FanPost

Ponder is Better than Half the League in Clutch Moments?

To my intrigue, I sorta got a little "C'mon Man", in the comment section, when I stated that I'd trust Ponder with the ball in his hands with the game on the long, moreso than 15 and prehaps 20 other quarterbacks in this league. But, but, Ponder sucks, and even if what you say is true, that's only reflecting that he's nothing but a Tim Tebow. Ahh, my friends, wait and behold.

Depending on your perception of "clutch", these results may vary in opinion. In my opinion, clutch is a quarterback who can Convert third and fourth downs, perform well in the Redzone, and also in the 4th quarter.

Below is a chart outlining qualified quarterbacks, conversion rates on 3rd downs.

Rk QB 3D Pass Avg To Go Exp. Conv Rate Exp Conv 1D 1D Rate 1D Ov Exp 1D Rt Ov Exp NY/A
1 Peyton Manning 176 8 37.7% 66.3 83 47.2% 16.7 9.5% 7.66
2 Tom Brady 186 8.41 36% 66.9 82 44.1% 15.1 8.1% 6.27
3 Matt Ryan 186 7.77 36.9% 68.7 83 44.6% 14.3 7.7% 6.04
4 Tony Romo 188 8.72 35.4% 66.5 80 42.6% 13.5 7.2% 6.09
5 Matt Hasselbeck 80 8.99 35.4% 28.3 34 42.5% 5.7 7.1% 5.8
6 Michael Vick 116 8.78 34.6% 40.1 48 41.4% 7.9 6.8% 6.07
7 Matthew Stafford 226 8.04 36.6% 82.6 98 43.4% 15.4 6.8% 6.05
8 Drew Brees 202 8.56 36.9% 74.5 87 43.1% 12.5 6.2% 7.18
9 Ben Roethlisberger 144 7.84 36.5% 52.5 61 42.4% 8.5 5.9% 5.8
10 Andrew Luck 205 8.74 34.9% 71.6 79 38.5% 7.4 3.6% 6.19
11 Russell Wilson 152 7.82 37.2% 56.5 62 40.8% 5.5 3.6% 6.6
12 Ryan Fitzpatrick 163 7.97 35.7% 58.2 64 39.3% 5.8 3.5% 6.15
13 Aaron Rodgers 188 8.21 36.4% 68.4 73 38.8% 4.6 2.4% 6.8
14 Matt Cassel 95 8.43 34.4% 32.7 35 36.8% 2.3 2.4% 5.97
15 Christian Ponder 174 7.52 36.3% 63.1 65 37.4% 1.9 1.1% 5.56
16 Colin Kaepernick 74 8.16 34.1% 25.2 26 35.1% 0.8 1% 6.32
17 Josh Freeman 180 8.01 34.3% 61.8 62 34.4% 0.2 0.1% 6.81
18 Philip Rivers 194 8.51 35.2% 68.3 68 35.1% -0.3 -0.2% 5.81
19 Jay Cutler 160 8.37 34.9% 55.8 55 34.4% -0.8 -0.5% 5.74
20 Kevin Kolb 70 9.14 33.6% 23.5 23 32.9% -0.5 -0.7% 4.27
21 Matt Schaub 161 7.9 36.3% 58.5 57 35.4% -1.5 -0.9% 5.37
22 Nick Foles 87 8.48 32.6% 28.4 27 31% -1.4 -1.6% 6.38
23 Robert Griffin III 126 8.52 34.3% 43.2 41 32.5% -2.2 -1.7% 4.67
24 Cam Newton 160 9.03 33.1% 52.9 50 31.3% -2.9 -1.8% 5.3
25 Joe Flacco 189 9.02 34.1% 64.5 60 31.7% -4.5 -2.4% 5.42
26 Carson Palmer 173 8.16 34.8% 60.2 56 32.4% -4.2 -2.4% 5.58
27 Alex Smith 70 7.39 35.6% 24.9 23 32.9% -1.9 -2.8% 5.26
28 Brandon Weeden 184 8.06 36% 66.1 61 33.2% -5.1 -2.8% 5.55
29 Sam Bradford 195 8.21 36.2% 70.6 65 33.3% -5.6 -2.9% 4.61
30 Ryan Tannehill 173 8.53 34.9% 60.4 55 31.8% -5.4 -3.1% 5.14
31 Eli Manning 172 7.72 36.9% 63.5 58 33.7% -5.5 -3.2% 6.26
32 Mark Sanchez 172 7.94 37.5% 64.4 54 31.4% -10.4 -6.1% 4.2
33 Jake Locker 117 8.54 34.3% 40.2 31 26.5% -9.2 -7.9% 5.05
34 Chad Henne 118 8.31 35.1% 41.4 32 27.1% -9.4 -8% 4.97
35 Andy Dalton 170 7.61 35.3% 60 46 27.1% -14 -8.2% 5.23
36 Blaine Gabbert 98 8.58 34.4% 33.7 22 22.4% -11.7 -11.9% 3.74
37 John Skelton 72 8.32 34.9% 25.1 16 22.2% -9.1 -12.7% 3.57
38 Ryan Lindley 67 9.31 31.5% 21.1 12 17.9% -9.1 -13.5% 2.52
39 Brady Quinn 91 7.89 34.9% 31.8 18 19.8% -13.8 -15.1% 3.51

Long in behold, not one, but two 2013 Minnesota Vikings Quarterbacks are smack down in the middle of the list, and really the upper half of the list, if you consider all 39 spots. Mr. Ponder converted 3rd downs moreso than the likes of Andy Dalton, Eli Manning, Jake Locker, Alex Smith, Carlson Palmer, Cam Newton, Phillip Rivers, just to name a few. All this chart tells you is that, on 3rd down, hey Chrisitan fairs pretty well with the league in converting them, even moreso than certain QBs who were in the "Elite" conversation.

Oh and just in case you forgot, Ponder, in the most crucial game of his young career, converted the biggest 3rd down in Ponderdom(History of Ponder), when he connected with Michael Jenkins in the 4th quarter with the game on the line in Week 17 against the Packers last year. Don't believe me? Just watch: http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-fantasy/0ap2000000120339/QB-Ponder-to-WR-Jenkins-25-yd-pass

On fourth down in 2012, the Ponder-led Vikings aslo converted on 4th down 63.6% of the time, putting the Vikings as 7th in the league based on percentage last year. Granted the Vikings only attempted to go on 4th downs 11 times last year. Even so, the lesser attempts you take, the more likely your percentage would be low, because of the small sample size, so the Vikings were quite good converting 4th downs. And Don't for a second think AP was responsible for all of the 4th Down Conversions, because a couple Ponder to Rudolph connections, one from which off the top of my head, went for a TD against SF, should refresh your memory.

In addition to this, it is fairly known that Christian Ponder is a pretty darn Good Redzone QB. Don't believe me? In 2011, Christian's rookie campaign, I remind you, Mr. Ponder was the, yes THE, number 1 rated Quarterback in the redzone. And he didn't even have the 2012 version of AP, or a 1k yard running back. And as for his 2nd season? Well, just read this nefty MINN Scout Article. http://min.scout.com/2/1303929.html.

I attempted To search for a more detailed chart, but this is all I have for 4th Quarter QB ratings from last year:

QB Rating, 4th Quarter

Rank Player Team Stats
1 Jay Cutler Chi 114.7
2 Aaron Rodgers GB 113.5
3 Peyton Manning Den 103.9
4 Joe Flacco Bal 103.1
5 Russell Wilson Sea 102.7
6 Tony Romo Dal 101.2
7 Tom Brady NE 98.4
8 Matt Ryan Atl 95.1
9 Andy Dalton Cin 95.1
10 Cam Newton Car 94.8
11 Ben Roethlisberger Pit 93.3
12 Eli Manning NYG 90.2
13 Sam Bradford StL 87.0
14 Carson Palmer Oak 87.0
15 Robert Griffin III Was 86.1
16 Christian Ponder Min 86.0
17 Blaine Gabbert Jac 85.4
18 Matt Hasselbeck Ten 84.8
19 Matthew Stafford Det 84.4
20 John Skelton Ari 84.3

P.S. the list just stopped at 20, and look who's name is on it?

Hey look who's number 1. Ha. Anywho, for a guy who was simply asked(perhaps because of his limitations?) to game manage for the majority of the season, finishing as an average QB in the league last year in the 4th quarter, a handful where the game was yet to be decided, is a pretty good thing. And to be ahead of Matthew Stafford, and possibly plenty more QBs who qualified for this stat, is also encouraging. Although, one could sway one way another that Ponder may have played at an even high level in the 4th quarter, after noticing that Andrew Luck isn't even listed.

I admit, last year I bashed Christian, even though most of the time I felt I was justified too, but now my perception has changed. I've come to the realization that every single team WANTS an elite Quarterback, but that just will not happen. I also realize, there's a heck of a lot more quarterbacks the Vikings could be wasting their time with, that hasn't shown nearly the efficiency in specific areas, as Christian. I remember reading an article a few years back, where Brett Favre said he didn't fully figure out how to read defenses, until like his 6th year. And this is only Ponder's 3rd and he has already somewhat exhibit certain traits you just can't coach. Redzone Efficiency, and the ability to Convert 3rd downs. No he's not Perfect, and yes even for me this is his make it or break it year, but one things certain, Mr. Ponder can and has made plays when it counts the most. If he can do it consistently is the biggest issue and that will be My biggest outlook and concern going into 2013 with Christian as our Quarterback.

This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important.

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