I would be curious to ask our resident stats guy to compare the numbers of Ponder and Carr as college prospects. However I will provide them here as best I can. Many fans have posted many times that Derek Carr is nothing more than a Christian Ponder clone. The stats do not back up this assertion at all. In fact when you look at Ponders college numbers there should have been a requisite red flag. That red flag is that Ponders numbers declined from his junior to his senior season. Here they are.
As you can see in his junior season Ponder played nine games. He had a 68.8 percent completion percentage, which isn’t bad and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. He passed for 2717 yards on 330 attempts. He had only 14 TD to 7 interceptions. The TD to interception ratio even in his best year in college was never spectacular and he has never improved on that as a pro.
In his senior season you see all of his numbers decline despite playing in 3 more games. His completion percentage drops to 61.5% and he has only 2044 yards passing. His yards per attempt drops from 8.1 to 7 which is a huge drop. The only area he improve in was 20 TD’s to 8 interceptions.
By comparison here is the chart for Derek Carr
For Derek his completion percentage increases every year he is in college from 62.6 his sophomore season to 68.9 his senior season. His average yards per attempt flucuate a little bit peaking his junior year at 8.9 and dropping to 8.7 his senior season. His lowest is his sophomore season and that was 8.2 which is still better than ponders best year. His TD to int ratio is still better his worst season 26/9 than ponders best season. His best year is an astounding 50/8. His ratio improves every year also.
The knock on Carr is that he a) only throws screen passes. First he runs a spread offense his junior and senior season so this is a natural part of that offense. Second he puts his receivers in position to gain yards after said catch. Compare his average yards per attempt this year to Ponders which was 6.5.
Derek Carr has a great NFL arm. He needs work on blitz and pressure situations and needs to not rush his throws when rushers come after him. He may be many things, but one thing he is for sure. He was a significantly better College QB than Christian Ponder.