After an offseason full of drama, Adrian Peterson is back as the starting running back of the Minnesota Vikings. Speculation has been running rampant about how he's going to fare after what amounts to a season off, but now we're going to try to put some numbers on it.
Yesterday, I got an e-mail from the folks at SportsBookReview.com. Their analyst, Matthew Jordan, has some thoughts on what we can expect from Peterson in 2015. Here's what he had to say:
How much help will Peterson get? The Vikings have a so-so offensive line. Pro Football Focus ranked it 21st last year overall and 17th in run blocking (25th in pass blocking). The team has what looks to be a keeper at quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater. In 13 games as a rookie, he completed 64.4 percent of his passes for 2,919 yards, 14 touchdowns and 12 picks. Teams won't be able to totally key on Peterson because they have to account for new addition wide receiver Mike Wallace. He can be a total jerk but he helps stretch the field. My one concern with backing Peterson on that prop is the Vikings might cut his workload a bit, both to save Peterson's health but also because Minnesota has a good young running back in Jerick McKinnon. He rushed 113 times for 538 yards and five scores last year as a rookie. Peterson has been working out in Houston with McKinnon and Wallace.
As it stands right now, he has Peterson at +600 to lead the National Football League in rushing in 2015. For those of you that aren't degenerate gamblers, +600 means that if you were to bet $100 on Peterson to win the rushing title and he goes on to do that, you would win
$600 $700, or a $500 $600 profit. (Thanks to one of our readers for e-mailing me that correction. . .apparently I'm not the degenerate gambler I thought I was.) He sits at that mark with four other running backs. . .Houston's Arian Foster, Seattle's Marshawn Lynch, Philadelphia's DeMarco Murray, and Kansas City's Jamaal Charles.
But the numbers I want to look at more are the statistical totals he has for Peterson at the present time. As it stands now, he has Peterson at 1,200 rushing yards and ten touchdowns this season. What do you folks think on that front? Do you think Peterson goes over both of those numbers? Under both of those numbers? One of each? Talk about it right here.