We do our best to provide a functional Super Bowl preview, but we do talk about the two things that have been capturing the game—deflated balls and Marshawn Lynch's pressers. Regardless, the discussion on matchups, your guide to prop bets and so on should be fun.
These are probably my favorite set of show notes because there are so many good links this week. Check them out!
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Episode Notes (there are a lot of great links this week):
- We discussed the science of Ballghazi, the physics of which are best tackled in this New York Times article
- Here's the Sharp Football Analysis that has everyone talking about the Patriots' fumbles
- There are three great responses to it that I think are much better than the initial analysis:
- First is this one here, by Drew Fustin does a better job with regards to how it treats data—both in terms of which data to include and how the data is split
- This one by Regressing on Deadspin points out the issue of separating by play type, which turns out to be the most important adjustment one can make with this data
- Finally, this SoSH article does an even better job with play type and speaks to the importance of inputs
- If you're more interested in Super Bowl previews, check out this simply fantastic one by Cian Fahey that talks about the unique issue with the Seattle defense and Rob Gronkowski
- This one by Scott Kacsmar does a phenomenal job breaking down what specific advantages Russell Wilson has as a mobile quarterback, what that means for Seattle, and the issues attendant with that.
- Here are the splits for how Seattle's run game is different with Max Unger and without—turning the top running offense into a historic juggernaut.
- There's also this great piece here on the Super Bowl by Bill Barnwell, which is a pretty comprehensive preview
- Pro Football Focus always has really informative stuff on these things. They have one for when Seattle has the ball and one for when New England does. Both are great reads.
- Speaking of history, Football Perspective takes on the question of the best three-year runs in NFL history for team defense.
- Then there's prop bets. Here's Cousin Sal's take on the prop bets and a legal way to bet on the Super Bowl
- Ted and Eric took on prop bets as well, which you can find here.
If you're looking for content I've written this week, look no further! For the Super Bowl, I ranked the top twenty players playing in it, and wrote about their expected impact.
I've been ranking free agents all offseason for the Vikings.
- Players ranked 55-51
- Players ranked 50-46
- Players ranked 45-41
- Players ranked 40-36
- Players ranked 35-31
- Players ranked 30-26
- Players ranked 25-21
- Players ranked 20-16
- Players ranked 15-11
- Players ranked 10-6
Top five coming on Monday.
Also, the most important Super Bowl link of them all: Conan O'Brien playing Mortal Kombat X with Marshawn Lynch and Rob Gronkowski
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