An official list of things to look forward to, until Opening Day next spring.  It's going to be a long winter.

I think we were spoiled last winter.  Just a little bit.  For years we were sort of lulled to sleep through the off-season, waking up a week after arbitration raises and forgetting about Winter Meetings like some sort of drunk bear.  Then Terry Ryan retires, just so happens it's the same year one of the team's most popular and long-standing players, who also happens to have a room full of Gold Gloves and some pop in his bat, is becoming a free agent..  Oh yeah, also the same off-season where the Twins trade one of the game's best starting pitchers, sign three players to long-term contracts, trade an ace-in-the-making starter and acquire a promising young hitter.  Sure, it may not have happened like we wanted it to, but there's no doubt that for the first time in as long as I can remember, Minnesota was a prime player in baseball's "down" time.

So now do we go back into hibernation?  A lot like the girl who follows "the one who got away", where's the interest?  Well, if you're like me, this is when it pays to just really like girls.  Or, in this case, baseball.

Free Agent Filing Period:  This happens the 15 days following the wrap of the World Series.  For the Twins, these players are Nick Punto, Adam Everett, Eddie Guardado and Dennys Reyes.  Also of interest, Livan Hernandez, Craig Monroe and Juan Rincon are all free agents as well.  Of all of them, I think only Reyes would qualify for draft pick compensation if the circumstances allowed.

General Managers Meetings:  This happens November 3 - November 6, and while nothing really happens here concretely it's the first opportunity after the seaon for the GM's to butt heads and start to get ideas of where other teams are going over the next few months...and if any of them can be of any use.

Off-Season Awards:  November 10 - November 18.  These are great, but don't really mean too much to me.  Mostly it's a way to pass the week while I'm busy speculating about what could happen in December.

Arbitration Deadlines:  December 1 is the last day for the Twins, and the rest of baseball, to offer their free agents aribtration...and those players have until December 7 to accept or decline their offer.  If a player isn't offered arbitration, or declines it, they become a free agent.

If they accept, both team and player get another month to work things out for 2009.  They have until January 15 to file their arbitration, with figures being exchanged the following week (January 19 - January 20).  If no middle ground is reached, arbitration hearings will take place throughout February.  But I'm getting ahead of myself...

Winter Meetings:  December 8 - December 11, and even last year nothing really happened.  But we'll have constantly updated threads again this year, just like we did last year.  It's a time of rampant speculation and (whether it's warranted or not) optimism.  With me, it's usually optimism.  Or at least, tempered pessimism.  Usually.

After the jump, some Twins specifics...

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Winner of Bummer, 2008:  Pat Neshek

Today's award is a bit more auspicious than the Bummer, but just as poignant.  (Poignant?  Is that the word we're going for here?)  The nominees for Minnesota Twins 2008 Comeback Player of the Year are...

Francisco Liriano:  After missing all of 2007 recovering from Tommy John surgery, he's a different pitcher--but he was still effective post recall.
Jesse Crain:  After missing most of 2007, he threw 62.2 innings in 66 appearances, striking out 50 and being the second-best right-handed relief pitcher on the team.
Nick Punto:  After nearly being run out of Minneapolis on a rail following an offensively disasterous 2007 campaign, he bounced back with a respectable .284 average and a decent .344 on-base percentage.

[Editors Note]  Now that it's down the page a little, don't forget to vote for Twinkie Town's number four prospect, with polls brought to you by Seth Stohs!

A long time ago in a country far, far away....

Strangely enough, I never did revise these after we picked up Carlos Gomez.  At any rate, I thought it'd be interesting to take a quick look to see how optimistic-slash-pessimistic I was back in January.

After the jump, we get to it...

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Something new.

Every year, SB Nation has its bloggers fill out ballots for MVP, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year and Manager of the Year awards for the league in which their team plays.  While those awards will be released in a few weeks, I thought it might be fun to do a few community awards based solely on the Twins.

Today we'll start with Bummer of the Year.  Injuries and poor statistical seasons are the primary reasons for being nominated for a Bummer, and only players who finished the year with the Twins are eligible.  This year's candidates are:

Michael Cuddyer:  For his injury-riddled season, just after he signed a three-year extension.
Pat Neshek:  For hitting the disabled list early in the season, an injury that had a cascade effect on the bullpen.
Adam Everett:  For his sore right shoulder and trips to the disabled list.
Carlos Gomez:  For his strikeouts, and seeming desire to leave the batter's box as soon as possible.
Boof Bonser:  For his disappointing season in a year where his contributions were needed.
Matt Guerrier:  For his poor showing down the stretch, when the bullpen heirarchy had broken down and his consistency disappeared.

Not all categories will have this many nominees.  In fact, some of them may only have two or three.

With the season over and many of us already looking forward to a promising campaign next summer, it will be important to know how many roster spots will be up for grabs this winter.  To get that answer, we'll have to figure out which familiar faces will hit the dusty trail for the free agent market.

Some years this list is easy to make and some years it's not quite so straight forward.  This off-season it is fairly straight forward, although at this point nothing is ever really guaranteed.  We'll take a quick pass through some of the more obvious choices before bringing up a couple of guys who might join the ranks.

Dennys Reyes, LHP
'09 Age:  32
Possible Replacements:  Craig Breslow, Jose Mijares

After three years of Dennys Reyes being to the Twins LOOGY situation what Old Faithful is to geysers (did that work?), we've likely seen the last of him in a Twins uniform.  He's given us three statistically good years, with his most useful asset the ability to strand base runners.

In his nine seasons before coming to Minnesota, only twice did Reyes strand base runners at a rate better than league average, and the last time was in 1999.  What the Twins saw in him, other than a live arm, was a mystery to me at the time.  It was the first season post-J.C. Romero and there was clearly a need for a southpaw in the bullpen, but going back now and browsing the free agent market from that year, there wasn't much to pick from.  Alan Embree would be 36 in 2006, there probably wasn't much of a push to sign Ricardo Rincon for more than a million dollars, Billy Wagner was a closer and Mike Stanton was about to be 39.  For a team that wasn't about to spend mega-bucks in free agency on a LOOGY, especially an old one, then 29-year old Reyes probably came out smelling of roses.

Clearly his 0.89 ERA in 50.2 innings was a bonus, as he stranded almost 92% of all base runners; league average is always a hair over 70%.  That performance earned him a very reasonable two-year contract, and I think it's safe to say the Twins got their money's worth.  In three seasons Reyes appeared in 191 games, throwing 126.1 innings and walking 51.  He wasn't dominant, even in the spectacular 2006, but he was usually very effective.  There was always a factor of uncertainty because of his stuff, and how generally ineffective he'd been in the past, but he did his job.

This off-season he'll likely be looking for the last good contract of his career, and with Craig Breslow's good year and Jose Mijares coming up big at the end of the season, it's likely the Twins won't be looking to balloon payroll by paying a veteran seven figures for a job that can be done at a fraction of the cost.  The Twins could try to temp fate by offering him arbitration in hopes that he turns it down, because Reyes will likely qualify as a free agent worth draft pick compensation, but I doubt it happens.  The only other way the Twins would get a compensatory draft pick would be if another club signed him before the arbitration deadline in December, but that also seems unlikely.  Happy trails, Dennys.

Nick Punto, Utility
'09 Age:  31
Possible Replacements:  Matt Tolbert, Brendan Harris

How do you feel after five seasons of Nick Punto?  That's a genuine question.  Because truth be told, while there's no substitute for talent, he gave us adequate defense and some much needed versatility.  And in the even years his on-base percentage wasn't bad, either.

After originally being drafted by the Twins in the 33rd round of the 1997 amateur draft and not signing, he moved up 12 rounds for the Phillies in '98.  Punto arrived in Minnesota in December of '03, along with Carlos Silva (and a PTBNL), from Philadelphia in exchange for Eric Milton.  At the time, Punto had just turned 26 and had only accumulated 103 major league at-bats.  In the minors he hadn't been too big of a standout at the plate either, but the '04 Twins were in their last year with an affordable Christian Guzman...who wasn't progressing as a hitter.  And when Luis Rivas was either hurt or struggling the following season, Punto made a name for himself within the organization.  Since then he's been shuffled around, playing every position except first base and catcher.

His 2006 season was probably his best, when he stepped into a big void at third base with the glove, and, into the final days of August, held an on-base percentage around .390.  Most of the complaints about Punto were about him as an everyday player, where his lack of power and decision-making skills in particular were questioned.  If that's the scale on which his tenure with the Twins will be judged, then the outcome is not going to be favorable.  But if we view him as a backup who was forced to play as often as he did, whether it be by injury to others or the decision of the manager, then it's hard to be quite as critical.  He was flawed, he was inconsistent, and he didn't have the range to make him an elite defender, but he did step in and play some important roles when he was needed.

Turning 31 next season and in line for another raise, the Twins will have younger and cheaper options to replace him within the system.  While there's always the option for the Twins to bring him back on a one-year deal to shore up the depth charts, I'm not sure I can see a significant benefit from going that route.  Of course, I've been wrong before.

Oh, by the way...that PTBNL...it was Bobby Korecky.

Adam Everett, SS
'09 Age:  32
Possible Replacements:  Matt Tolbert, Brendan Harris

It seemed like a good idea at the time, didn't it?  Over the last handful of seasons Adam Everett had been the best defensive shortstop in baseball.  Unfortunately, a bum shoulder turns a light-hitting, elite shortstop into a pretty bad player in general.  There's not much else you can say about his year in Minnesota, except that he was almost designated for assignment back on July 29th.  Actually, he WAS designated for assignment, and then Alexi Casilla went down, and then they had to call him and take it all back.  Which is funny, in an awkward, Ben Stiller movie kind of way.

On December 13th of last winter, Bill Smith made a move to give his team a full time, veteran shortstop.  Coming off a bad season from Punto at third and shortstop Jason Bartlett getting shipped to Tampa just two weeks prior, the left side of the infield needed some answers.  Both positions had answers from the Astros; Everett came first.  Not only would be be playing everyday, but he'd be seen as a grounding presence for an infield with questions and what was projected to be a young starting rotation, although Johan Santana had not yet been traded.

We all know how the plans for Everett turned out.  He hit the disabled list on April 19th due to a right shoulder strain, then again on May 22nd, again, for a right shoulder strain.  He stayed there until July 30th this time, and finally played on a quasi-regular basis throughout August, and for a time he actually did well.  For 11 days, from August 6th to August 17th, he hit .333/.438/.444; while that line was over Everett's head, it was the only time all summer where we saw anything remotely resembling the player he could be when healthy.  Unfortunately, the bumps and bruises remained, and with expanded rosters he appeared in only four games in September.

Another year older, it's hard to imagine Everett coming back in 2009.  Of the three guys on this list, I wouldn't mind if the Twins offered him arbitration or signed him to a one-year, incentive-laden contract, but I still find it unlikely.  With another year of experience throughout the team, a seasoned leader at short won't be the priority it was last winter.

And that's it.  Pretty much.

You could throw Brendan Harris into that group, or an obvious choice like Randy Ruiz if you wanted to.  But each of the three listed have one main thing working against them--they're veterans making millions, with production that could be replaced by younger, cheaper players.  And when it comes down to it, when there are only 25 spaces available at any given time, three slots up for grabs is a pretty significant ratio.

Personally, I'm just happy this off-season will be nothing like last winter.  We don't have to find a way to appease an ace pitcher, we don't have to worry about replacing production from a hitter in the middle of the order, and we don't have to wonder if "the kid starters are up for it", because none of them imploded (well, except for maybe Boof Bonser) or hurt themselves this year.  And when I look at it that way, it makes me think this winter will be relatively low-stress.

Missed opportunities and two superior starting performances are the story.

Who saw THAT coming from John Danks tonight?  Not even White Sox fans in their right minds--on three days rest, throwing eight shutout innings and more than 100 pitches?  If you'd guaranteed me that before the game I'd have laughed in your face.  Whatever I thought would happen certainly didn't tonight, and the ultimate hero, without a doubt, was Danks.  He had issues early on with finding the strike zone, but that was the case for both pitchers with a tight zone being called on both sides.  Able to fight off some tough calls he fought through a trio of walks and what looked like a big double from Michael Cuddyer to lift Chicago to the division title.

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