 2-3 pick on him. Coming off reconstructive knee surgery performed in November 2012, and likely will not be able to contribute much in 2013.

ROUND #7 – PICK #229

Preferred Selection: DeVonte Holloman, 4-3 OLB, South Carolina

• 6'1" Height, 32 1/2" Arm Length, 243 lbs., 10" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.76 sec.

• Combine Grade: 70.5

• Projected Draft Round: 5-7

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013

• Holloman recorded 57 tackles, eight tackles for a loss, four passes broken up and two sacks in 2012. Versatile defender with a strong overall build. Plays over the tight end, in the slot, in the stack. Long, thick arms make him a secure tackler once latching on, brings pop to his stops whether in the open field or backfield. Moves well laterally. Takes on blocks in the open field extremely well. Locks out arms, and anchors in. Showcases violent hands in ripping off blocks. Stands his ground, or lowers a shoulder against pulling guards and tight end blocks on the edge, providing containment. Offers strength and speed as a blitzer. Former safety shows some agility to stay with tight ends and some receivers off the line. Shows some hustle across the field and chasing plays from behind. Takes advantage of poor throws to secure interceptions with his hands, looking the ball in even if it’s away from his frame.

ROUND #7 – PICK #231

Preferred Selection: David Bass, DE, Missouri Western State

• 6'4" Height, 33 1/2" Arm Length, 262 lbs., 10 1/2" Hands

• 40 yard dash time: 4.84 sec.

• Combine Grade: 66.0

• Projected Draft Round: 6-7

• Not on Mike Mayock’s top 100 prospects list for 2013 • Bass looked good at the East-West Shrine and flashed some pass-rush ability in the one-on-ones. He was a big part of his Division II program making a postseason run. The senior collected 61 tackles and 11.5 sacks in 2012. Bass could be a nice sleeper for the third day of the 2013 NFL Draft.

NFL DRAFT GRADE CHART

Grade

• 96-100: Future Hall of Famer - (Top Pick) A once-in-a-generation type prospect who could change how his position is played.

• 85-95: Immediate Starter ( 1st) An impact player with the ability/intangibles to become a Pro Bowl player. Expect to start immediately except in a unique situation (i.e. behind a veteran starter).

• 70-84: Eventual Starter - (2nd-3rd) A quality player who will contribute to the team early on and is expected to develop into a starter. A reliable player who brings value to the position.

• 50-69: Draftable Player - (4th-7th) A prospect with the ability to make team as a backup/role player. Needs to be a special teams contributor at applicable positions. Players in the high range of this category might have long-term potential.

• 20-49: Free Agent (UDFA) A player with solid measurables, intangibles, college achievements, or a developing skill that warrants an opportunity in an NFL camp. In the right situation, he could earn a place on a 53-man roster, but most likely will be a practice squad player or a camp body.

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

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